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Mike Jensen

@mikejjensen.bsky.social

Political Science, Information Warfare, Political Communication

2,900 Followers  |  1,001 Following  |  1,360 Posts  |  Joined: 17.12.2023
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Posts by Mike Jensen (@mikejjensen.bsky.social)

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Iran Update Evening Special Report, March 1, 2026 The combined force continued to target Iranian internal security institutions responsible for maintaining stability and suppressing protests.

The end game in Iran turns significantly on whether the Iranian internal security forces remain capable. As long as they remain intact, it is hard to see how the people rise up and take back their country. Even then, the coalescing of civil society can be dicey. understandingwar.org/research/mid...

02.03.2026 07:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Guys, China’s risk calculus on Taiwan is not determined by some global scale of the acceptability of aggression

28.02.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1884    πŸ” 199    πŸ’¬ 42    πŸ“Œ 14

In terms of ICMBs, DIA estimates indicate that Iran had no missiles that could reach the US, though they would have 60 by 2035. Missile threats are not the only threat that Iran poses. www.dia.mil/Portals/110/...

28.02.2026 23:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Having worked at the FBI in counterintelligence and foreign influence during the time in question, I just want to reiterate the notion that John Solomon hasn’t a single of value to say about any of this.

28.02.2026 21:02 β€” πŸ‘ 141    πŸ” 38    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Hmmmm. But he took no military action against Russia.

28.02.2026 13:23 β€” πŸ‘ 574    πŸ” 143    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 11

Ukraine has a lot of experience defending against Shahed drones. America surely has learned a lot from them.

28.02.2026 12:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So Ukraine, fighting an existential battle against Russia would bother to divert their efforts to attack a NATO member while seeking to become a NATO member? This is embarrassingly bad propaganda.

28.02.2026 11:12 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Clippy says: Look's like you're trying to start a global thermonuclear war. Would you like me to decide when to launch?

Clippy says: Look's like you're trying to start a global thermonuclear war. Would you like me to decide when to launch?

28.02.2026 06:27 β€” πŸ‘ 277    πŸ” 79    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 5
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For Russia, A Symbolic Loss In A Symbolic City: Its Black Sea Fleet Headquarters Is No More. Unused and empty following a 2023 missile attack, the destruction of the naval headquarters in Sevastopol serves as a metaphor for the diminished fortunes of the Russian Navy, and for the successes of...

Ukraine has completely destroyed Russia's Black Sea Fleet headquarters www.rferl.org/a/russia-ukr...

27.02.2026 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How AI is supercharging Russia's online disinformation campaigns Security experts have warned that Western governments are poorly equipped to counter a new frontier of online disinformation.

πŸ’¬ "What we're seeing is not just a spike in deepfakes but a shift in how influence is produced," said a defence and security analyst.

1/2🧡

www.bbc.com/news/article...

#Russia #propaganda #disinformation

27.02.2026 08:17 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Vance: β€˜No chance’ U.S. will be in drawn-out war in Middle East As President Trump contemplates military action in Iran, the vice president told The Post he still sees himself as a β€œskeptic” of overseas military intervention.

The enemy always gets a vote in war. If the US attacks Iran, they could respond with sustained attacks against US interests. Do we walk away? What does that do for America's standing and its ability to deter?

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

27.02.2026 10:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The PRC did far less in 2020 than Russia.

27.02.2026 04:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Apart from the constitutional hurdles to the president taking control of elections, the factual predicate of foreign intervention manifests as influence operations, historically supporting him, not undocumented voters. And the offices to combat it were gutted
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

26.02.2026 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Things like this happen when you make bold policy statements and try to manage complex negotiations without relying on specialists in Iran and proliferation issues to guide the policy and lead the talks.
www.defensenews.com/flashpoints/...

26.02.2026 07:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How could executive privilege shield communications about someone who is not part of the executive? And if the claims are false, this intercept couldn't refer to a real executive action for which the president could claim a privilege.
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...

26.02.2026 03:35 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Saying no so they do not deploy a peacekeeping force is a lot easier than attacking the forces of a country backed by a nuclear deterrent. Is Russia willing to risk the survival of humanity if they cannot take Ukraine? If Putin is really that dangerous, policy responses to him should be more serious

26.02.2026 02:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Albanese bomb threat is latest flashpoint in a risk already 'flashing red' Spitting, assault and online abuse are rising signs of a dangerous political culture in Australia.

Spitting, assault and online abuse are rising signs of a dangerous political culture in Australia.

25.02.2026 18:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Russia’s Grinding War in Ukraine Despite claims of success in Ukraine, new CSIS data shows that Russia is paying an extraordinary price for minimal gains, with over 1.2 million casualties. Russia is also in decline as a major economi...

Russia is hardly winning in Ukraine. Their glacial pace of advances are causing enduring strategic damage to Russia which has little to show for 12 years of war. That doesn't mean Russia isn't dangerous, we need to create the conditions for Ukraine to end this. www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

25.02.2026 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Australia’s illicit tobacco trade may be a national security threat.

New reporting links organized crime and alleged IRGC-backed attacks, raising urgent questions about the crime-terror nexus. https://www.thecipherbrief.com/australias-illicit-tobacco-market?share_id=9184640

25.02.2026 12:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Washington warns Ukraine over striking US economic interests in Russia Kyiv’s ambassador to Washington asserts state department complained after strike on Russian port in November

The Trump admin formally warned Ukraine not to strike targets within Russia that could hit US economic interests, according to Kyiv’s ambassador in DC.

Meanwhile, the Trump admin has barely said anything about Russia’s many more strikes on US businesses in Ukraine.
w/ @a-mackinnon.bsky.social

25.02.2026 05:10 β€” πŸ‘ 262    πŸ” 141    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 16
Case 1:25-cV-02942-TJK
Document 74
Filed 02/24/26 Page 1 of 17
1 of 17
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
L.G.M.L.., et al.,
Plaintiffs,
V.
Case No.: 25-cv-2942-TJK
KRISTI NOEM, et al.,
Defendants.
PLAINTIFFS' MOTION FOR AN ORDER TO SHOW CAUSE
After a temporary restraining order narrowly thwarted the government's secret, middle-of-
the-night attempt to expel unaccompanied Guatemalan children from the United States over Labor
Day weekend, this Court certified a provisional class of certain Guatemalan children who are or
will be in the custody of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and other Defendants and
enjoined Defendants from "transferring, repatriating, removing, or otherwise facilitating the transport" of class members from the United States. Defendants declined to appeal that injunction
and it remains in place while this matter proceeds to final judgment. But Plaintiffs have learned that Defendants are engaged in a practice that openly flouts the plain text of the Court's injunction
and the statutory protections guaranteed by the Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act
(TVPRA). Specifically, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) agents are returning
unaccompanied children from noncontiguous countries, including class members, to their home
countries within 72 hours of entering government custody, typically before they can be transferred

Case 1:25-cV-02942-TJK Document 74 Filed 02/24/26 Page 1 of 17 1 of 17 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA L.G.M.L.., et al., Plaintiffs, V. Case No.: 25-cv-2942-TJK KRISTI NOEM, et al., Defendants. PLAINTIFFS' MOTION FOR AN ORDER TO SHOW CAUSE After a temporary restraining order narrowly thwarted the government's secret, middle-of- the-night attempt to expel unaccompanied Guatemalan children from the United States over Labor Day weekend, this Court certified a provisional class of certain Guatemalan children who are or will be in the custody of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and other Defendants and enjoined Defendants from "transferring, repatriating, removing, or otherwise facilitating the transport" of class members from the United States. Defendants declined to appeal that injunction and it remains in place while this matter proceeds to final judgment. But Plaintiffs have learned that Defendants are engaged in a practice that openly flouts the plain text of the Court's injunction and the statutory protections guaranteed by the Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act (TVPRA). Specifically, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) agents are returning unaccompanied children from noncontiguous countries, including class members, to their home countries within 72 hours of entering government custody, typically before they can be transferred

NEW: Remember when the government rounded up dozens of unaccompanied children in the middle of the night and tried to summarily deport them?

A Trump-appointed judge entered an injunction barring their removal.

But lawyers for the children say the government is trying to circumvent that order.

24.02.2026 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1855    πŸ” 858    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 22
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Hegseth says he’ll order random pizzas to throw off monitoring app Defense Secretary PeteΒ HegsethΒ jokingly said any surge in takeout deliveries to the Pentagon β€” a phenomenon that has accurately predicted the start of major geopolitical events β€” could be…

Good to see the SecDef has an open plan in the event of an attack or starting a war with Iran

Pete Hegseth says he'll order random pizzas to throw off monitoring app share.google/zmaKa28Ilqr8...

24.02.2026 20:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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El Mencho raid led to the discovery of anti-aircraft rockets and armored vehicles
www.thecipherbrief.com/killing-mencho

24.02.2026 03:06 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Americans should want to have effective representation in foreign capitals. This isn't effective.

23.02.2026 20:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Bill Clinton fired an FBI director for using the FBI plane for private business.

22.02.2026 23:05 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The fallout from the CJNG El Mencho raid is fast and furious. Checking in with folks down there, sounds like Guadalajara and other cities are virtually under siege, everyone’s hunkering down at home until they get more clarity as to what’s going on.

22.02.2026 18:40 β€” πŸ‘ 111    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

Judge Goodwin: "An anonymous government is no government at all. It cannot be held accountable. A masked agent freely uses force without justifying his actions, and the public cannot name him to challenge his conduct. A regime of secret policing has no place in our society."

21.02.2026 02:24 β€” πŸ‘ 7900    πŸ” 2834    πŸ’¬ 73    πŸ“Œ 62
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Top NATO allies believe cyberattacks on hospitals are an act of war. They’re still struggling to fight back. State-linked hackers are increasingly targeting critical sectors with no signs of stopping.

The question whether cyber attacks on hospitals or threats to internet cables are acts of war miss the point. Russia and China see competion on a continuum, not a binary of war and peace. The question is, how do we deter aggression along the continuum?
share.google/ByqVWkZAY5Pj...

22.02.2026 11:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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He made a fake ICE deportation tip line. Then a kindergarten teacher called. A Nashville comedian’s deportation hotline, set up as a joke, has gone viral among viewers who say it shows the β€œbanality of evil personified” in the U.S. immigration crackdown.

I thought ICE fishing meant something else

He made a fake ICE deportation tip line. Then a kindergarten teacher called.

www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2...

21.02.2026 01:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump announces new 10% global tariff after raging over Supreme Court loss President Donald Trump spoke hours after the Supreme Court ruled against his global tariffs that he imposed without Congress.

What is the policy aim of a 10% tariff that expires in 150 days? Most countries will probably wait America out. It doesn't change trade conditions long enough enough to reshore manufacturing. It might just be a short term tax passed on to businesses and consumers
www.cnbc.com/2026/02/20/t...

21.02.2026 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0