Coordinator @paxcons - Bluesky Profile

Monaco connection New documents about Epstein have been released. The interesting topic for us is what they reveal about Epstein's connections in politics, intelligence services and diplomacy. Epstein's files and previous investigations we published about Monaco related to the influential Russian community in the sunny enclave bring to the table new interesting revelations on how the world functions. Enjoy. En español, un resumen del análisis:

Monaco connection

New documents about Epstein have been released. The interesting topic for us is what they reveal about Epstein's connections in politics, intelligence services and diplomacy. Epstein's files and previous investigations we published about Monaco related to the influential Russian…

13.02.2026 20:42 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Russian activity In today’s update, we’re diving into the recent surge of Russian intelligence operations—a complex web of tactical blunders, ruthless internal control, and a deepening international scandal that is currently rattling the halls of power in London and Warsaw, and elsewhere. A Tale of Two Operations: Failures and Successes Russian intelligence is currently operating at a high tempo, though with mixed results.

Russian activity

In today’s update, we’re diving into the recent surge of Russian intelligence operations—a complex web of tactical blunders, ruthless internal control, and a deepening international scandal that is currently rattling the halls of power in London and Warsaw, and elsewhere. A Tale…

09.02.2026 16:24 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

A ring of allies: China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela and Cuba This piece is not easy or friendly to read. It involves some maths like matrices, Markov chains or eigenvalues. But there is also a lot of geopolitical plain English. I hope it raises some interest applying maths to geopolitics. We analyse the trade relationships among China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela and Cuba, comparing what brings along Maduro's extraction, so to speak. Enjoy the read. Iran_on_the_brinkDescarga

A ring of allies: China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela and Cuba

This piece is not easy or friendly to read. It involves some maths like matrices, Markov chains or eigenvalues. But there is also a lot of geopolitical plain English. I hope it raises some interest applying maths to geopolitics. We analyse…

31.01.2026 00:48 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

How have U.S. special ops evolved? The United States have a long history of interventions in foreign countries after the Cold War broke out. Those experiences have shaped the way those operations are carried out today and explain why the U.S. have behaved differently in scenarios like Venezuela and Iran recently. Successes and failures have their shares. Here you have a bunch of summaries in different languages for you to hear,as well as a video in Spanish and subtitled in English for you to see and get an overview of the sutdy.

How have U.S. special ops evolved?

The United States have a long history of interventions in foreign countries after the Cold War broke out. Those experiences have shaped the way those operations are carried out today and explain why the U.S. have behaved differently in scenarios like Venezuela…

26.01.2026 04:07 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Monarchy or republic in Iran Just a quick analysis regarding the future of Iran. Enjoy. INTRODUCTION The situation in Iran has sparked hopes all over the world, especially among the Iranian diaspora. The winds of change are sweeping the earth. Gaza, Azerbaijan, Venezuela, Greenland, Thailand and Cambodia, Ukraine, war on tariffs and now Iran, to name a few. Changes are always on the go but lately, it seems that they are happening continuously, one after the other and even overlapping one another.

Monarchy or republic in Iran

Just a quick analysis regarding the future of Iran. Enjoy. INTRODUCTION The situation in Iran has sparked hopes all over the world, especially among the Iranian diaspora. The winds of change are sweeping the earth. Gaza, Azerbaijan, Venezuela, Greenland, Thailand and…

11.01.2026 23:56 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Putin vs Bush jr. The National Security Archive has published transcripts of conversations and meetings between Putin and George W. Bush which took place between 2001-2008. They are quite revealing regarding facts that have happened recently, such as the war in Ukraine or how the EU is regarded by Putin but also in the Oval Office, regardless of who is occupying it. It also offers some insights into the future. Enjoy the read. Putin_BushDescarga

Putin vs Bush jr.

The National Security Archive has published transcripts of conversations and meetings between Putin and George W. Bush which took place between 2001-2008. They are quite revealing regarding facts that have happened recently, such as the war in Ukraine or how the EU is regarded by…

09.01.2026 23:33 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Ukraine after Venezuela It is essential to address the situation that has emerged in Venezuela following Nicolás Maduro’s removal from the country. It is also essential to distinguish between the role each actor is expected to play publicly and the reality of behind-the-scenes cooperation. Enjoy the videos in your own language (some of them, at least). In English: En español: En français: Auf Deutsch:

Ukraine after Venezuela

It is essential to address the situation that has emerged in Venezuela following Nicolás Maduro’s removal from the country. It is also essential to distinguish between the role each actor is expected to play publicly and the reality of behind-the-scenes cooperation. Enjoy…

05.01.2026 23:35 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Taiwan & China Happy New Year. As we open the first entry of 2026, the global landscape remains dominated by two critical flashpoints: Taiwan and Ukraine. To evaluate these risks, we have employed a dual-methodology approach. While these frameworks operate on different logic, they have arrived at a sobering consensus. I. The Methodologies: Traditional vs. Mathematical Our analysis splits into two distinct schools of thought, each offering unique strengths and limitations.

Taiwan & China

Happy New Year. As we open the first entry of 2026, the global landscape remains dominated by two critical flashpoints: Taiwan and Ukraine. To evaluate these risks, we have employed a dual-methodology approach. While these frameworks operate on different logic, they have arrived at…

03.01.2026 00:37 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Forecast: 2026 As the end of the year approaches, it is compulsory to offer the readers some forecast for the incoming year. And here you have. In our case we have taken into account, as well as other sources and our own vision, reports by Chinese, Russian and Latinamerican think tanks. At the same time, we have elaborated mor than 250,000 scenarios to analyze different topics such as Venezuela, evolution of the EU, developments regarding global power, relations between China and the US and the situation in Ukraine.

Forecast: 2026

As the end of the year approaches, it is compulsory to offer the readers some forecast for the incoming year. And here you have. In our case we have taken into account, as well as other sources and our own vision, reports by Chinese, Russian and Latinamerican think tanks. At the…

23.12.2025 21:28 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Money laundering from Venezuela In Spain there has been or there are 13 cases related to corruption in Venezuela. The most recent case involved the former Spanish ambassador to Caracas, Raúl Morodo, who allegedly participated in laundering at least EUR 4,500,000 (USD 5,786,433) illicitly taken from PDVSA. According to the court, immediately after Morodo left the embassy, PDVSA signed fake legal consultancy contracts…

Money laundering from Venezuela

In Spain there has been or there are 13 cases related to corruption in Venezuela. The most recent case involved the former Spanish ambassador to Caracas, Raúl Morodo, who allegedly participated in laundering at least EUR 4,500,000 (USD 5,786,433) illicitly taken…

17.12.2025 19:35 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

War on drugs (II) Situation continues to evolve at the Caribbean. Tension increases as the awarded Nobel Peace Prize, Corina Machado, has not been able to attend the event. The breaking news is that she is already out of the country and if she is, it has been done with the support of the U.S., which would represent the first action on the ground.

War on drugs (II)

Situation continues to evolve at the Caribbean. Tension increases as the awarded Nobel Peace Prize, Corina Machado, has not been able to attend the event. The breaking news is that she is already out of the country and if she is, it has been done with the support of the U.S.,…

10.12.2025 20:31 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

US National Security Strategy Trump's team has published the new National Security Strategy. It is disruptive. It presents a bluntly what Trump wants to achieve although Europeans seem to miss some of the main messages contained. European media are focused on what affects Europe but the picture is not Europe-centred anymore, and that's the lesson to be learnt and to be accepted. And if Europe doesn't like it, it is time to become a doer instead of remaining a thinker.

US National Security Strategy

Trump's team has published the new National Security Strategy. It is disruptive. It presents a bluntly what Trump wants to achieve although Europeans seem to miss some of the main messages contained. European media are focused on what affects Europe but the picture is…

08.12.2025 20:32 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Russia’s leverage Analysts all over the place write and talk about the current situation in Russia, the United States and Europe as war develops in Ukraine. But, where all these analysis agree or disagree? With all the displayed knowledge on the situation, what can we predict for the coming future? Where is there consensus? What can we expect from future likely events? Is there a chance to change things, to cahnge a cycle of violence into another of peace?

Russia’s leverage

Analysts all over the place write and talk about the current situation in Russia, the United States and Europe as war develops in Ukraine. But, where all these analysis agree or disagree? With all the displayed knowledge on the situation, what can we predict for the coming…

21.11.2025 02:48 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Epstein case A lot has been written about Epstein and his entourage. And more will be written, spoken, discussed, rebutted, denied but little confirmed in the coming months. It was needed to review tha facts of this case regarding the current presidency at the United States. But only the facts, getting rid of all the noise that every party has introduced since the inception of the case. Enjoy the read. Epstein_TrumpDescarga

Epstein case

A lot has been written about Epstein and his entourage. And more will be written, spoken, discussed, rebutted, denied but little confirmed in the coming months. It was needed to review tha facts of this case regarding the current presidency at the United States. But only the facts,…

15.11.2025 01:37 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

War on drugs in the Caribbean The ongoing war on drugs in the Caribbean may have implications for the drug market in Europe. Everybody is focused on the probability of using the military deployment to overthrow Maduro from power. But it is more likely that Trump will spread the range of kinetic actions to a wider region. We have wondered if this war on drugs may affect European cocaine market. Enjoy the read. WarOnDrugsDescarga

War on drugs in the Caribbean

The ongoing war on drugs in the Caribbean may have implications for the drug market in Europe. Everybody is focused on the probability of using the military deployment to overthrow Maduro from power. But it is more likely that Trump will spread the range of kinetic…

02.11.2025 22:57 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

China and its cyberwar As the US has many sources to dig in the cyber attacks and efforts that China has and is carrying out against US interests, here you will find some interesting information which exposes how China is preparing itself for a future conflict. It doesn't mean it will happen but it means that China has not discarded such a scenario. China is getting ready to face such a challenge, although the country of the dragon may not wish for it.

China and its cyberwar

As the US has many sources to dig in the cyber attacks and efforts that China has and is carrying out against US interests, here you will find some interesting information which exposes how China is preparing itself for a future conflict. It doesn't mean it will happen but…

22.10.2025 18:02 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

How Bin Laden affected your life It's over 14 years that Bin Laden was hunted down in Pakistan. However, his legacy remains, not only because global jihad is still on, weakened but alive, but because his actions on 9th 11 had implications overtime. The world has been shaped by Bin Laden's actions and the intelligence community has not dodged this efect. Enjoy the read. EffectsofLadenDescarga

How Bin Laden affected your life

It's over 14 years that Bin Laden was hunted down in Pakistan. However, his legacy remains, not only because global jihad is still on, weakened but alive, but because his actions on 9th 11 had implications overtime. The world has been shaped by Bin Laden's actions…

18.10.2025 20:23 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The West under attack Some in the West may deny it, but the West is under attack. Defense budgets are rising for the long haul; once-neutral states have shed their neutrality; and governments are devising new ways to expand their armies, navies, and air forces. The defense industry has become a magnet for investment funds. Meanwhile, Russia is striking on Western soil—well beyond drones over Denmark or Poland and attacks on undersea infrastructure, not to mention relentless cyber operations. Read on. AttackOnTheWestDescarga

The West under attack

Some in the West may deny it, but the West is under attack. Defense budgets are rising for the long haul; once-neutral states have shed their neutrality; and governments are devising new ways to expand their armies, navies, and air forces. The defense industry has become a…

16.10.2025 20:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Russia-Ukraine: an update After the great success for Trump in Gaza, he seems determined to face the conflict in Ukraine. It would bring him renewed forces and international recognition, which he seeks and loves. Some months have gone by without paying attention to Ukraine on a daily basis. Here you have an update of the situation Trump has to deal with. Enjoy the read. Update_russia_ukrDescarga

Russia-Ukraine: an update

After the great success for Trump in Gaza, he seems determined to face the conflict in Ukraine. It would bring him renewed forces and international recognition, which he seeks and loves. Some months have gone by without paying attention to Ukraine on a daily basis. Here…

15.10.2025 18:19 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Spyware: a tool or a threat? Tools such as Candiru, Predator, and Pegasus are not new. While primarily deployed by governments, their use has at times fallen outside legal bounds. Given the diversity of governmental ideologies and interests, the resulting target sets can be unlikely bedfellows. Pegasus has been recently at the core of many controversies. Spain, Hungary, Morocco or Greece, to name a few, and other governments have been using it in ways which have resulted in political implications.

Spyware: a tool or a threat?

Tools such as Candiru, Predator, and Pegasus are not new. While primarily deployed by governments, their use has at times fallen outside legal bounds. Given the diversity of governmental ideologies and interests, the resulting target sets can be unlikely bedfellows.…

10.10.2025 17:32 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Genocide(y/n) Genocide is a despicable word which is part of human history. It is not to make us proud, on the contrary it should remind us of what we are capable of, as a group, as sheep. We choose our shepards and we are to be accountable. In other parts of the world, citizens are not to be accountable for that, as they are given their leaders as our parents are given to us.

Genocide(y/n)

Genocide is a despicable word which is part of human history. It is not to make us proud, on the contrary it should remind us of what we are capable of, as a group, as sheep. We choose our shepards and we are to be accountable. In other parts of the world, citizens are not to be…

22.09.2025 20:37 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Winds of war Troubles are unfolding everywhere. Winds of war are blowing. Right now it's a bit more than a breeze. There are worrying signs we should not overlook. And it is always better to be aware than not. It's a lie that ignorance is bliss. Denying facts will only lead to frustration and disaster. Be aware and act accordingly. It will keep fear at bay. Enjoy the read. Winds_of_warDescarga

Winds of war

Troubles are unfolding everywhere. Winds of war are blowing. Right now it's a bit more than a breeze. There are worrying signs we should not overlook. And it is always better to be aware than not. It's a lie that ignorance is bliss. Denying facts will only lead to frustration and…

14.09.2025 01:15 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

ODNI reshaped Tulsi Gabbard is reshaping her office, as she was mandated to do when she took office. ODNI was likely to have grown in excess. Both parties seem to agree on this topic although differences remain regarding the scope of the reshufflement undertaken. Enjoy the read. ODNI_reshapedDescarga

ODNI reshaped

Tulsi Gabbard is reshaping her office, as she was mandated to do when she took office. ODNI was likely to have grown in excess. Both parties seem to agree on this topic although differences remain regarding the scope of the reshufflement undertaken. Enjoy the read.…

13.09.2025 22:59 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

From Putin with love The meeting in Alaska has taken place. It was shorter than expected. New meetings among leaders are in the agenda. Putin has been consistent all along. What does he tell us from previous events? How did he managed them? Was he successful? The coup that Wagner, under Prigozhin's leadership, undertook in 2023 can provide the world with some hints of what drives Putin's rationale. Enjoy the read. Autocracy_loyalty_UkrDescarga

From Putin with love

The meeting in Alaska has taken place. It was shorter than expected. New meetings among leaders are in the agenda. Putin has been consistent all along. What does he tell us from previous events? How did he managed them? Was he successful? The coup that Wagner, under…

17.08.2025 18:01 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Moroccan deep state Moroccan intelligence agencies are fighting each other. It is not new but interesting times may be looming in the kingdom. The King is sick and the Crown Prince is almost ready to replace his father when necessary. In addition, former colonial powers, Spain and France, and his traditional enemy, Algeria, are paying attention and positioning themselves for the new era. Morocco has been spying on French and Spanish politicians but Moroccan institutions are also being attacked. Here some hints. Enjoy the read. Moroccan_deep_stateDescarga

Moroccan deep state

Moroccan intelligence agencies are fighting each other. It is not new but interesting times may be looming in the kingdom. The King is sick and the Crown Prince is almost ready to replace his father when necessary. In addition, former colonial powers, Spain and France, and his…

17.08.2025 17:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Seeding mistrust Mistrust is gaining traction among intelligence agencies in the Western world. It all works in favour of Russia and China. Mistrust is an insidious seed which grows silently. It takes little watering to blossom, especially in the world of spies, a world of mirrors. Just some hints on the topic.

Seeding mistrust

Mistrust is gaining traction among intelligence agencies in the Western world. It all works in favour of Russia and China. Mistrust is an insidious seed which grows silently. It takes little watering to blossom, especially in the world of spies, a world of mirrors. Just some hints…

04.08.2025 17:23 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Western agencies’ cooperation Given that the director of the French DGSE has appeared on national tv being interviewed talking unexpectedly about different aspects of the spy agency he runs (he was previously the director of the DGSI, the French security service), let's have a look into the relations among Western agencies. Enjoy the read. West_relationsDescarga

Western agencies’ cooperation

Given that the director of the French DGSE has appeared on national tv being interviewed talking unexpectedly about different aspects of the spy agency he runs (he was previously the director of the DGSI, the French security service), let's have a look into the…

01.08.2025 18:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

China’s ambitions Using the U.S. recommendation that Spain terminate its Huawei contract—linked to Spain's lawful interception system—as a starting point, we examined China's cyber activities. In addition, we reviewed the strategic objectives China is currently pursuing. We hope you find the analysis insightful. Enjoy the read. China_cyberDescarga

China’s ambitions

Using the U.S. recommendation that Spain terminate its Huawei contract—linked to Spain's lawful interception system—as a starting point, we examined China's cyber activities. In addition, we reviewed the strategic objectives China is currently pursuing. We hope you find the…

26.07.2025 19:15 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

US Intelligence community, harmed Trump is shaking the world but he is also rocking the US intelligence commmunity. Listen to the following: Trump is also firing people in other agencies although the level of involvement seems to be less profound. However, the number of people affected will have an overall effect on the intelligence community. It is not only the morale being affected but also the…

US Intelligence community, harmed

Trump is shaking the world but he is also rocking the US intelligence commmunity. Listen to the following: Trump is also firing people in other agencies although the level of involvement seems to be less profound. However, the number of people affected will have…

13.07.2025 18:47 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Wrapping up Just a conversation about current topics. A wrap up, an update you can listen while driving or gardening. Enjoy it. Geopolitical brief

Wrapping up

Just a conversation about current topics. A wrap up, an update you can listen while driving or gardening. Enjoy it. Geopolitical brief

11.07.2025 23:43 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

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