Catherine Fraser

AC off for the first time in months, praise be

YouTube video by Vattenfall A taste of fossil freedom

some good friday vibes for your feed www.youtube.com/watch?v=bunG...

July 2025 Poll on Latinos, Trump and the Economy | Equis Research This memo summarizes key findings from a national poll of 1,614 registered Hispanic voters, conducted with Data for Progress from July 7 to 17, 2025. This poll has a margin of error of ± 2 pp.

New national polling of Latinos out today from the Equis team in partnership w/ @dataforprogress.org : views on Trump’s economic moves, what they most want to see now, & how it shapes their views of the parties — & their vote in 2026.

Memo & toplines here:

www.weareequis.us/research/202...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Oppose Budget Cuts to the National Park Service and Similar Agencies. Description: In recent months, some lawmakers have made budget cuts to federal agencies that manage public lands, including the U.S. National Park Service. Do you support or oppose budget cuts to these agencies? All likely voters — Support: 22%, Oppose: 73% Democrat — Support: 10%, Oppose: 87% Independent / Third party — Support: 20%, Oppose: 76% Republican — Support: 34%, Oppose: 59% Northeast — Support: 28%, Oppose: 66% Midwest — Support: 21%, Oppose: 75% South — Support: 18%, Oppose: 77% West — Support: 27%, Oppose: 68% Frequent public lands visitor — Support: 29%, Oppose: 69% Infrequent public lands visitor — Support: 19%, Oppose: 78% Never visited public lands — Support: 19%, Oppose: 68% July 18–20, 2025 survey of 1,139 U.S. likely voters.

Voters are similarly opposed to cutting the budgets of federal agencies, like the National Park Service, that manage public lands.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Strongly Oppose the Sale of Public Lands. Description: In recent weeks, some lawmakers have proposed selling public lands to incentivize housing development and pay for legislation. Do you support or oppose the sale of public lands for this purpose? All likely voters — Support: 22%, Oppose: 72% Democrat — Support: 19%, Oppose: 75% Independent / Third party — Support: 19%, Oppose: 75% Republican — Support: 26%, Oppose: 68% 18 to 34 — Support: 30%, Oppose: 64% 35 to 59 — Support: 27%, Oppose: 66% 60+ — Support: 14%, Oppose: 81% Northeast — Support: 27%, Oppose: 66% Midwest — Support: 19%, Oppose: 74% South — Support: 16%, Oppose: 77% West — Support: 33%, Oppose: 64% July 18–20, 2025 survey of 1,139 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: Voters strongly oppose the sale of public lands, including more than two-thirds of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

voters are with @robinsonmeyer.bsky.social and @jessedjenkins.com:

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/6/...

NEW POLL from @DataProgress and @imeupolicy of NYC Democratic primary voters:
• 78% say Israel is committing genocide in Gaza
• 79% support restricting weapons to Israel

www.imeupolicyproject.org/polls/zohran...

proud to work at dfp, part 12938409823

h/t @anikadandekar.bsky.social @khanley.bsky.social

Inside the 2025 NYC Mayoral Primary: Strong Support for Economic Justice and Palestinian Rights Top issues in the 2025 NYC Democratic primary for mayor were affordable housing (74%) and lowering costs (64%) —  issues closely aligned with the focus of Mamdani’s campaign.

The poll also finds that these voters would be less likely to vote for a candidate who does not endorse Mamdani, and more likely to vote for a candidate who pledges to support the Block the Bombs Act.

Read the full poll:

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: NYC Democratic Primary Voters Want the Next Mayor to Enforce the ICC Arrest Warrant. Description: The International Criminal Court (ICC) charged and issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes in Gaza, including using starvation as a weapon of war. Do you believe New York City's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant against Netanyahu if he were to visit New York City? All likely voters — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 63%, Don't know: 16%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 20% Black or African American — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 60%, Don't know: 28%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 12% White — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 61%, Don't know: 14%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 25% Latino — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 61%, Don't know: 16%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 23% NY-10 — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 62%, Don't know: 7%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 30% NY-15 — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 51%, Don't know: 27%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 22% 2021 Voter — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 60%, Don't know: 20%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 20% 2021 Non-voter — NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest warrant: 73%, Don't know: 6%, NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest warrant: 21% July 11-17, 2025 survey of 531 NYC Democratic primary voters.

Roughly 2-in-3 NYC Democratic primary voters want the next mayor to enforce the ICC arrest warrant against Benjamin Netanyahu.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: NYC Democratic Primary Voters Believe Israel Is Committing Genocide in Gaza. Description: Do you believe Israel is committing genocide against the Palestinian people living in Gaza? Response Options: A) Yes, Israel is committing genocide against Palestinian people in Gaza B) Don't know C) No, Israel is not committing genocide against Palestinian people in Gaza All likely voters — 78% chose A, 9% chose B, 13% chose C Black or African American — 75% chose A, 21% chose B, 4% chose C White — 79% chose A, 3% chose B, 18% chose C Latino — 78% chose A, 13% chose B, 9% chose C NY-10 — 71% chose A, 7% chose B, 22% chose C NY-15 — 44% chose A, 36% chose B, 20% chose C 2021 Voter — 77% chose A, 11% chose B, 12% chose C 2021 Non-voter — 85% chose A, 1% chose B, 14% chose C July 11-17, 2025 survey of 531 NYC Democratic primary voters.

Seventy-eight percent of NYC Democratic primary voters believe Israel is committing genocide in Gaza.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: NYC Democratic Primary Voters Want to Restrict Weapons to Israel. Description: Which policy regarding U.S. weapons to Israel do you prefer, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) The U.S. should restrict taxpayer-funded weapons to Israel until it stops attacking civilians in Gaza, supports Palestinian rights, and commits to a long-term peace process. B) Don't know C) The U.S. should continue delivering weapons to Israel to support Israel's right to defend itself against terrorism and complete its war aims in Gaza. All likely voters — 79% chose A, 7% chose B, 13% chose C Black or African American — 84% chose A, 8% chose B, 8% chose C White — 76% chose A, 6% chose B, 18% chose C Latino — 79% chose A, 13% chose B, 8% chose C NY-10 — 71% chose A, 14% chose B, 15% chose C NY-15 — 72% chose A, 16% chose B, 12% chose C 2021 Voter — 77% chose A, 9% chose B, 13% chose C 2021 Non-voter — 87% chose A, 1% chose B, 12% chose C July 11-17, 2025 survey of 531 NYC Democratic primary voters.

A majority of NYC Democratic primary voters believe the U.S. should restrict weapons to Israel.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Top Issues Contributing to Mamdani's Support Were Lowering Costs, Taxing the Wealthy, and Support for Palestinian Rights. Description: The chart shows how various factors influenced respondents who voted for Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC Democratic mayoral primary. Key: a = This was important to me, and swayed how I voted b = This was important to me, but didn’t really sway how I voted c = This was not important to me or how I voted d = Don’t know Results: Lowering costs — a: 89%, b: 7%, c: 4%, d: 0% Taxing the wealthy / standing up to corporations — a: 86%, b: 14%, c: 0%, d: 0% Support for Palestinian rights — a: 62%, b: 26%, c: 12%, d: 0% Personality and energy — a: 60%, b: 29%, c: 10%, d: 0% Removing red tape / regulatory bottlenecks — a: 54%, b: 24%, c: 19%, d: 4% Debate performances — a: 51%, b: 35%, c: 11%, d: 2% Willingness to criticize Israeli government — a: 46%, b: 36%, c: 16%, d: 3% Social media presence / videos — a: 31%, b: 33%, c: 36%, d: 0% TV / mail ads — a: 21%, b: 23%, c: 48%, d: 8% Conversations with campaign staff/supporters — a: 20%, b: 32%, c: 45%, d: 3% Survey conducted July 11–17, 2025 among 531 NYC Democratic primary voters. This question was asked only of the 232 respondents who voted for Mamdani.

NEW POLL with @imeupolicy.bsky.social:

Among NYC voters for Mamdani in the mayoral primary, the top-cited reasons for voting for him are:

- His plans to lower costs
- His plans to tax the wealthy
- His support for Palestinian rights

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

It’s Not Your Imagination — We’re Talking About Heat Domes a Lot More These Days Half of all Americans are sweating under one right now.

"Given the likelihood of longer and hotter heat dome events, then, it becomes imperative to educate people about how to stay safe."

@jeva.bsky.social dives into the "extreme and longer-lasting" heat domes fueled by climate change ⬇️

envelope with stamp on the wrong side

how your email finds me:

Will TVA be privatized? Trump’s efforts to control the utility, fire CEO spark speculation TVA tensions have culminated in a cancelled gas project, a threat to fire TVA’s new CEO, and speculations that President Donald Trump may privatize — or seize control of — the nation’s oldest and larg...

hi bsky anyone wanna do a survey of TVA's service area on this?? DM me!

wpln.org/post/will-tv...

would like to formally announce that this has to be the hottest july i've ever experienced living in washington, dc

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: 6 in 10 Voters Report Living in Financial Precarity. Description: Which of the following statements comes closest to your personal financial situation, even if none are exactly right? Response Options: A) My household's income is more than enough to provide for all household members' needs B) My household's income is enough to provide for all household members' needs, but money is tight C) My household's income is not enough to provide for all household members' needs D) Don't know All likely voters — 30% chose A, 43% chose B, 20% chose C, 6% chose D Democrat — 28% chose A, 40% chose B, 25% chose C, 7% chose D Independent / Third party — 23% chose A, 47% chose B, 22% chose C, 8% chose D Republican — 36% chose A, 45% chose B, 15% chose C, 4% chose D July 11–12, 2025 survey of 1,179 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: While the White House claims the U.S. is in an “economic boom,” only 30% of voters report having more than enough income to provide for their household’s needs.

yes :)

lol finding out on this briefing that there's a climate catherine's starter pack (correct spelling obviously) that I'm in, thanks @katharinehayhoe.com

bsky.app/starter-pack...

just back from focus groups in coal communities in Colorado, and a key theme for many of the folks in these communities it wasn't *coal* they wanted but *the good jobs* brought by coal.

report coming later, but important to recognize that it's not the coal of it all -- it's the jobs.

come join us at dfp!! esp if you’re interested in energy/env/climate!

We Need a New Consumer Movement to Rein in Corporate Power We need engaged and active consumers who will stand up to the corporate power that only keeps growing because we continue to feed it.

New DFP Insights from former CFPB Supervision Director Lorelei Salas:

"We need engaged and active consumers who will stand up to the corporate power that only keeps growing because we continue to feed it."

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...

Hosting a Data for Progress climate happy hour in DC this Thursday!! Join us -- DM for details!

shoulda called it "Fraser" solar

Mark your calendars for a virtual Heatmap briefing next Tuesday.

Heatmap's @kbrigham.bsky.social will be joined by @latimes.com's @sammyroth.bsky.social, @bloomberg.com's @michellema.bsky.social, and Eric Fischgrund of FischTank PR to talk about covering climate and energy in these strange times.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters — Including 1 in 3 Republicans — Disapprove of the Trump Administration's Handling of the Epstein Files. Description: Do you approve or disapprove of the Trump administration's handling of the public release of files related to Jeffrey Epstein? All likely voters — Approve: 35%, Disapprove: 50% Democrat — Approve: 21%, Disapprove: 65% Independent / Third party — Approve: 27%, Disapprove: 56% Republican — Approve: 51%, Disapprove: 33% Heard "a lot" about the Epstein files — Approve: 26%, Disapprove: 71% Heard "a little" about the Epstein files — Approve: 39%, Disapprove: 51% Heard "nothing at all" about the Epstein files — Approve: 33%, Disapprove: 24% July 11–12, 2025 survey of 1,179 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: Voters disapprove of the Trump administration's handling of the Epstein files by a -16-point margin, including 1 in 3 Republicans.

Voters who have heard "a lot" about the files disapprove by a -45-point margin.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

If you had a magic wand, what would you change in your community?

Folks in Milwaukee, WI told us about the minimum wage, job training, and welcoming immigrants.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Support Requiring Landlords to Provide Air Conditioning or Indoor Cooling. Description: In most of the United States, landlords are not obligated to provide renters with an air conditioner or other indoor cooling devices. Would you support or oppose requiring landlords to provide renters with air conditioning or indoor cooling in areas that experience extreme heat events? All likely voters — Support: 76%, Oppose: 20% Democrat — Support: 82%, Oppose: 14% Independent / Third party — Support: 74%, Oppose: 22% Republican — Support: 71%, Oppose: 25% July 3–4, 2025 survey of 1,152 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: Amid record-breaking summer temperatures, a majority of voters support extreme heat protections — like requiring landlords to provide air conditioning to renters.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/7/...

You are cordially invited to our Anti-Prime Sale, where every purchase will financially support bookstores, NOT billionaires 🥳