Edward Harrison's Avatar

Edward Harrison

@edwardnh.bsky.social

Macro Strategist at Bloomberg. Ex-diplomat, ex-tech exec, ex-banker. Author of The Everything Risk newsletter. https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AVSVN7p8ryM/edward-harrison

6,038 Followers  |  261 Following  |  2,034 Posts  |  Joined: 26.08.2023
Posts Following

Posts by Edward Harrison (@edwardnh.bsky.social)

Preview
Pedro Sánchez calls US-Israeli war in Iran a ‘disaster’ amid spat with Trump US president issues trade threat as Spanish PM likens conflict to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Israel’s assault on Gaza

Spain on the war in Iran: “We are against this disaster because we understand that governments are here to improve people’s lives, to provide solutions to problems, not to make people’s lives worse”
www.ft.com/content/69e5...

04.03.2026 15:37 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Bessent Says Trump’s Tariff Hike to 15% Likely This Week Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that President Donald Trump’s plan to increase a 10% universal tariff up to 15% will likely be done this week.

Bessent Says Trump’s Tariff Hike to 15% Likely This Week www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Trump really doesn't care at all about inflation

04.03.2026 14:36 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Gas Prices Surge 11 Cents in One Night Across the U.S. Sharply rising gas prices could increase demand for smaller cars, hybrids, and EVs.

Gas Prices Surge 11 Cents in One Night Across the U.S. www.autoblog.com/news/gas-pri...

04.03.2026 14:10 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
Post image

And there it is …

04.03.2026 01:04 — 👍 6410    🔁 2360    💬 973    📌 313
Preview
Trump helps MAGA influencers flee Middle East war zone on private jet Trump adviser Alex Bruesewitz, dogwalker Sarah Daither, former lobbyist Jay Footlik, and others managed to escape on a private plane thanks to the White House.

White House helps MAGA influencers including famous dog walker flee Middle East war zone on private jet www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...

04.03.2026 01:41 — 👍 20    🔁 11    💬 3    📌 5
Post image

People dig graves for children killed in a strike on a primary school in Iran

03.03.2026 23:44 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Video thumbnail

after absolutely eviscerating Kristi Noem and calling for her resignation, Tillis is applauded. He thens threatens to hold up nominees if she doesn't stop stonewalling him. My God.

03.03.2026 17:55 — 👍 23842    🔁 5856    💬 1053    📌 747

Trump now doesn’t even remember where his own father was born.

03.03.2026 18:03 — 👍 10    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Post image

Donald Trump makes the explicit case in favor of fighting ‘forever wars’

03.03.2026 17:55 — 👍 91    🔁 31    💬 5    📌 5

Betting for a nuclear weapon detonating by mid year is at 17%

03.03.2026 17:50 — 👍 18    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 4
Preview
Trump Threatens to Cut Off Trade After Spain Denies Air Base Use US President Donald Trump directed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to “cut off all trade with Spain” after the country denied access to its military bases for his bombing campaign against Iran.

Trump threatens to cut off trade after Spain denies air base use

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

03.03.2026 17:38 — 👍 8    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

"Pollsters have long observed that people don’t always accurately report how they voted when they are dissatisfied with the candidate’s performance, a pattern called “recall bias.”"

03.03.2026 15:11 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Trump Voters Are So Embarrassed They Deny Voting for Him Supporters who now disapprove of him are far more likely to deny having voted for him in 2024.

"about 6 percent [of Trump voters] now deny ever having voted for Trump despite reporting they did so in 2024.

Among those voters, 2.7 percent falsely claim they voted for Democrat Kamala Harris, while 3.3 percent say they voted for neither Trump nor Harris."
www.thedailybeast.com/trump-voters...

03.03.2026 15:10 — 👍 12    🔁 2    💬 3    📌 0
Preview
Automakers could start raising prices this year to offset tariffs, dealership executive says Tariff costs are becoming unsustainable for automakers, and they are going to have to raise prices or cut features, said the president of Sonic Automotive.

Tariff-related inflation dynamics aren't over. Automakers could start raising prices this year to offset tariffs, dealership executive says www.cnbc.com/2026/02/24/a...

03.03.2026 14:00 — 👍 10    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
BYD’s 1,500-kW Charger Could Make EV Charging Go as Quick as Filling Up Gas This technology represents a major leap beyond typical 350-kW fast-charging rates, with the potential to dramatically reduce charging times.

BYD’s 1,500-kW Charger Could Make EV Charging Go as Quick as Filling Up Gas www.autoblog.com/news/byds-15...

03.03.2026 13:42 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

How likely are Iran to cooperate with the US now?

"What remains of [Iran's] top leadership has its back to the wall. Trump has conveyed to them that this war is existential."

03.03.2026 13:24 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Donald Trump’s dangerous ‘war of whim’ Anyone who claims to know where this conflict will go is bluffing

Donald Trump's dangerous 'war of whim'

"As Trump told The New York Times in January, his sole restraint is “my own morality . . . It’s the only thing that can stop me.”
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

03.03.2026 13:20 — 👍 9    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0

Deutsche Bank:

"meaningful S&P 500 drawdowns (at least 15%) driven by oil shocks have historically required at least one of the following"

1.  spike of at least +50-100% that is sustained
2. big enough to cause a meaningful economic slowdown
3. forces a sharp, hawkish pivot from central banks

03.03.2026 13:02 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

It still shocks me that people like Boebert get elected to office.

03.03.2026 10:58 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
CNN: Three US fighter jets accidentally shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses, military says
By Haley Britzky
,
Helen Regan
Helen Regan
,
Eyad Kourdi
,
Isaac Yee
,
Teele Rebane
,
Lucas Lilieholm
Updated 13 hr ago

CNN: Three US fighter jets accidentally shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses, military says By Haley Britzky , Helen Regan Helen Regan , Eyad Kourdi , Isaac Yee , Teele Rebane , Lucas Lilieholm Updated 13 hr ago

Reuters: Fire at US embassy complex in Riyadh after blast heard, sources say
By Reuters
March 2, 20266:23 PM CSTUpdated 13 mins ago

Reuters: Fire at US embassy complex in Riyadh after blast heard, sources say By Reuters March 2, 20266:23 PM CSTUpdated 13 mins ago

New York Times: U.S. military death toll rises to 6

New York Times: U.S. military death toll rises to 6

CNN: State Dept urges US citizens to "DEPART NOW" from countries throughout Middle East

CNN: State Dept urges US citizens to "DEPART NOW" from countries throughout Middle East

Two days into the war:

- three F-15s shot down

- U.S. embassy in Saudi Arabia in flames

- six U.S. service members confirmed dead; more wounded

- State Department tells Americans to flee the entire Middle East

03.03.2026 00:49 — 👍 5165    🔁 2040    💬 328    📌 280
Preview
March 2, 2026 The Economist’s Middle East correspondent Gregg Carlstrom noted that Trump appears to be workshopping the causes for his attacks on Iran and his goals for the war by talking to journalists.

Why did Trump go to war in Iran?

“In this ideology, the dominance itself is the point: there is no other endgame.

…Three days into the attack on Iran, there is increasing scrutiny of the assertions from government officials.”

heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/march-2-20...

03.03.2026 10:39 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
‘We’ll run out of food this week’: Israel’s Iran war brings new Gaza siege Israel has closed all crossings into Gaza, threatening to plunge 2 million people into a new hunger crisis

‘We’ll run out of food this week’: Israel’s Iran war brings new Gaza siege
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

03.03.2026 10:18 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
69% of Gen Z Buyers Would Consider Chinese Car Brands, Study Shows Cox Automotive said younger buyers show “meaningful openness” to Chinese cars, while older demographics remain more hesitant.

Note: 69% of Gen Z Buyers Would Consider Chinese Car Brands, Study Shows
www.autoblog.com/news/69-of-g...

This leap forward in Chinese EVs will become existential for the US car industry

02.03.2026 15:44 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
Preview
BYD unveils new Toyota Camry-sized Seal 07 EV with 705 km range [Images] BYD revealed the first images of the Seal 07 EV, its new electric sedan that’s about the size of the...

WOW: BYD unveils new Toyota Camry-sized Seal 07 EV with 705 km range electrek.co/2026/03/02/b...

"the Seal 07 DM-i starts at 149,800 yuan ($21,900) in China, so the EV variant will likely start at about the same price."

02.03.2026 15:42 — 👍 13    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 2
Post image

CPI and PPI translations into PCE suggest core prices in January rose around 0.43%, give or take.

That would be the highest month-over-month reading since February (which was +0.448%) and annualizes to 5.3%.

It corresponds to a 3.1% y/y rate, the highest since March 2024, up from 2.6% in April.

02.03.2026 14:54 — 👍 319    🔁 100    💬 2    📌 17

*TRUMP WON’T RULE OUT US TROOPS IN IRAN ‘IF NECESSARY’: NYT

- Bloomberg terminal headlines about 'boots on the ground' based on NYT reporting

02.03.2026 15:19 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1
Preview
Battery technology for sustainable aviation: a review of current trends and future prospects This comprehensive review explores the current state and prospects of battery technology in aviation, addressing the challenges and potential solution…

"jet fuel provides an energy density of approximately 12,000 Wh/kg, while state-of-the-art lithium-ion cells achieve a cell-level specific energy of only 250–300 Wh/kg"

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

02.03.2026 15:01 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Note that this battery developed by Chinese scientists has an energy density of 500 Wh/kg, which approaches the level where electric regional jet aviation becomes possible.

That will be a game-changer

02.03.2026 14:59 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
China discovers 'breakthrough' EV battery that could double range to 1,000+ km Chinese scientists have developed a new EV battery capable of delivering over 1,000 km (620 miles) of driving range with...

China discovers ‘breakthrough’ EV battery that could double range to 1,000+ km electrek.co/2026/02/27/c...

02.03.2026 14:53 — 👍 12    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
Post image

One of my favourite sides of politics/media.

02.03.2026 10:20 — 👍 13238    🔁 4223    💬 130    📌 163