Third Way

We've got new data out, and it paints a clear picture of how Democrats should be talking about Republicans’ unpopular Big "Beautiful" Bill.

See more: www.thirdway.org/memo/big-bea...

Analysis | Have Republicans won young men? In today’s edition … Why young men turned to Trump ... Things are heating up in North Carolina … And you give us your thoughts on David Hogg and age.

ICYMI: Democrats have lost young men. We talked to them about why they've moved right and how Dems can win them back. Read more from the @washingtonpost.com: www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

"Democrats have been too attached to a status quo that has been failing us for a long time," @petebuttigieg.bsky.social told @steveinskeep.bsky.social this morning.

We agree. Voters want to see change and policies that support them.

The existential threat is our shrinking middle class, @elissaslotkin.bsky.social warns, because when people feel they can't get ahead, they blame other people.

Comeback in ’90s Offers Democrats a Bit of Hope. But Not Much.

"Democrats are the party of government. We believe in government. But government needs to work," says Al From on how Dems rebuild.

More from him and @thirdwaymattb.bsky.social on Dems' comeback, and defending the federal government instead of discrediting it. ⤵️ www.nytimes.com/2025/07/23/u...

"What Democrats need is a clear and compelling roadmap for the future – a change agenda that differs clearly from the path set by Trump and congressional Republicans," says @repgreglandsman.bsky.social.

Check out his economic plan that supports working families. www.usnews.com/opinion/arti...

Rural southwest Nebraska clinic closes, blaming expected Medicaid cuts McCook-based Community Hospital said it is shutting down its clinic in Curtis, a town of about 900 people.

This rural community hospital—closing its doors thanks in part to the Republican budget bill—is the first of many devastating hospital closures to come. Regardless of zip code, thousands will continue to lose access to health care due to local closures like this. www.klkntv.com/rural-southw...

"I will lower prices on day one."

The numbers speak for themselves. Americans are paying more thanks to Trump's tariffs.

National parks lack resources, communities struggle to recover from storms, and Americans cannot confidently get on a plane.

Under Trump, Americans are worse off and their lives (and livelihoods) are at risk.

Progressive groups generate excitement in the Democratic base but don't win elections in purple or red places. As we've seen time and time again, House and Senate majorities are won through the center.

Our latest analysis compiles the expected revenue loss for every hospital in the country, broken down by state. See what hospitals are impacted in your area. ⬇️ www.thirdway.org/graphic/gop-...

The Big Ugly Bill impacts more than just Medicaid recipients—thanks to the $24 billion cut to hospitals nationwide, all Americans will find health care harder and costlier to access. Congressional Republicans chose to inflict this cruel pain to show their allegiance to Trump.

News flash: Trump doesn't give a s**t about your energy bills.

Measles cases have hit a record high in 33 years—wonder why?

💉The Trump Admin dismantled the nation’s expert vaccine panel
🦠Republicans cut funds for the CDC in half
🩺Trump’s cuts to the NIH canceled grants on vaccine hesitancy

Learn how the Trump Admin is making America sicker: t.co/9Y9PV6TBq0

See our report on how stripping these agencies makes Americans more vulnerable: www.thirdway.org/memo/sicker-...

As Texas recovers from deadly flooding and the southeast braces for tropical depression Chantal, more Americans will suffer from Trump's actions. By gutting weather forecasting and natural disaster response agencies, Trump is putting lives at risk when extreme weather hits.

Check out all the ways Trump's funding cuts make us sicker: www.thirdway.org/memo/sicker-...

5 under-the-radar pieces of Trump's "big, beautiful bill" that could impact your life The 'big, beautiful bill' could impact gambling in the United States if it becomes law, experts said.

Trump's Big Ugly Bill hurts Americans in a multitude of ways. Here are some under-the-radar elements that may affect your life:

❌Rising electricity bills
❌Consumer protections stripped away
❌Tax liabilities for gambling www.axios.com/2025/07/02/b...

Trump's plan for the Fourth: Make America Sicker.

Thanks to Trump, your Fourth of July Barbecue is about to cost more. The @washingtonpost.com reports that since January, the average price of ingredients for a BBQ has already gone up 2%.

💣 TW's recent polling shows that Trump and Republicans are vulnerable if Democrats attack them on the national debt. Dems must remind people that Trump and the GOP will bankrupt America. www.thirdway.org/memo/detonat...

Distributional Effects of Selected Provisions of the House and Senate Reconciliation Bills

The Budget Lab at Yale finds that the bottom 40% of households will be worse off because the bill’s spending cuts hurt more than any tax benefit—including “no tax on tips." budgetlab.yale.edu/research/dis...

OBBBA Would Accelerate Social Security & Medicare Insolvency | Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget 2025-06-27-The

The nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that Medicare and the Social Security trust funds will run out in 2032 from the bill. This means retirees will face a cut of 24% from their Social Security benefits. www.crfb.org/blogs/obbba-...

✂️OBBBA will hurt a ton of working families, including MANY in the middle class
📉Call out this bill as a huge debt bomb

Want more? Dive deeper into the numbers.👇

As the Big Ugly Bill heads back to the House, we made a quick cheat sheet for Dems to use when speaking out against the bill. Here are a few topline messages:

💵The tax cuts in the bill are so large that it will hurt the Social Security and Medicare trust funds

Republican Bill Puts Nation on New, More Perilous Fiscal Path

“The biggest thing this fiscal change does is, when we’re staring at Social Security insolvency in 2032 or 2033, it’s going to make it a lot harder,” says TW's Zach Moller (@econwonk.bsky.social) on the disastrous fiscal path Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" puts us on.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/01/u...

The Democrats and Immigration Where does the party go now on its most contentious issue? A debate.

MUST READ: In Democracy Journal, our friend Frank Sharry charts a center-left path in the debate on immigration.

We applaud his boldness and vision for how Democrats can rebuild voters’ trust by standing for a fair and orderly immigration system. democracyjournal.org/magazine/77/...

Not sure what a vote-a-rama is? Watch our explainer on the budget reconciliation process and Senate vote-A-Rama. 👇

👷Terminating safety trainings for Americans working dangerous jobs
🏞️Hollowing out America’s national parks, increasing risks for visitors
🏥Driving up health care costs and kicking Americans off their insurance

See our report that breaks down these safety hazards: www.thirdway.org/memo/sicker-...

Here's a non-exhaustive list of the ways Trump is putting your safety and security in jeopardy:

🥩Halting food safety testing
🌦️Gutting weather forecasting & natural disaster response agencies
🩺Undermining proven vaccines & public health
🔬Crippling lifesaving research & treatments for deadly diseases