joel hanes

Trump Confounded by the War He Started It’s now clear: There was no plan.

"It’s become increasingly, painfully clear: They didn’t think there was going to be a *war*." Trump's confident blunder is now our problem.

Today's Morning Shots from @eggerdc.bsky.social and Ben Parker: lnk.thebulwark.com/4lfT5Ru

Chart from linked article, showing what % of of each major fertilizer type (nitrogen, phosphorus, & potassium) the US imports, 2000-2024. N has gone down from 21% imported to 6%. Phosphorus is a little up from 2% to 13%. Potassium has gone from 76% to 94%.

The US already makes 96% of the N fertilizer we use.

The fertilizer we import the most is POTASSIUM. Which we get from CANADA.

When we import phosphorus, we get 98% of it from PERU. Not Iran.

So the reason we've had trouble getting those is TARIFFS.

farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2025/07/us-f...

Billionaires Are Swaying Elections in All Corners of America

Gift link. Donations from 300 billionaires & family members made up nearly 20% of all donations in federal elections in 2024. This is the government oligarchs bought.
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/u...

An ADSBx map showing C104 flying from Florida to Watertown SD late last night.

Ugh. The brand-new Coast Guard jet Kristi Noem was using before she got fired flew down to Florida late Friday -- presumably for the "Shield of the Americas" announcement -- and then returned to Watertown, SD, late Saturday. So she's still using it!!

Things look grim in the markets right now, but at least the U.S. economy wasn’t already being propped up by a massive speculative AI bubble that is highly sensitive to rising energy costs.

DHS wants to build a system to surveil Americans’ travel records Previously unreported documents show the agency has asked companies for input. Last year, a similar program was shuttered over public outcry.

DHS and the US Secret Service want to build a tool for tracking US travelers' flights and other personal information, according to previously unreported documents.

The proposed tool appears to be an attempt to rebuild a surveillance pipeline that was recently shuttered amid public backlash.

DHS Scrambling to Fix Multimillion-Dollar Mistake of ICE Barbie Deputy, 28 ICE is hiding thousands of branded vehicles agents say they can’t use—a costly legacy of Kristi Noem’s DHS.

DHS Scrambling to Fix Multimillion-Dollar Mistake of ICE Barbie Deputy, 28
www.thedailybeast.com/department-o...

Gentle reminder that ISIS was created by the US govt to fight the Shiite militants, who were armed by the US govt to fight Saddam, who was armed by the US govt to fight Iran, who hates us because the US govt overthrew their elected leader and installed a brutal dictator.

History.

NEWS

Trump DOJ offers a deferred prosecution agreement to Halkbank, the Turkish state-run bank charged with laundering billions in Iranian oil money.

Trump repeatedly tried to end this case in his first term—per John Bolton, as a favor to one of the "dictators he liked" (i.e. Erdogan).

Yes. And I have seen the video (long ago) of someone delivering this paper at a conference.

"species" should be "clade", since chickens were never the dominant form of life on earth

Trump's decision to bomb Iran is now the greatest windfall to the Russian war effort on record. If it continues, it might save the Russian war economy.

Let's talk about what happens when oil prices go through the roof and stay there - because it really isn't pretty skywriter.blue/@kentduston....

If we had continued the JCPOA, we would be having discussions with Iran to improve controls on nuclear materials, lessening sanctions, and generally integrating them into the world economy.

The moderates would be strengthening.

Still crazy that the president’s lawyer spent two days with Ghislaine Maxwell, she “cleared” him of wrongdoing and was almost immediately transferred to a more pleasant prison and nobody in the administration will explain it and the media acts like two large dots are just impossible to connect.

Critical parts of the planetary economy, like Taiwan, are entirely dependent on Qatari LNG for their energy. Taiwan specifically gets like 30% of their energy mix that way and only maintains a two week stockpile for margin. No hormuz transits means no gas means brownouts and shaky voltages.

TSMC, the company that makes 90% of the world's advanced chips, draws 8.9% of Taiwan's total electricity. Gas disruption = Chip disruption

Top Trump officials rush to purchase nuclear war-proof bunkers after Iran attack: report Since President Donald Trump’s unprecedented attack on Iran last week, at least two top Trump administration officials have raced to purchase their own survival shelters designed to withstand an apoca...

Top Trump officials rush to purchase nuclear war-proof bunkers after Iran attack: report
www.rawstory.com/iran-war/

first-season SNL would be nice.
and new Monty Python episodes ...

Just a reminder that high oil prices are of enormous value to Trump's friend and confidant and ally, Vladimir Putin

This reminds me of that line I saw someone say once (which rang true) that something that makes Trump uniquely able to connect with low-information voters is that he is a low-information voter.

This is an incredibly important revelation about the days leading up to the beginning of the Iran war. The administration and Israel had a deal with Iran and attacked ANYWAY. Those sleazy, murdering, profiteering motherfuckers. Bibi and Graham played Trump for the chump he is.

Are you on "Following" or "Discover" ?

You should be on "Following"

There is no algorithm.

The pottery-emoji graphic was chosen to be the archaeology content signifier, but it was a poor choice, because many people employ it in anime or pottery-making contexts

To improve your timeline, immediately block or mute every account you don't want to see again.

oh just a thought if your plan for overthrowing the Iranian government depends on the Iranian public rising up, you likely shouldn't have defunded the American government run news agency that speaks in Farsi.

you ever think how this is all because america elected a centre-left black president once, and the right never forgave the left for it

I'm seeing reports that Lindsay Graham was the critical "last guy Trump talked to" push

Has the advantage of being inexpressibly beautiful.

Local community plays it on radio at the opening of the July 4th fireworks display. Houses along the lake tune their stereos, turn it up, and open the windows

Video: We caught Elon Musk's AI company flouting EPA rules using a thermal drone xAI’s Grok chatbot is powered by unpermitted gas turbines at a Mississippi power plant. Here's how we know.

You may have read Evan's groundbreaking investigation into Elon Musk's AI power plant last month. Now we've released a 12-minute mini-doc that dives deep into how the plant is affecting local residents — and what happened in Southaven following our initial report.

Jeffrey Epstein's Ranch Won $85 Million in the Oklahoma Lottery Two Days After He Went to Prison. The Company That Printed the Ticket Belonged to His Palm Beach Neighbor. The Store That Sold It Belonged to The Neighbor's Former Colleague. And The Ranch, Which Was Never Searched, Now Belongs to a Trump Insider's Family. Follow the Money, Part Two.

open.substack.com/pub/alisav/p... Epstein won the Powerball (& other lotteries)…he was connected to everyone from the guy in charge of the lottery, in Oklahoma, to the store it was bought from.