Florian Krampe

Is Europe's massive defence spending surge a strategic gamble?

In the rush to counter conventional threats, we are building a 21st-century military on quicksand.

That quicksand is climate change: www.weforum.org/stories/2025...
#ClimateSecurity

Europe's defence push can't ignore dual-use climate-defence tech Europe’s defence is vulnerable to climate change. Smarter spending must align military readiness with climate-responsive dual-use technologies.

Here @floriankrampe.bsky.social argues that more of the EU's planned increase in military spending be targeted towards dual use tech responsive to the #ClimateCrisis and #decarbonisation. www.weforum.org/stories/2025... 1/3

The air was still with the sounds of the city...

...carved into the stone monument a solemn vow:

"Let all the souls here rest in peace for we shall not repeat the evil."

80 years on, a day for reflection and peace.

#Hiroshima80

Europe's defence push can't ignore dual-use climate-defence tech Europe’s defence is vulnerable to climate change. Smarter spending must align military readiness with climate-responsive dual-use technologies.

Excellent read! Check it!

www.weforum.org/stories/2025...

Europe🇪🇺 is building a 21st-century military on quicksand.

The massive investment in conventional defence ignores the #climate crisis already degrading forces & threatening bases—a strategic blunder.

📰My full take for the @wef ⏩ www.weforum.org/stories/2025... #ClimateSecurity

Climate change also threatens Europe’s military capability, and a failure to address this will erode our security. Here my esteemed colleague @floriankrampe.bsky.social explains why and how.

Europe's defence push can't ignore dual-use climate-defence tech Europe’s defence is vulnerable to climate change. Smarter spending must align military readiness with climate-responsive dual-use technologies.

Europe’s defence build-up is a climate gamble – here’s how it can course correct

📰⏩ weforum.org/stories/2025... #ClimateSecurity

Tipping cascades between conflict and cooperation in climate change Abstract. Following empirical research on the dynamics of conflict and cooperation under climate change, conditions, pathways, and societal responses in the climate–security nexus are analysed. Comple...

Is the path from climate stress to conflict a gradual slope, or is it a sudden cliff?

🆕📰New paper in Earth Systems Dynamics ⏩ esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/... #ClimateSecurity

Florian serves up the main course. If you're still hungry, here's dessert:

climateandsecurity.org/2022/01/brie...

This means investing in local institutions and empowering communities to cooperatively manage shared resources.

I added the link to the open-access chapter in the first comment.

What are the biggest barriers you see to implementing these integrated approaches on the ground?

#ClimateSecurity

Security-led responses alone are insufficient.

The most effective path forward lies in strengthening community resilience through what we call "environmental peacebuilding." This approach tackles the root causes of vulnerability that extremists exploit.

For instance, groups like Al-Shabaab have strategically used droughts and floods to position themselves as alternative relief providers, gaining legitimacy and control.

They also exploit extreme weather for tactical advantage, moving forces when government security is hampered.

Climate change erodes livelihoods and deepens vulnerabilities. In places like Mali and Somalia, the resulting resource scarcity and weak governance create fertile ground for recruitment.

Extremist groups don't just offer income; they offer an alternative source of governance, relief, and justice.

Is there a direct line between #climatechange and violent extremism?

The answer is far more complex than a simple 'yes' or 'no'.

In our new book chapter, we argue climate change acts as a potent risk multiplier, creating grievances that extremist groups are dangerously adept at exploiting. 🧵👇

YouTube video by Florian Krampe Politics vs. Science: When Evidence Gets Ignored

Why do politicians sometimes ignore evidence from researchers? 🤔

Stefan Döring and I dive into the frustrating clash between science and politics and how collaboration and understanding can lead to smarter policies grounded in reality.

youtu.be/V7FlnIununM

Indeed. We are doing that at our conferences for years now. 🎉

YouTube video by Florian Krampe Politics vs. Science: When Evidence Gets Ignored

Why do politicians sometimes ignore evidence from researchers? 🤔

Stefan Döring and I dive into the frustrating clash between science and politics and how collaboration and understanding can lead to smarter policies grounded in reality.

youtu.be/V7FlnIununM

Suspending the Indus Waters Treaty: What it Means and Why it Matters On April 23, 2025, India announced the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) following an attack that killed more than 20 tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir. While the region’s history [......

Check it out! Suspending the #Indus Waters Treaty: What it Means and Why it Matters - #India #Pakistan #Kashmir #Rivers #Water #Peace @newsecuritybeat.bsky.social

www.newsecuritybeat.org/2025/06/susp...

In Haiti 🇭🇹 climate vulnerability and conflict are tragically intertwined.

Our new #ClimateSecurity Fact Sheet, a joint effort between @SIPRIorg and @nupinytt, unpacks this complex crisis.

Read the full fact sheet here: www.sipri.org/publications...

A fitting venue for a critical discussion. The OSCE Chair Conference on #ClimateSecurity was held at Hanaholmen, the 🇸🇪-🇫🇮 centre for cooperation. That collaborative spirit is exactly what's needed to advance the climate security agenda.

Only two European states have net zero military emissions target, data shows Austria and Slovenia are the only countries whose governments committed to net zero military emissions

SIPRI’s Florian Krampe featured in new article by The Guardian: “Ignoring military emissions is not just concerning with regard to climate change,” said Krampe. “It ignores the growing recognition of climate change being a serious security risk for Europe and beyond.”
🔗 bit.ly/4jzfcQu

YouTube video by RSISVideoCast ICPVTR Webinar on Climate Change and Violent Extremism on 20 March 2025

Prioritizing climate-smart livelihoods & strengthening local governance in vulnerable regions isn't just development – it's essential preventative security. Watch the full discussion: youtu.be/5vHT1c2EEMU?...

Climate impacts are being cynically exploited by extremist groups, fueling grievances & recruitment.

It's time for integrated responses.

Policymakers & donors must mandate & fund integration of #ClimateAdaptation & resilience-building into all #Peacebuilding, development & stabilization efforts.

"Is #ClimateChange inadvertently creating fertile ground for #ViolentExtremism? 🤔

My key takeaway from our recent RSIS webinar: Ignoring this critical nexus risks catastrophic security failures. 👇

#ClimateSecurity #PCVE #HumanSecurity

Only two European states have net zero military emissions target, data shows Austria and Slovenia are the only countries whose governments committed to net zero military emissions

My position is that more is possible:

"The defence sector can no longer be a blind spot in climate action. Rising military spending should drive green innovation, not lock in carbon dependence."

🔗 Read the full analysis here: www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...

Ignoring military emissions (estimated at 5.5% globally – more than flying but less than steel making) isn't just a climate concern.

Ignoring military CO2 footprints means "ignoring the growing recognition of climate change being a serious security risk for Europe & beyond."

Alarming @theguardian.com guardian report by Ajit Niranjan: Only 2/30 European countries have net-zero targets for military emissions. A massive oversight given militaries account for ~5.5% of global emissions.

This isn't just a climate issue—it’s a #SecurityRisk. 👇 #ClimateSecurity

Climate change and peacebuilding: sub-themes of an emerging research agenda What is the relationship between climate change, conflict-affected states and peacebuilding? To fill this research gap, this article studies the intersecti

Climate change deepens grievances & makes peacebuilding harder.

Yet research often overlooks how it transforms the process.

We argue it's time to rethink #peacebuilding for a warming world.

This isn't just academic—it's about future security. Read & discuss: academic.oup.com/ia/article/1...

Peacebuilding cannot comprehensively address peace without taking into account the effects of climate change.

What if our approach to peace is missing a crucial piece?

For decades, we've studied war & peace as if isolated from nature.

But #climate change is an active force shaping conflicts & peace efforts.

Our recent International Affairs article dives deep. 👇
#ClimateSecurity #Peacebuilding

How do we move beyond discussing global challenges to acting on… | Florian Krampe How do we move beyond discussing global challenges to acting on interconnected solutions for a more peaceful future? 🌍 Last week's Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development offered vital insights...

How do we move beyond discussing global challenges to acting on interconnected solutions for a more peaceful future? 🌍

Last week's Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development offered vital insights, reinforcing the urgent need for synergy over silos.

www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...