The #MSC2026 report "Under Destruction" offers a powerful analysis of our fracturing geopolitical order.
My latest in @financialtimes.com complements this by looking at the physical order: ft.com/content/b44f...
@munsecconf.bsky.social #ClimateSecurity #Arctic @sipri.org
SIPRI Director of Studies @floriankrampe.bsky.social discusses the changing physics of the Arctic in this opinion piece for the @financialtimes.com, and explains why environmental realities must be taken into account.
Full article ➡️ bit.ly/4kqOLhM
#Arctic #ClimateSecurity #Geopolitics #SIPRI
Thank you for sharing Karsten!
The real #Greenland problem?
Leaders ignore “the water rising around their ankles”, SIPRI’s @floriankrampe.bsky.social argues
“Countries are systematically underinvesting in protection against environmental forces that degrade the capabilities of their defence assets…”
www.ft.com/content/b44f...
How can investing in the green transition build lasting resilience? SIPRI's @floriankrampe.bsky.social and Aurore Belfrage break it down in their latest external article for @di.se. Read it now: www.di.se/debatt/inves...
We are treating "Green vs. Military" as a budget war. It should be an innovation race.
🇸🇪 Sweden’s defense budget is up 34%. If we don't invest in dual-use tech, we are funding obsolescence.
The Nordics can own this export market. My op-ed w/ @aurorebelfrage.bsky.social in @di.se.
Last week, SIPRI's @floriankrampe.bsky.social spoke at a panel hosted by Oesterreichische Nationalbank on sustainable security. 📺 Watch the panel discussion: www.youtube.com/watch?v=91ik...
#Sustainability #SustainableSecurity #ClimateRisks #Resilience
I spent this week in two very different rooms, discussing the same looming failure.
You cannot buy 21st-century security with a 20th-century receipt. If we treat "National Security" and "Ecological Security" as separate line items, we fail at both.
#ClimateSecurity
EU defense spending is up 16%.
But a budget ignoring climate resilience is built on quicksand. Deterrence fails when troops are tied up in disaster relief.
Wed at @oenb.at, we debate the operational reality.
It isn't about emissions. It's about survival.
www.linkedin.com/events/balan...
We define projects by the name of the pot where the money comes from, not by the problems they solve.
As I discussed with @danbanik.bsky.social this isn't just an administrative headache. It is a systemic failure.
youtu.be/Hb6voDIkS1c?...
I sat down with @danbanik.bsky.social to discuss why "hard security" is becoming a brittle strategy in the Anthropocene.
Full discussion on In Pursuit of Development: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hb6v...
#ClimateSecurity #Defense #Peacebuilding @sipri.org
This new partner publication by @giz.de, ISS and SIPRI brings together research and practical experience to offer actionable recommendations for making work on fragility more effective and sustainable➡️ bit.ly/44skwQW
#Peace #Development @floriankrampe.bsky.social @dylan-odriscoll.bsky.social
We have the capital. We have the technology. What we lack is a social machinery capable of using them.
👉 www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
Europe is focused on the Eastern flank. But can we afford to let "hard security" blind us to #ClimateSecurity risks?
If we drain resilience funding to buy tanks, we aren't safer—we’re just vulnerable in a different way.
My discussion w Dominic Bowen 👇
open.spotify.com/episode/2ffE...
If European industry can’t navigate this bureaucracy, what hope do Fragile States have?
New data from the Financial Times on the EU Innovation Fund is damning:
❌ €7.1bn awarded since 2021
❌ Only 4.7% actually paid out
❌ 3,000 hours and €85k per application
www.linkedin.com/posts/krampe...
Is your supply chain strategy prepared for the coming governance deficit?
Climate stress + weak institutions = commercial volatility.
Companies that win will treat resilience as an investment, not a reporting burden.
🎧 open.spotify.com/episode/2ffE... #Geopolitics #BusinessStrategy
Can the world quit #coal?
#COP30 #energy #ActOnClimate #Brazil #China #India
@matpaterson.bsky.social @leahstokes.bsky.social
theconversation.com/can-the-worl...
The experience was deeply rewarding—not in spite of the difficulty, but because of it.
I'm grateful to TEDxMidAtlantic for the opportunity and grateful to myself for continuing to challenge my own comfort.
Do hard things!
#TEDx #DoHardThings
But that simplification is also the mechanism for the platform's power. It forces you to distill your core idea.
It’s what makes complex topics accessible to a global audience and provides a stage for new perspectives.
For researchers, TED talks are a specific kind of hard. We're trained to embrace nuance and complexity.
Here, you're forced to cut, simplify, and present over-rehearsed content. That process can feel inauthentic.
In a recent video Casey Neistat distinguishes between mandatory hardships and chosen hardships.
This talk was a chosen hardship. The key about a chosen challenge is you can quit at any time, which forces you to confront why you're doing it.
Yesterday, this philosophy was tested when I stepped onto the red dot at #TEDxMidAtlantic.
It was terrifying—bright lights, a theatre full of dark silhouettes. I’ve never practiced a talk this much, or worked with a coach to train for one.
I did it. I froze once but recovered.
I've always believed in intentionally exposing myself to difficult situations. Public speaking. Pitching to publishers. Interviewing senior policymakers.
The reasoning is simple: If you don't try, you don't win. If you don't fail, you can't grow.
Today, #SIPRI releases a new research policy paper by
Katongo Seyuba and @floriankrampe.bsky.social exploring how businesses can foster climate resilience and #peacebuilding in fragile and conflict-affected situations.
Full paper 🔗 doi.org/10.55163/PDK...
#ClimateSecurity #ClimateChange
Most CEOs see fragile states as a risk to be avoided.
But could they be the single greatest untapped market for European business, especially in regards to climate-resilient investments?
Katongo Seyuba and I explore the question: www.sipri.org/publications... #ClimateSecurity
🇨🇿✨
Despite having a clear mandate to work at the intersection of #ClimateChange and security, the #OSCE's approach is still to reach its full potential. In this new Policy Brief, Emma Hakala & @floriankrampe.bsky.social give recommendations to strengthen the OSCE’s work:
🔗 doi.org/10.55163/MLS...
The OSCE has a long history of environment & security.
How to turn high-level commitments into on-the-ground action?
Our new @sipri.org Policy Brief w/
@ezhakala.bsky.social of @fiia.fi offers a roadmap.
📰⏩Read it here: www.sipri.org/publications...
#ClimateSecurity
Vital debate at the Bled Strategic Forum on the nexus of #water, peace & #security.
My key message: We must treat water as the political issue it is. While climate change raises the stakes, conflict is not destiny. Evidence-based, preventive action can build pathways to peace.
