Jan Trnka

dnes jsme v Ádvojce vydali tohle skvělý číslo. jen jsme ho kvůli Klempířovi a katastrofálním škrtům Ministerstva kultury dělali zadarmo.

kolaps hrozí celému literárnímu sektoru. A2 zatím nejlíp podpoříte předplatným.

advojka.cz/a2-issue/202...

The fallacy of placing confidence in confidence intervals - Psychonomic Bulletin & Review Interval estimates – estimates of parameters that include an allowance for sampling uncertainty – have long been touted as a key component of statistical analyses. There are several kinds of interval ...

A completely different and highly illuminating example is the submarine problem - I like the take on it by @richarddmorey.bsky.social in link.springer.com/article/10.3...

Landscape ecological restoration. It can be done but we need to get a move on. This is Carrifran where the sheep were removed to allow this native woodland to take over.

They are literally running with “we have always been at war with Eurasia.” Unreal.

JUST ONE YEAR'S OF SOLAR!?

In 2025, 82MT of LNG went thru the Strait of Hormuz. That's 1200TWh of gas = about 600TWh of electricity generation if it was used in gas power plants.

Meanwhile in 2025, global solar electricity generation rose by about 600TWh ☀️

I tak by se to dalo říct. Hodně lidí by ideálně chtělo nekonečně parkovacích míst a jsou odhodláni bránit jakékoli redukci.

Problém je v tom, že kopačky z UEFA nevolí návštěvníci/ce těch stadionů...jinými slovy je těžké něco pochopit, pokud na nepochopení stojí moje kariéra.

YouTube video by Richard McElreath Statistical Rethinking Lecture A09 - Modeling Events

Lecture A09 - I get mildly ranty about the low quality of papers on discrimination and somehow also introduce generalized linear models for events and illustrate post-stratification. The theme continues next week with modeling sensitivity to unmeasured confounding. I will try to be less ranty.

good morning everyone project your personal imposter syndrome onto this gif ur welcome

To vypadá zajímavě!

Helsinki just went a full year without a single traffic death The capital city is Finnish’ed with car-related fatalities.

“Helsinki hasn’t registered a single traffic-related fatality in the past year…Citing data that shows the risk of pedestrian fatality is cut in half by reducing a car’s speed from 40 to 30km/hr, city officials imposed the lower limit in most of Helsinki’s residential areas and city center in 2021.”

"Assemble the Board of Peace - I'm starting a war".

Presne tak. Takže Varufakisův technofeudalismus.

Průměrná roční teplota v České republice narostla za posledních 64 let o 2,3 °C. Průměrná teplota jednotlivých měsíců ale roste různě rychle. Nejvíce se oteplují leden, červenec, srpen a prosinec (o více než 2,9 °C od roku 1961), nejméně září a říjen.

Grafiku jsme aktualizovali o data roku 2025.

A co bude zárukou blahobytu pak?

Border Patrol Left a Refugee at a Cafe. Days Later, He Was Found Dead. The disabled man had been released from jail when federal officers showed up and drove him to a coffee shop. His family searched for him for days.

A visually impaired refugee from Myanmar, who could not speak English, had spent a year at a county jail in Buffalo, when, on a cold winter day, he was picked up by Border Patrol agents and left alone at a coffee shop. His family had searched for him for days, but he was found dead.

its actually very simple

Because you can't use a hammer for that.

Actually…😜…exponential decay continuously slows down!

Also, please, don’t all come to Prague! (pictured)

Learning a second language can be hard. Signing up for Pre-K and 3-K is easy.

Go to myschools.nyc to apply today. Deadline is tomorrow at midnight!

My effort to reproduce this paper began as part of the Institute for Replication’s ongoing project to systematically examine the reproducibility and robustness of papers in Nature Human Behaviour3; my participation in this endeavour was approved by the Ethical Review Board of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam’s School of Business and Economics. Inspecting the paper’s first two figures revealed a mathematical impossibility. There are nine EU countries that experienced zero terror attacks during the study’s time frame. However, the paper reports that the inverse hyperbolic sine of these countries’ per capita attack rates are positive, and increase or decrease over time. This is impossible; the inverse hyperbolic sine of zero is zero4. The main outcome variable displayed in the paper’s second figure is hard-coded in the replication data as ‘DVSin’. Figure 1’s top row of plots shows that DVSin is negatively correlated with both terrorist attack rates (r = −0.107, two-sided P = 0.024) and their inverse hyperbolic sine (r = −0.108, two-sided P = 0.022). These plots also show that in the 305/420 country-year observations after 2006 experiencing zero terror attacks (72.6%), DVSin takes on 292 different positive values. This implies that the paper’s main outcome variable cannot possibly be constructed as described in the paper.

"the paper’s main outcome variable cannot possibly be constructed as described in the paper."

Retraction of 2023 paper that did not use the reported variables. The replication report is astonishing www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Pre-publication peer review remains undefeated in laundering bullshit

Ancient artifacts hint at earliest protowriting Geometric shapes on 40,000-year-old bone and ivory suggest early European Homo sapiens long possessed cognitive tools for language

Amazing!

To je jedna z nejvelkolepějších hlášek vůdce země v lidský historii. Napadá mě jen málo srovnatelných.

Jak si stoupli na ulici a ukázali, že jsou v Kyjevě. V době, kdy nebylo jasný vůbec nic, naopak. Frajeři.

Budeš učit??

also noise pollution in the U.S. is almost entirely from cars and it’s literally giving people heart attacks

I wrote an article about it because it’s so absurd

‚Nemusím pracovat od rána do noci.‘ Docentka z Ukrajiny byla v Česku uklízečka, dnes je psycholožkou „Nemusím pracovat od rána do noci jako v Charkově. Můžu mít volné večery na svoje koníčky. Vydělávám průměrné peníze, ale je to normální život v zemi, kde všechno funguje,“ říká Ukrajinka.

"Olha je docentka psychologie a tak nějak jí bylo pro vytírání škoda. Měla ale kuráž a štěstí a dnes na Karlovarsku vede tým psychoterapeutů." ... No já teda nevím, ale myslím, ž k tomuhle by neměla být potřeba kuráž a štěstí, ale systematická veřejná podpora. www.irozhlas.cz/zpravy-domov...

I'm not entirely sure how they did it, but they've completely cleared the streets around my office in Midtown #NYC.

They paid a lot of people good wages to do the job effectively, thank you for coming to my socialism talk

V nedeli delame v Subzeru konc GRAIL$ a jsme radi. Nova deska je lepsi nez posledni dve, porad tu kapelu velmi respektuju. Budeme radi, kdyz se stavite - dekujeme!