herbgreenberg

So far, we’ve gotten into:

1. The oil-tanker escort business
2. The shipping-insurance business
3. The militia-arms and finance business

And it’s only Tuesday.

I still think that when we look back on $OWL, that @cnbc interview the other day will be remembered as a 'key' moment. And the co's attempt to spin @jimcramer and Faber will be the moment w/in the moment. Clip below, full link here: www.herbgreenberg.com/p/the-wrap-a...

2/ But hey, when all else fails, $STRC yields 11.25% and trades at par, so all is well with the world. (He said, with sarcasm.)

1/ Musings: Can’t help but wonder how everybody who got hooked on the “just tell me the symbol” gamification of the markets – and the easy double/triples, supercharged by options – is doing right about now? Not talking about the pros, but everybody who piled in b/c it was so easy.

A useful non-financial lesson I've learned from Warren's example is that the world isn't waiting for my opinion on every topic. I'm slow-thinking anyway; it takes a while for me to form a view on complex subjects.

Sailing through the Strait of Hormuz a few years ago, Iran in the distance.

The Wrap – NoMo FOMO (For Now) Also, updates on Vital, Super Group, Erie, Nordson, and new ideas in process, including one that is "Off Everybody's Radar."

How we’ve gone from FOMO to FOLYA. or fear of losing your ass. Plus for premium subs, a bunch of updates and a new "off everybody's radar" long... www.herbgreenberg.com/p/the-wrap-n...

How Dangerous Is This Market? So dangerous that a work of dystopian fiction – described by its authors as a "thought exercise" – could freak out investors.

The market’s short-lived reaction to the report by Citrini Research about a post-AI world of 2028 says far more about the dangers of this market than what level of fiction the report’s predictions will or will not have turned out to be.

herbgreenberg.substack.com/p/how-danger...

No inflation!

The Wrap – A (Blue) Owl In the Credit Mine? Also, updates on Nordson, Omnicom, Savers Value Village, and an updated full Red Flag Alerts List.

When ‘headline risk’ is real, and executives, in full damage control mode, go on FinTV trying to act as if all is well. $OWL. www.herbgreenberg.com/p/the-wrap-a...

i take the view of someone who often drives 400+ miles in a single bound and arrive somewhere where there is no charging at the destination... and would have to seek it out,a nd take the time to recharage.

if 2/3 of the people are in the middle, something is wrong here.

Short of never driving far from home, I never understood why I'd want to panic about finding a charging station, then spend time at one. Let alone the extra drain on my solar, which is already starting to cost me as the state raises taxes/fees on solar use. Hybrids always made more sense.

“Presidents don’t name things after themselves, people name things after presidents — and there is a big difference between the two."

The Wrap – 'Playing' the Market Things don't matter till they do. Plus, HIMS, SN, IR, CCO, WING.

Things don’t matter till they do…

That’s especially true with the most dopamine-driven gamification of the stock market ever, which has put a new twist on the old saw of what it means to “play the market.” www.herbgreenberg.com/p/the-wrap-p...

Michael Saylor, tl;dr: 'Just Trust Me.' I've seen and heard a lot; this latest infomercial by Strategy for its preferred stock takes the cake.

I’m still stuck back on this, regarding $MSTR, which I wrote last week. I removed the paywall for a few days.

Enjoy! www.herbgreenberg.com/p/michael-sa...

Cable news commercials that are reason enough to stop listening: The time share guy, the guy pitching life insurance whose father died when he was a kid, the "yes, even term life insurance!" guys.

Michael Saylor, tl;dr: 'Just Trust Me.' I've seen and heard a lot; this latest infomercial by Strategy for its preferred stock takes the cake.

I've seen and heard a lot; this latest infomercial by $MSTR for its preferred stock takes the cake. www.herbgreenberg.com/p/michael-sa...

The Moral of the Story of Hims (So Far) When I first wrote about Hims in May 2024, my mistake was trying to be rational at a point when the market was about to become irrationally unhinged…

$HIMS was in the right place at the right time with the right loophole allowing it to sell a compounded version of the right drug, just as they were lifting off the launchpad. But under the surface, its core business was unwinding… www.herbgreenberg.com/p/the-moral-...

Meanwhile, $CRWV out with "a brand new vision"... "built for this moment." Interpret at will....

Blue Owl Sees No Tech ‘Red Flags’ as Shares Extend Record Plunge Blue Owl Capital Inc.’s management told investors that its software lending portfolio is in “pristine” condition, dismissing risks from the AI-driven sell off, even as its shares continued to be punis...

Neither did the telecom guys.

Since then.... (Yeah, I know! I'm probably signaling the bottom!)

1/ Seems like just yesterday that I posted this, that $MSTR sounded like a pyramid built atop a pyramid. But it was Nov 22, 2024. (My, how time flies!) Darn near broke the Hostile React-O-Meter™.

Key passage...

Exclusive | Cboe in Talks to Bring Back All-or-Nothing Options to Vie With Prediction Markets The Wall Street derivatives exchange is seeking to capitalize on the popularity of yes-or-no wagers, though it aims to stick to financial markets.

Nothing to see here, folks!

www.wsj.com/finance/cboe...

The Wrap – But Aren't Stocks Supposed To Go Straight Up? Plus, Corning as a canary? And just when nobody wants to hear about short-selling, along comes a book on how to WIN doing it... something the author knows a thing or two about.

But aren't stocks supposed to go straight up? Plus, Corning as a canary? And just when nobody wants to hear about short-selling, along comes a book on how to WIN doing it... something the author knows a thing or two about. www.herbgreenberg.com/p/the-wrap-b...

Huge bummer. RIP

When reality hits predictions markets...

As if on cue!

Way to much chaos. Or, as she put it...