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Edward Harrison

@edwardnh.bsky.social

Macro Strategist at Bloomberg. Ex-diplomat, ex-tech exec, ex-banker. Author of The Everything Risk newsletter. https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AVSVN7p8ryM/edward-harrison

6,041 Followers  |  261 Following  |  2,037 Posts  |  Joined: 26.08.2023
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Posts by Edward Harrison (@edwardnh.bsky.social)

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1/3: Here's what wild about gas prices right now. The past two days have seen the largest increase in gas prices ($0.22/gallon) since 2005, making it one of the fastest increases ever. What's suprising about this is not only the magnitude, but the speed of the passthrough.

04.03.2026 17:08 β€” πŸ‘ 380    πŸ” 144    πŸ’¬ 28    πŸ“Œ 30

This sounds like what a teenage boy playing Fortnite would say.

04.03.2026 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1107    πŸ” 162    πŸ’¬ 83    πŸ“Œ 8

And Trump will be asking for taxpayer money to directly fund this war too bsky.app/profile/carl...

04.03.2026 15:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Sounds like we're being prepared to anticipate a longer war with boots on the ground

04.03.2026 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Pedro SΓ‘nchez calls US-Israeli war in Iran a β€˜disaster’ amid spat with Trump US president issues trade threat as Spanish PM likens conflict to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Israel’s assault on Gaza

Spain on the war in Iran: β€œWe are against this disaster because we understand that governments are here to improve people’s lives, to provide solutions to problems, not to make people’s lives worse”
www.ft.com/content/69e5...

04.03.2026 15:37 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Bessent Says Trump’s Tariff Hike to 15% Likely This Week Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that President Donald Trump’s plan to increase a 10% universal tariff up to 15% will likely be done this week.

Bessent Says Trump’s Tariff Hike to 15% Likely This Week www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Trump really doesn't care at all about inflation

04.03.2026 14:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Gas Prices Surge 11 Cents in One Night Across the U.S. Sharply rising gas prices could increase demand for smaller cars, hybrids, and EVs.

Gas Prices Surge 11 Cents in One Night Across the U.S. www.autoblog.com/news/gas-pri...

04.03.2026 14:10 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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And there it is …

04.03.2026 01:04 β€” πŸ‘ 7410    πŸ” 2710    πŸ’¬ 1123    πŸ“Œ 364
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Trump helps MAGA influencers flee Middle East war zone on private jet Trump adviser Alex Bruesewitz, dogwalker Sarah Daither, former lobbyist Jay Footlik, and others managed to escape on a private plane thanks to the White House.

White House helps MAGA influencers including famous dog walker flee Middle East war zone on private jet www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...

04.03.2026 01:41 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5
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People dig graves for children killed in a strike on a primary school in Iran

03.03.2026 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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after absolutely eviscerating Kristi Noem and calling for her resignation, Tillis is applauded. He thens threatens to hold up nominees if she doesn't stop stonewalling him. My God.

03.03.2026 17:55 β€” πŸ‘ 24738    πŸ” 6073    πŸ’¬ 1098    πŸ“Œ 759

Trump now doesn’t even remember where his own father was born.

03.03.2026 18:03 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Donald Trump makes the explicit case in favor of fighting β€˜forever wars’

03.03.2026 17:55 β€” πŸ‘ 91    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 5

Betting for a nuclear weapon detonating by mid year is at 17%

03.03.2026 17:50 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4
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Trump Threatens to Cut Off Trade After Spain Denies Air Base Use US President Donald Trump directed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to β€œcut off all trade with Spain” after the country denied access to its military bases for his bombing campaign against Iran.

Trump threatens to cut off trade after Spain denies air base use

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

03.03.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"Pollsters have long observed that people don’t always accurately report how they voted when they are dissatisfied with the candidate’s performance, a pattern called β€œrecall bias.”"

03.03.2026 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Voters Are So Embarrassed They Deny Voting for Him Supporters who now disapprove of him are far more likely to deny having voted for him in 2024.

"about 6 percent [of Trump voters] now deny ever having voted for Trump despite reporting they did so in 2024.

Among those voters, 2.7 percent falsely claim they voted for Democrat Kamala Harris, while 3.3 percent say they voted for neither Trump nor Harris."
www.thedailybeast.com/trump-voters...

03.03.2026 15:10 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Automakers could start raising prices this year to offset tariffs, dealership executive says Tariff costs are becoming unsustainable for automakers, and they are going to have to raise prices or cut features, said the president of Sonic Automotive.

Tariff-related inflation dynamics aren't over. Automakers could start raising prices this year to offset tariffs, dealership executive says www.cnbc.com/2026/02/24/a...

03.03.2026 14:00 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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BYD’s 1,500-kW Charger Could Make EV Charging Go as Quick as Filling Up Gas This technology represents a major leap beyond typical 350-kW fast-charging rates, with the potential to dramatically reduce charging times.

BYD’s 1,500-kW Charger Could Make EV Charging Go as Quick as Filling Up Gas www.autoblog.com/news/byds-15...

03.03.2026 13:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How likely are Iran to cooperate with the US now?

"What remains of [Iran's] top leadership has its back to the wall. Trump has conveyed to them that this war is existential."

03.03.2026 13:24 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Donald Trump’s dangerous β€˜war of whim’ Anyone who claims to know where this conflict will go is bluffing

Donald Trump's dangerous 'war of whim'

"As Trump told The New York Times in January, his sole restraint is β€œmy own morality . . . It’s the only thing that can stop me.”
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

03.03.2026 13:20 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Deutsche Bank:

"meaningful S&P 500 drawdowns (at least 15%) driven by oil shocks have historically required at least one of the following"

1. Β spike of at least +50-100% that is sustained
2. big enough to cause a meaningful economic slowdown
3. forces a sharp, hawkish pivot from central banks

03.03.2026 13:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It still shocks me that people like Boebert get elected to office.

03.03.2026 10:58 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
CNN: Three US fighter jets accidentally shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses, military says
By Haley Britzky
,
Helen Regan
Helen Regan
,
Eyad Kourdi
,
Isaac Yee
,
Teele Rebane
,
Lucas Lilieholm
Updated 13 hr ago

CNN: Three US fighter jets accidentally shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses, military says By Haley Britzky , Helen Regan Helen Regan , Eyad Kourdi , Isaac Yee , Teele Rebane , Lucas Lilieholm Updated 13 hr ago

Reuters: Fire at US embassy complex in Riyadh after blast heard, sources say
By Reuters
March 2, 20266:23 PM CSTUpdated 13 mins ago

Reuters: Fire at US embassy complex in Riyadh after blast heard, sources say By Reuters March 2, 20266:23 PM CSTUpdated 13 mins ago

New York Times: U.S. military death toll rises to 6

New York Times: U.S. military death toll rises to 6

CNN: State Dept urges US citizens to "DEPART NOW" from countries throughout Middle East

CNN: State Dept urges US citizens to "DEPART NOW" from countries throughout Middle East

Two days into the war:

- three F-15s shot down

- U.S. embassy in Saudi Arabia in flames

- six U.S. service members confirmed dead; more wounded

- State Department tells Americans to flee the entire Middle East

03.03.2026 00:49 β€” πŸ‘ 5171    πŸ” 2038    πŸ’¬ 328    πŸ“Œ 280
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March 2, 2026 The Economist’s Middle East correspondent Gregg Carlstrom noted that Trump appears to be workshopping the causes for his attacks on Iran and his goals for the war by talking to journalists.

Why did Trump go to war in Iran?

β€œIn this ideology, the dominance itself is the point: there is no other endgame.

…Three days into the attack on Iran, there is increasing scrutiny of the assertions from government officials.”

heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/march-2-20...

03.03.2026 10:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜We’ll run out of food this week’: Israel’s Iran war brings new Gaza siege Israel has closed all crossings into Gaza, threatening to plunge 2 million people into a new hunger crisis

β€˜We’ll run out of food this week’: Israel’s Iran war brings new Gaza siege
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

03.03.2026 10:18 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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69% of Gen Z Buyers Would Consider Chinese Car Brands, Study Shows Cox Automotive said younger buyers show β€œmeaningful openness” to Chinese cars, while older demographics remain more hesitant.

Note: 69% of Gen Z Buyers Would Consider Chinese Car Brands, Study Shows
www.autoblog.com/news/69-of-g...

This leap forward in Chinese EVs will become existential for the US car industry

02.03.2026 15:44 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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BYD unveils new Toyota Camry-sized Seal 07 EV with 705 km range [Images] BYD revealed the first images of the Seal 07 EV, its new electric sedan that’s about the size of the...

WOW: BYD unveils new Toyota Camry-sized Seal 07 EV with 705 km range electrek.co/2026/03/02/b...

"the Seal 07 DM-i starts at 149,800 yuan ($21,900) in China, so the EV variant will likely start at about the same price."

02.03.2026 15:42 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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CPI and PPI translations into PCE suggest core prices in January rose around 0.43%, give or take.

That would be the highest month-over-month reading since February (which was +0.448%) and annualizes to 5.3%.

It corresponds to a 3.1% y/y rate, the highest since March 2024, up from 2.6% in April.

02.03.2026 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 318    πŸ” 100    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 17

*TRUMP WON’T RULE OUT US TROOPS IN IRAN β€˜IF NECESSARY’: NYT

- Bloomberg terminal headlines about 'boots on the ground' based on NYT reporting

02.03.2026 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1