David Brady

The AEA has imposed a lifetime ban on Lawrence H. Summers’ membership and participation in AEA activities. See the full statement here. www.aeaweb.org/news/aea-sta...

2+7= _ I caNnot aNswer this qwestion, as it is agaiNst My reLigious principles. ٠١٨٨ IT'S WORTH A SHOT. aMI, 7 january 1986 NAITION

Has this been posted yet

Author of Substack criticizes that even best are only <2/3rds replicated. I am okay just understanding that’s how science works - we’re often wrong and most conclusions are uncertain.

My lesson is just we should update our views of bottom right and upper left quadrants.

The lack of correlation between impact and replicability is driven by low impact high replicability experiments journals (e.g. in poli sci; they deserve more respect) and high impact low replicability journals (aforementioned Soc psych and b-school journals that deserve less respect).

I should acknowledge the author of the Substack post’s point that there is no correlation between impact and replicability.

That’s a troubling finding. But I respectfully suggest there are mixed patterns reflecting the oddities of clusters of fields.

But I have to admit I’m surprised how well sociology journals do given American (but not European) sociology was so slow to take up replication and openness. Still, Demography and other leading Soc journals are moderate impact and high replicability.

The upper right good quadrant (high Replicability, highimpact is mainly top Econ journals.

A few disciplinary patterns stand out: b-school and social psych journals disproportionately occupy the bad bottom right quadrant: low replication and high impact.

Interesting Substack, but especially fascinated by the disciplinary patterns in this figure:

open.substack.com/pub/fantasti...

An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects:
-"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size"
-"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant"
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

<em>Journal of Marriage and Family</em> | NCFR Family Science Journal | Wiley Online Library Objective This study aims to reveal the heterogeneity of single parents by focusing on the variation in poverty risks across countries and across pathways into single parenthood. It also adjudicates...

Today is a very special day for me 🎉 my first ever solo-author paper is out in Journal of Marriage and Family (this was my dream journal during my PhD and I am beyond excited to have this paper published there). Go check it out, it's open access.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

This reminds me Sassoon’ brilliant interview with Karl Marx. Seems appropriate to post it in this thread:

www.angelfire.com/or/sociology...

One Hundred Years of Socialism: The West European Left in the Twentieth Century One Hundred Years of Socialism: The West European Left in the Twentieth Century [Sassoon, Donald] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. One Hundred Years of Socialism: The West European Left in the Twentieth Century

Relatedly, Masoud and I were just going on about how awesome Donald Sassoon is as a historian of the Left. His book _One Hundred Years of Socialism_ should be required reading by the Left intellectual space Mamdani has tapped into.

www.amazon.com/One-Hundred-...

Mamdani’s democratic socialism is a promise of true freedom for all It is not communism but a vision of equality, opportunity and a life people can afford.

My friend Masoud does a nice job articulating what democratic socialism means. I’m not a democratic socialist, but happy to see Masoud’s mentor Erik Olin Wright get some credit.

www.aljazeera.com/opinions/202...

If you’re a journalist who’s still on Twitter, from now on in your writing you have to replace “the American people want” with “troll bots in Eastern Europe demand”

Being there makes your judgment suspect. I don’t care how savvy you think you are, you’re marinating in a disinformation campaign.

Great thread by an eminent scholar.

Durlauf is a role model.

Doug Downey wants to convince you that schools actually reduce inequality, not expand it. In his conversation with @gtwodtke.bsky.social, they examine how the education system likely compensates for SES gaps and why school reforms are a band-aid fix to root problems.
Listen now → bit.ly/48nPLij

YouTube video by Harris Public Policy UChicago Stone Center | Why Economic Inequalities Endure

Delighted to post this recording of my public conversation with Sam Bowles, moderated by @ethanbdm.bsky.social,
on Why Economic Inequalities Endure.

Our discussion ranges from the distant past to speculation on how AI will affect future inequality.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GG0C...

NIH Director Accepts Award From Anti-Vax Group Founded By Ally Accused Of Sexual Misconduct — AJI Jay Bhattacharya reunited with his old ally Jeffrey Tucker weeks after the political operative was revealed to have faced a sexual harassment scandal. Walker Bragman Nov 05, 2025 This piece ...

NIH Director Jay Bhattacharya just accepted an award from an RFK Jr.–aligned anti-public health group founded by a man accused of serial sexual harassment— and called it “the most fun I’ve had in ten months.”

www.accountabilityjournalism.org/trump-admini...

Good riddance.

When states like Colorado passed policies requiring employers to disclose salary information in job postings, what happened?

It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.

Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.

Inside Yale’s Quiet Reckoning with AI | The New Journal Amid ChatGPT's rising popularity and a computer science cheating scandal, Yale students, professors, and administrators wrestle privately with the proper role of AI in education. What happens when eve...

This may be the best thing ive read yet on AI in higher ed, and its written by a Yale undergrad. Highly recommend.

Agreed - thanks for posting.

The emails have Summers reporting to Epstein about his attempts to date a Harvard economics student & to hit on her during a seminar she was giving.

Only real apples to apples comparison is net of arrest and trial. Otherwise you’re comparing apples and oranges. Read more than the abstract - it’s great work and worth it.

Someone thought it was a good idea to make this guy president of one of the world’s best universities.

Hay grown for cattle consumes nearly half the water drawn from Colorado River, study finds Much of the Colorado River's water is used for agriculture. A new study shows 46% of the water that is diverted is used to grow hay to feed cattle.

That compelling figure shows most of the Colorado River goes to agriculture. And most of that goes to alfalfa to feed cows.

While cities have done a remarkable job on water conservation, the biggest problem is basically beef.

www.latimes.com/environment/...

That the Colorado River negotiations have grown urgent is clear, as @ianjames.bsky.social reports: www.latimes.com/environment/...

But I always feel best way to think about this issue is the figure James reported on in 2024.

Compelling new article in Econometrica shows near zero long term effects of incarceration on earnings.

Notable given sociology’s strong emphasis on incarceration.

Better to understand this population as severely disadvantaged for many reasons beyond prisons.

ekrose.github.io/files/incar_...

I don’t actually know how much UCLA college football spends. But I bet it is surely more than ~$9 million. And I’d bet it spends similar amounts to peer college football programs.

I also would bet many college football programs spend more than the revenue they bring in.