Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy

Independence should be facilitated with better living conditions and freedom of expression of life.

Magiting na Araw ng Kalayaan para sa lahat ng Pilipino sa buong Pilipinas.

Adjusted with the 2022 voter turnout at 82.98%, that would be 15,725,734, around 15.75 million.

If someone gets 20 million votes, it seems they are assured a seat for the senate. 16 million may still be too low for tight races.

HOPING FOR THE BEST FOR OUR COUNTRY.

With respect to the reported number of registered voters for 2025 at 69,673,655 from Comelec and the 2022 12th placer percentage, the estimated threshold to get into the magic 12 would be 18,951,234, so around 19 million.

From the previous 2022 senatorial election results, the 12th place achieved 27.2% of the total votes, achieved by Jinggoy Estrada.

Plasma proteomic evidence for increased β-amyloid pathology after SARS-CoV-2 infection - Nature Medicine Blood biomarkers in a middle-aged population suggest that SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with greater brain β-amyloid plaque accumulation.

Plasma protein and brain structural imaging evidence that SARS-CoV-2 is associated with greater brain β-amyloid pathology in older adults, particularly those hospitalized or with hypertension.
nature.com/articles/s41... open-access

Official statistics and the image source, go to:

psa.gov.ph/content/gdp-...

However, the looming global trade war, American idiocracy, and the recurring stunting of policymaking from Philippine politics are not good starters.

There is low unemployment, but wage quality is poor.

2024 was a year of bad conditions.

Hoping 2025 fares better with the upcoming election spending, whatever good or bad it is in other respects.

Below government targets.

Way below growth targets to return to pre-pandemic trends.

Very low probability to reach upper-middle income country status in the long term.

Inflation may have calmed, but prices still remain high with dismal real wage growth, if any at all.

I am giving a Customized Training for the Fundamentals of Statistical Methods for Forensic Chemists at the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency!

Presentation done!

Hoping to get photos from the official conference page.

Thanks to the Philippine Society for Public Administration for giving the opportunity to present the multidisciplinary work we do at GRIT Labs!

Day 2 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!

After lunch, I will be presenting about open and collaborative data science for public engagement and policymaking!

Late post:

From Day 1 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!

Presentation will be in Day 2

From 2nd Sem 2024-2025 to 1st Sem 2025-2026, basically CY 2025, sabbatical ko na!

My presentation is titled "Open and Collaborative Data Science: Aiding Public Engagement and Policymaking", which discusses open data principles and analytics workflows with multiple case studies during the COVID-19 pandemic and future work in GRIT Labs.

Super busy but excited for the work we do!

It is organized by the Governance Reform, Innovation, and Transformation (GRIT) Research Laboratories, which led by Dr Kristoffer Berse, Dean of UP NCPAG. I am a GRIT Labs fellow under the Resilient Communities Group and Creative Cities Group.

The panel session is titled “From Big to BOLD: Big, Open and Linked Data for Better Governance and Decision-making”.

I will be a Panel Presenter at the 2024 Philippine Society for Public Administration (PSPA) International Conference to be held from December 5-7, 2024 in Bacolod City, Negros Occidental.

For my new friends on Bluesky, let me share that in 2023 my first book, False Nostalgia: The Marcos "Golden Age" Myths and How to Debunk Them, was published by Ateneo de Manila University Press. I debunk the myths claiming that the 🇵🇭's golden age happened during Marcos Sr's martial law (1972-1986).

At the end of the day, the voting people appointed by election the leaders in government.

The people elect the government they deserve.

*quote works for any country, really*

Finished 3km at the Great UP Run with my partner!

Sometimes I am shocked with what I can do in a short period of time.

Hoping that my abstract on open and collaborative data science for public policy and engagement gets accepted even though it is of short notice.

I have Threads as well as X/Twitter.

However, BSky really is a little better than Threads in terms of using the app.

I still have X/Twitter in the background until the useful Twitter accounts that I follow have all transitioned here.

COVID-19 Pandemic The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the world. Explore global data and research to understand its impact, spread, and global response.

We’ve done a major update to our work on the COVID-19 pandemic!

We published two big new articles (links in 🧵), updated our page and added new data & charts.

Check out our updated page: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus

Here's my latest journal article, recently published in Education Economics!

I analyze the excellence-equity tradeoff in college admissions through the lens of the University of the Philippines, my home uni which attracts 100K+ applicants every year.

🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2024.2421165

My starter pack of fellow Filipino academics, researchers, and thought leaders now on Bluesky.

go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj

Hi, sharing a list of our team of reporters here. Please give them a follow as we figure things out in this new unknown. go.bsky.app/CF5Nudx

Courses being taught in the 1st sem 2024-2025 before my one-year sabbatical this 2025:

DS 397: Special Topics in Data Science [concentration: Interpretable Machine Learning]

Stat 275: Economic Statistics

Stat 280: Special Topics in Statistics [concentration: Forecasting Analytics]

Thank you so much, JC! See you soon!

These starter packs are something new! Please add me!