Human Capital HCEO - CEHD

Human Capital HCEO - CEHD

@hceconomics.bsky.social

Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Global Working Group at the @UChicago Center for the Economics of Human Development. We generate & share research on how people achieve their fullest potential. https://hceconomics.uchicago.edu https://cehd.uchicago.

426 Followers 258 Following 133 Posts Joined Dec 2024
1 day ago
Stone CID announces a new article titled “Is College Really ‘the’ Equalizer? New Evidence Addressing Unobserved Selection,” featured in the March 3 issue of Sociological Science. Includes authors’ names and publication details, with a portrait framed in yellow.

In this new article out now @sociologicalsci.bsky.social, revisit the college-as-equalizer debate with heckman-style selection models & find little evidence in favor of #college being an equalizer. From our own postdoc @zhenghaowen.bsky.social, @professorholm.bsky.social & @kbkarlson.bsky.social.

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2 days ago
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Home-Based Child Care Supply and Quality This project examines various activities examining home-based child care (HBCC) supply and quality. HBCC is a vital part of our nation’s child care supply and the most common form of care for children...

Mathematica’s research on home-based child care—the most common form of non-parental care in the US— builds evidence on access, supply, and provider experiences.

Explore new briefs, reports, and data resources:
🔗 acf.gov/opre/project...

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Who Gets What in Education: Can School Matching Improve Student Achievement? Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

www.nber.org/papers/w34936

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Science Says Rich People Aren't Inherently Smarter. Mark Cuban Agrees IQ seems important, but the three things--all of which anyone can control--matter most.

Traits like self-discipline, persistence, and diligence matter more than innate intelligence when it comes to financial success. Inc. cites findings from Borghans, Golsteyn, @heckmanequation.bsky.social & @johneric.bsky.social
— & Mark Cuban agrees. www.inc.com/jeff-haden/s...

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2 weeks ago
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Applications are now open for the 2026 Price Theory Summer Camp!
Designed for PhD students outside UChicago, the program focuses on applying core economic tools to real problems.
🗓️ June 14–18
📝 Apply by March 1
🔗 https://ow.ly/k6ON50Y8mQt

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3 weeks ago

Our own @heckmanequation.bsky.social and Jin Zhou (CityUHK) explain how psychometric tests may mismeasure underlying skills.

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Dynamic Complementarity Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

New work from @heckmanequation.bsky.social , Haihan Tian, Zijian Zhang, & Jin Zhou defines and provides evidence for dynamic complementarity -- the idea that past investments that lead to higher skill at one age promote growth of skills from investments at that age. www.nber.org/papers/w34833

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More Hours, More Work: Head Start Expansions Boost Maternal Employment Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Funding full-day Head Start enrollment in 2016 increased single mothers’ employment, hours, and earnings. www.nber.org/papers/w34831

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Regístrense ahora!
Seminario Web | 17 de Febrero 11:00AM CT
Escalando programas de visitas domiciliares en America Latina, presentado por @heckmanequation.bsky.social.
mailchi.mp/heckmanequat...

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Are you a home visiting program leader or advocate working in Latin American contexts?
Join @heckmanequation.bsky.social Tues, Feb. 17, for a webinar on Scaling Home Visiting Approaches in Latin American Contexts. The session will be presented in Spanish. register here: mailchi.mp/heckmanequat...

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1 month ago
How to Police Intimate Partner Violence Against Women? New Lessons from Women’s Police Stations in Brazil | HCEO

HCEO member Shoshana Grossbard and colleagues find that proximity and context matter in reporting and classifying instances of intimate partner violence. hceconomics.uchicago.edu/research/wor...

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Early Learning Across Decades: Advances in Measuring Head Start Effectiveness Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

New @nber.org working paper from Cloe Gibbs synthesizes decades of Head Start research. www.nber.org/papers/w34812

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CityUHK economist and Nobel Laureate co-lead global early childhood research, benefiting over 80,000 rural children in China CityUHK economist together with Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences are jointly leading the early childhood research programme China REACH. The study aims to provide a practical, evidence-based framew...

Thanks, Asia Research News, for this piece on our China REACH program w/ CityUHK. We’ve learned so much about how enhancing interactions between caregivers and young children in rural areas can boost skills & long-term outcomes. @heckmanequation.bsky.social
www.asiaresearchnews.com/content/city...

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Match Effects and the Gains from Alternative Job Assignments: Evidence from a Teacher Labor Market | HCEO

New! Updated working paper from HCEO members Mariana Laverde and @aaronsojourner.org.
hceconomics.uchicago.edu/research/wor...

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1 month ago
Strengthening Improving Parenting Skills through Community-Based Interventions: Evidence from the Crescere nel Villaggio Project | HCEO

New working paper from HCEO member Daniela Del Boca on boosting parenting skills: hceconomics.uchicago.edu/research/wor...

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End-of-Life Liquidity | HCEO

HCEO member Giovanni Gallipoli explores the dimensions of demand for liquidity at the end of life in a new HCEO working paper with Neha Bairoliya and Kathleen McKiernan. hceconomics.uchicago.edu/research/wor...

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Africa as a Success Story: Political Organization in Pre-Colonial Africa | Becker Friedman Institute Social science research has long credited the emergence of politically centralized states with the development of institutions that enhance public good provision and better development outcomes, as well as allowing for the ability to fight wars, collect taxes, conduct international trade, manage natural resources, and otherwise respond to the demands of both state leaders and Read more...

New research by Soeren J. Henn and James Robinson challenges common views of pre-colonial Africa. Decentralized political systems prioritized local communities and shaped economic institutions around shared goals rather than centralized control or personal accumulation.

🔗 https://ow.ly/7aXE50Y5shY

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Measuring the Growth of Skills Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

When measuring growth of knowledge and comparing people's skills, there’s a problem when new skills emerge that don’t fit existing scales. @heckmanequation.bsky.social, Haihan Tian, Jin Zhou & Zijian Zhang have addressed this by developing a novel measurement scheme. www.nber.org/papers/w34737

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The Contribution of College Majors to Gender and Racial Earnings Differences Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

New from HCEO member Michael Lovenheim et al: women and underrepresented minorities are less likely to major in high-earning fields like business, economics, engineering, and computer science in college -- but when they do, they experience lower returns to these majors. www.nber.org/papers/w34726

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“The #Menopause ‘#Penalty’” now out as #CSEF Working Paper No. 770 (Jan 2026)!

📄 www.csef.it/WP/wp770.pdf

First circulated in March 2024 - the topic quickly sparked discussion beyond academia. ✨

With @rginja.bsky.social, Petra Persson & @bartonwillage.com

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We study how radiologists use AI to diagnose pulmonary embolism (PE), tracking over 100,000
scans interpreted by nearly 400 radiologists during the staggered rollout of an FDA-approved
diagnostic platform. When AI flags PE, radiologists agree 84% of the time; when AI predicts no PE,
they agree 97%. Disagreement evolves substantially: radiologists initially reject AI-positive PEs in
30% of cases, dropping to 12% by year two. Despite a 16% increase in scan volume, diagnostic speed
remains stable while per-radiologist monthly volumes nearly double, with no change in patient
mortality—suggesting AI improves workflow without compromising outcomes. We document
significant heterogeneity in AI collaboration: some radiologists reject AI-flagged PEs half the time
while others accept nearly always; female radiologists are 6 percentage points less likely to override AI
than male radiologists. Moderate AI engagement is associated with the highest agreement, whereas
both low and high engagement show more disagreement. Follow-up imaging reveals that when
radiologists override AI to diagnose PE, 54% of subsequent scans show both agreeing on no PE
within 30 days.

Posted a very early stage draft with rock star collaborators.

Key question: when we actually roll out AI tools, how do people use them? Do they just defer completely? Does it improve productivity and ability?

We look in the medical setting of pulmonary embolisms
paulgp.com/papers/Radio...

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1 month ago
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Community college bachelor’s degrees pay off in some fields but not all, offering higher earnings than associate degrees and mixed returns relative to traditional BAs, from Riley K. Acton, Camila Morales, Kalena Cortes, Julia A. Turner, and @loismiller.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34684

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Effects of Multigenerational Exposure to Early-Life Advantage: Lessons from a Primate Study | Journal of Political Economy: Vol 134, No 1 This paper uses three decades of data on rhesus monkeys to investigate the multigenerational effects of early-life advantage. Monkeys and their offspring are both randomly assigned to be reared togeth...

A new paper from @heckmanequation.bsky.social and coauthors shows multigenerational effects of early-life advantage. Monkeys raised by their mothers benefit compared to those raised apart -- but only if the mothers were ALSO mother-reared. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

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The first 1000 days and beyond: The process of child development. Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

New from HCEO member Orazio Attanasio:
www.nber.org/papers/w34651

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2 months ago
Redistribution, Distortions, and the Welfare Effects of Social Security | HCEO

In a new working paper, HCEO member Svetlana Pashchenko and colleagues explore the best ways to reform Social Security by quantifying its distortions, redistribution, and welfare effects. hceconomics.uchicago.edu/research/wor...

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Making Entrepreneurs: Long Term Returns to Training Youth in Business Skills Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

A brief entrepreneurship course improved Ugandan secondary school students' skills and led them to launch more enterprises that outperformed those launched by peers who were not in the program. Findings are detailed in a new paper from HCEO member Paul Gertler et al. www.nber.org/papers/w34637

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Human Capital and Development Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

A new @nber.org working paper from HCEO member Costas Meghir, Philippe Aghion & Ingvild Almås examines the role of human capital in driving economic development, innovation, and growth -- and the barriers to skill acquisition. www.nber.org/papers/w34602

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An Evaluation of Biases in Wellbeing Estimates Using Interviewers Versus Online Data Collection in the Global Flourishing Study Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Of interest:

www.nber.org/papers/w34599

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2 months ago
The analysis, led by Leighton Ku and colleagues at GW, used new data to update earlier research that explored the economic impacts of letting the ACA marketplace tax credits expire.

Key Research Findings:

Federal funding for marketplace tax credits will decline by $31 billion.
The reductions in funding for healthcare and related downstream impact, will cause state economies to shrink by nearly $41 billion.
Because of these economic losses, nearly 340,000 jobs will be lost in 2026; slightly less than half will be in the healthcare sector.
State and local revenues will decline by $2.5 billion.
States hit hardest by the job losses are predominantly in the South. Texas leads the pack, followed by Florida, Georgia, California, South Carolina, Tennessee, Alabama, Louisiana, North Carolina and Mississippi.

“There is an urgent need to decide whether to extend the ACA tax credits soon; insurance enrollment begins on November 1. Not only will health insurance costs soar for millions if the tax credits are not sustained, there will be severe economic consequences and more than 300,000 Americans could lose their jobs,” said Leighton Ku, professor of health policy and lead author of the report.

I don't vouch for this quality of the analysis here (haven't read the details) but it asks an important question:

What would the labor market impacts be of ending ACA premium tax credits?
publichealth.gwu.edu/new-report-a...

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2 months ago
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Long-run Effects of Universal Pre-Primary Education Expansion: Evidence from Argentina Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

New from HCEO member Paul Gertler et al: Creating more preschool capacity raised the probability of completing secondary school by 11.9 percentage points and of enrolling in college by 7.1 percentage points. www.nber.org/papers/w34552

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