So honored to be a part of this outstanding group of scientists! Thanks so much to @plosclimate.org for publishing our ideas! Congrats to all authors, it’s been an incredible journey. Hope it continues!
Attended the #TIPMIP GA held in Tokyo last week. Many thanks to the TIPMIP team for making it possible to participate and give a talk online!
Online now: Narrowed uncertainty in future global temperature and remaining carbon budget
A new paper in #OneEarth on reducing future TCRE and remaining carbon budget uncertainty, accounting for both climate and carbon cycle feedbacks!
t.co/eG7HsbZNG2
Honored to serve as an #IPCC AR7 LA, and even more delighted to welcome our daughter just before #LAM1. Thanks to #WG1 TSU and the Ch. 9 team, I could join online. Looking ahead to exciting (and sleepless😅) days as a first-time mom and LA, and hoping to contribute in a small way to a better future ☺️
The Global Tipping Points Report 2025 is out!
Read it here: https://loom.ly/K4SAqQM
#ClimateAction #GlobalTippingPoints #ClimateScience #Sustainability #WCRP
NEW – Overshoot: Exploring the implications of meeting 1.5C climate goal ‘from above’ | @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org and @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org
Read here: buff.ly/HWteg9K
The Amazon is nearing a potential tipping point, driven by deforestation & climate change.
Join us for a webinar exploring the latest science on Amazon resilience & tipping metrics.
15 Oct 15:30-17:00 CEST
Register: https://loom.ly/MlgqNu4
🌍 The first international #OvershootConference kicked off at IIASA today with an inspiring plenary session that set the tone for an important week of dialogue on pathways beyond overshoot.
New starter pack with @ipcc.bsky.social #AR7 scientists (bureau, authors, REs)! Full list: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho...
For SR cities scientists see separate starter pack!
@dianaurge.bsky.social @sherilee.bsky.social @siir-kilkis.bsky.social @janfuglestvedt.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/2FuXb3Y
We also confirm mechanisms of the Amazon dieback in terms of climate drivers, ecological processes and land-use change effects
We look at CMIP5 and CMIP6 Earth System models under high-emission scenarios that have extensions up to 23rd century - 9 out of 12 models project localized to large-scale rainforest dieback that starts already within the 21st century
Our new study in @commsearth.nature.com shows that Amazon dieback could begin within the 21st century in the absence of climate change mitigation
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Happy to announce that I will be serving as a lead author for WG1 Chapter 9 "Earth system responses under pathways towards temperature stabilization, including overshoot pathways" of the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report. Really hope I can do the work well!
A great editorial piece about the issues with carbon offsets:
Auditors can’t save carbon offsets | Science www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
The latter combined effect (cross-term) has the most complex representation, where changes in CO2 concentrations and temperatures interact to influence carbon sinks. See the comparison of gamma+cross term effects on land & ocean
This is because of existence of 3 feedback mechanisms: (1) the effect of changes in CO2 concentration on carbon sinks through CO2 fertilisation effects and the solubility pump (beta), (2) the effect of temperature changes on carbon sinks (gamma), and (3) a “combined effect”
We show that combined mitigation that addresses both types of gases can deliver faster and greater cooling than tackling CO2 alone
Our new study in #ESD explores impacts of CO2 and non-CO2 GHG concentration decrease on the climate and carbon cycle
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
What will the future of the warming stripes be?
2024 could be the start of a stabilisation of global temperatures, or it might appear to be a cool year.
Which one of these stories becomes reality depends on our choices today, and every day until then.
We are likely to regret not acting sooner.
