US accidentally sends protected migrants to wrong continent Trump administration secretly deported nine people to Cameroon, despite US court protections, though none were Cameroonian nationals.

Trump administration secretly deported nine people to 🇨🇲 #Cameroon, despite 🇺🇸 #US court protections, though none were Cameroonian nationals.

NNPC's rising profits obscure deepening debt burdens NNPC's record revenue and profit growth masks over $4.7 billion in hidden liabilities and subsidy debt, revealing deeper vulnerabilities beneath impressive headline numbers.

NNPC's record revenue and profit growth mask over $4.7 billion in hidden liabilities and subsidy debt, revealing deeper vulnerabilities beneath impressive headline numbers.

Ethiopia to ex-soldiers: Please come back, we're busy Ethiopia recalls recently discharged soldiers as tensions with Eritrea escalate over alleged aggression and Red Sea access.

🇪🇹 #Ethiopia recalls recently discharged soldiers as tensions with 🇪🇷 #Eritrea escalate over alleged aggression and Red Sea access.

The Noose Tightens: Analysing the ‘Presidential Executive Order to Safeguard Federation Oil and Gas Revenues and Provide Clarity 2026’ Tinubu's Executive Order centralises oil revenue control under loyalists, and reads as political theatre dressed in legal language raising fears of maximum revenue extraction.

Tightening the noose: President Tinubu's Executive Order centralises oil revenue control under loyalists, reading as political theatre dressed in legal language for maximum second-term extraction.

Chart of the week: Media-reported killings in #Nigeria, Q4 2025

Matchmaking red Nigeria courts Chinese partner for ailing refineries; South Africa signs China trade pact to offset US tariffs.

#Nigeria courts #China to fix its refineries. #SouthAfrica signs Beijing trade pact to dodge #US tariffs.

Two African giants, one red thread. 🇳🇬🇿🇦🇨🇳 #MatchmakingRed

#Nigeria electoral tech is advancing, but voters are retreating

The Week Ahead - Everything must go Africa peddles assets, ends boycotts; Nigeria courts China, Ghana's inflation low but hunger high; Ivory Coast sells bonds, gas flows.

#Nigeria flogs assets while courting #China.
IPOB lifts the Monday lockdown.
#Ghana: 3.8% inflation, 38% food insecurity.
#Cameroon & #EquatorialGuinea merge gas.

Everything must go, including Monday. 🇳🇬🇿🇦🇬🇭🇨🇲🇬🇶🇨🇮🇨🇳

YouTube video by SBM Intelligence Islamism in the Sahel

Video: Islamism in the Sahel 🏜️

We look at how Islamist militant groups like JNIM are expanding from the Sahel into coastal West Africa. Their growth stems from governance failures that require political solutions beyond military force alone.

AGOA extension signals end of free lunch President Trump has signed a retroactive one-year extension of the AGOA trade programme for eligible African countries, aligning it with America First priorities.

#Africa Watch: 🇻🇮 Donald Trump has signed a retroactive one-year extension of the #AGOA trade programme for eligible African countries, aligning it with 🇺🇸#America First priorities.

🌍#Africa gets #AGOA renewal while its 🛢️oil and 🍫cocoa revenues wither.

🇳🇬#Nigeria promotes gas and licenses amid lethal militancy.

Leaders sign hopeful documents while the ground literally collapses.

Clarity, is often the rarest commodity

sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...

Taxing Patience Nigeria's tax reforms are technically sound but could face collapse due to a significant public trust deficit, as citizens demand visible service delivery for compliance.

Taxing patience: An SBM Intel survey reveals 🇳🇬#Nigeria's tax reforms are technically sound but could face collapse due to a significant public trust deficit.

China tightens purse strings across Africa Chinese loans to Africa halved in 2024, shifting towards smaller, strategic investments as Beijing adopts a more cautious economic approach.

Africa Watch - 🇨🇳#China tightens purse strings👛 across 🌍#Africa

The Week Ahead - Not for the faint of heart Tinubu posts ambassadors and visits Türkiye, China cuts African loans, Nigeria handles coup plotters and oil finds, Ghana and Ivory Coast show progress.

From diplomacy & oil to coup plots & debt deals, #Africa’s leaders are multitasking at full throttle.

Governing on the continent is not for the faint-hearted!

Crumbs from the trade table Kenya secures a preliminary duty-free trade deal with China while launching a major stake sale in its state-owned pipeline company to attract investment.

🇰🇪#Kenya secures a preliminary duty-free trade deal with 🇨🇳#China while launching a major stake sale in @kenyapipeline to attract investment.

Meanwhile, 🇨🇩#DRC pitches mining assets to 🇺🇸 #US investors.

The Week Ahead - Planning for tomorrow in today’s emergencies From Nigeria’s new gas flows and Emirati port deals to stricter market rules and an FBI finance chase in Abidjan, West Africa is busy.

From ⛽️gas projects & ⛴️port deals to new market rules, West Africa is aggressively planning for tomorrow.

Yet, amid high-stakes deals, the region is also desperately managing today's emergencies of 🔫banditry and hunger.

Canada’s new reckoning: Navigating geopolitical rupture and African agency Canada PM's speech at Davos confirms Africa's long-held view of a fractured global order. The continent must build pragmatic sovereignty through regional resilience.

🇨🇦#Canada PM, Mark Carney's speech @weforum.org #Davos confirms #Africa's long-held view of a fractured global order.

The continent must build pragmatic sovereignty through regional resilience.

sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/canadas-ne...

Uganda mutes internet as US trade booms Uganda imposed a nationwide internet blackout and detained opposition supporters ahead of the presidential election, creating an atmosphere of severe repression.

#Africa Watch: 🇺🇬 #Uganda imposed an internet shutdown and security clampdown ahead of last week's election, as Museveni sought a 7th term.

Meanwhile, the US House voted to extend #AGOA, maintaining duty-free access for over 30 🌍African nations.

The Week Ahead - A temporary, arithmetical spike Nigeria grapples with escalating insecurity and economic recalibration; Ghana clears energy debts; Côte d’Ivoire attracts bond investors; Uganda holds elections under an internet blackout.

A week of grim arithmetic: adding casualties, subtracting liberties. Governments juggle bonds, debts, and rebased inflation data.

As external actors extend trade deals and fund drones, the narrative insists that the chaos is merely a temporary spike.

A temporary, arithmetical spike

📢

The 🇺🇸#US House extended #AGOA trade terms, with 🇿🇦#SouthAfrica's access under review.

🇬🇭#Ghana cleared $1.47bn in energy debt and launched a domestic infrastructure bond.

🇺🇬#Uganda imposed an internet shutdown amid a repressive election period.

African headlines form a global mixing bowl Somalis protested Israeli recognition of Somaliland as Botswana courted Russia, Ethiopia restructured debt, and China's foreign minister toured Africa.

#Africa's headlines form a global 🍜mixing bowl:

🇸🇴#Somalia protested 🇮🇱#Israel's recognition of #Somaliland.

🇧🇼#Botswana courted 🇷🇺#Russia.

🇪🇹#Ethiopia restructured debt.

🇨🇳#China's foreign minister toured the continent.

sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/african-he...