Gavin Schmidt

Gavin Schmidt

@climateofgavin.bsky.social

Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.

37,891 Followers 796 Following 1,630 Posts Joined Jun 2023
11 hours ago
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The genius businessman strikes again

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18 hours ago

Oil prices are soaring, thanks to the war that Trump started. However, today the U.S. Department of Justice sued California to try to block a program that would advance adoption of electric vehicles. EVs are the top way 🧵

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19 hours ago

here’s a crazy fact: more Americans have been killed in disputes over parking spots than on the NYC subway this year

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1 day ago
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The Danger of Silence When Academic Freedom Is Under Threat Inaction from rank-and-file workers enabled government censorship during the Red Scares.

Spot on, from @bakerdphd.bsky.social. Higher ed did NOT defend academic freedom in the McCarthy era, and most faculty were silent or indifferent.

And now?

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21 hours ago
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Democrats ask what happened to millions earmarked for Trump’s library — The Washington Post ABC, Meta, Paramount and X reportedly agreed to pay at least $63 million in settlements with the president. The original fund was dissolved last year.

“the Donald J. Trump Presidential Library Fund, Inc., which was set to receive at least some of the settlement funding, was administratively dissolved in September by Florida officials after it did not submit a mandatory annual report” And poof! $63 million ‘disappears’

Bribery law is a joke.

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1 day ago
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The climate scientist who refuses to stay objective This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Sarella Arkkila

The climate scientist who refuses to stay objective #Climate

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1 day ago
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Share your comments on NCAR with NSF Tell NSF the future that you want for NCAR by 13 March

Reminder for everyone to submit your response to the NSF DCL about NCAR by this Friday! Tell your friends. Also call your representatives while you’re at it 😅 agu.quorum.us/campaign/154...

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1 day ago
The case of temporary visitors was more complicated at common law. The
parents, if lawfully present, were under the temporary protection of the sovereign.
That is why one judge in a famous case, Lynch v. Clarke, held in 1844 that a child
born of temporary sojourners was a citizen. But the rule was contested because of
increasing international travel and the resulting dual allegiances. Joseph Story
suggested that an exception for temporary visitors would be a “reasonable
qualification” to the rule. Henry St. George Tucker in his treatise stated flatly that
temporary visitors fell outside the common-law

I'm afraid I can't just sit here and say nothing when another law professor gives false testimony to Congress about the meaning of the Fourteenth Amendment.

Ilan Wurman has given false testimony to Congress, being fully on notice of the falsity. I do not think this is fairly debatable. 1.

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1 day ago

Not going to get that from Matt!

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1 day ago

It’s Matt Ridley, to save you some time. A man born into almost everything he’s done and caused the first bank run in the UK for a century as well as being clueless on climate change and COVID. Big Tufton St vibes though…

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2 days ago
Yellow cargo bike with big yellow bucket in back in front of Shell gasoline sign showing gas prices fo 3.48 - 4.49.

Beat rising gas prices with this one weird trick.

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3 days ago

Are you a young academic working on climate and feel ready for a move? We are recruiting two Assistant/Associate Professors @granthamicl.bsky.social at Imperial College London @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social (1/6)

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3 days ago
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27th Annual Roger Revelle Commemorative Lecture - The Quest to Map the Global Ocean Join us for the 27th annual Roger Revelle Commemorative Lecture on advances in global ocean mapping and seafloor exploration. The lecture will be held at the National Academy of Sciences building (Was...

Join NASEM on the evening of March 17 for the 27th Annual Roger Revelle Commemorative Lecture, featuring Dr. Larry Mayer (University of New Hampshire). Learn details of Dr. Mayer's talk, register, and tune into the livestream on the event webpage: www.nationalacademies.org/projects/DEL...

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10 months ago
Unsplash image of the Earth, mostly the nightside with a tracery of city lights on every continent.

OK, this is wild.

In September 2023, geophysicists across the world started monitoring a very odd signal coming from the ground under them.

It was picked up in the Arctic. And Antarctica. It was detected everywhere, every 90 seconds, as regular as a metronome, for *nine days*.

What the HELL?

1/

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3 days ago

indeed.

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3 days ago
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Opinion | Trump Is Making the U.S. More Vulnerable to Oil Shocks

Odd article. Lots of sensible reasons for embracing EVs and reducing dependence on global oil markets, and then says not to talk about the 'toxic partisan politics of climate change'. Brain rot.

🎁 www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/o...

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4 days ago

Maybe worth pointing out that people have wanted something like this for ages. For instance, it was the top recommendation from this workshop in 2008!

www.giss.nasa.gov/staff/gschmi...

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4 days ago
Rapid Evaluation Framework

This is going to be useful: The CMIP Rapid Evaluation Framework (REF) for derived data from the CMIP archives:

dashboard.climate-ref.org

Still working out the kinks and focused on CMIP6, but will expand for CMIP7.

#CMIP2026

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4 days ago

i don't think that can be assessed with this set of models - most are concentration driven. But if your question is whether the rate of warming is a function of the emissions/year, then, sure. I imagine there are some papers on that (or there will be upcoming).

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4 days ago
CMIP6 trends over the last 13 years (red) and the 13 years before (black) (using the screened simulations), along with the estimate trends from FR26 over (roughly) the same periods.

Is there an acceleration in global warming expected in the CMIP6 climate models? yes! But not as easy to detect in the real world.

(from www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...)

(see also: www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar... from 2024).

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4 days ago
RealClimate: How robust is our accelerometer? RealClimate: A new analysis of historical temperatures suggests that things are getting warmer faster, but what does it mean for the future?

RealClimate: How robust is our accelerometer? www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

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4 days ago
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Home - CMIP Community Workshop 2026 The CMIP Community Workshop 2026 will bring together a growing, and increasingly diverse, community of Earth system scientists, partners, and stakeholders. The workshop will be an opportunity to discu...

somewhat against my better judgement, I signed up for remote attendance for the #CMIP2026 conference starting in two hours (in Japan). It runs 8pm to 4am (NY time) for the next week. People trying to get anything from me over this period are going to be disappointed. 🤷

cmip2026.org

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4 days ago
NASA GISS: Elsaesser et al. 2025: Using machine learning to generate a GISS ModelE calibrated physics ensemble (CPE)

Model calibration - this is impossible at scale using previous methods. www.giss.nasa.gov/pubs/abs/el0...

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4 days ago

He convinced himself that he did nothing wrong (it’s the kids that are confused!) and so he sees nothing wrong in repeating the ‘error’. He is who he is.

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4 days ago

Heads up for those that celebrate: #NitrogenTuesday is on March 24th* this year.

Feel free to prep your Nitrogen-related science communication efforts! 🧪

*It is a floating feast always two Tuesday's before Good Friday.

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5 days ago
Demtetre Daskalakis giving a speech about re-reenvisioning public health Signs in a crowd: The power of the people is greater than the people in power & I’m with Mother Earth Sign saying: Science Br U H in periodic chart format Guy with bicycle and sign saying Impeach RFK Jr

Stand Up for Science NYC

Great speeches, inspired by all the young scientists who spoke out!

@standupforscience.bsky.social

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5 days ago

John makes the key points. What happens going forward depends on *why* things have changed which is still unclear.

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5 days ago

Excellent summary of where we are and where we might want to be.

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6 days ago
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March 7, 1980 - Carbon Balance in Northern Ecosystems and the Potential Effect of Carbon Dioxide Induced Climatic Change - All Our Yesterdays Forty six years ago, on this day, March 7th, 1980, The amount of carbon dioxide in the air was roughly 338ppm. As of 2026 it is 428ppm, but check here for daily measures.  The broader context was by a...

March 7, 1980 – Carbon Balance in Northern Ecosystems and the Potential Effect of Carbon Dioxide Induced Climatic Change

allouryesterdays.info/2026/03/06/m...

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1 week ago
Cartoon by Dave Walker showing different types of private belongings stored on the street. Credit: davewalker.com

Bosh.

[2/2]

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