Jason McDaniel

Jason McDaniel

@valisjason.bsky.social

Political scientist at San Francisco State University

912 Followers 461 Following 58 Posts Joined Aug 2023
12 hours ago

Those are ground troops. About 2,500 of them.

Most likely told to take over islands in the Gulf and/or Iran's coastline near the Strait of Hormuz.

If so, then:

1) It'll take time to get there and have any impact, even in the best case scenario

2) 2,500 probably isn't enough to control the Strait

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2 days ago

I know I’m a goddamn broken record, I really do, but Congress had a way to change that, it worked for decades, and the Supreme Court blew it up in the 1980s in a way that was impossible for Congress to fix. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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2 weeks ago
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How Politically Diverse Are University Faculty? — Heterodox Academy A Review of Studies on the Diversity of Political Viewpoints Among University Faculty

A new Heterodox Academy report shows that political science is less left-leaning in terms of faculty's personal political views than some other disciplines. I'm so sick of conservative activist academics in the humanities lying about us.

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2 weeks ago

Your regular reminder that normal pro-democracy political parties do not make restricting suffrage the central pillar of their policy platform

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2 weeks ago
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How to stop a dictator I spent months studying how authoritarians like Trump lose. The answer is shockingly simple.

I have spent the past several months studying the cutting-edge research on modern democracies that have defeated authoritarian leaders.

I've learned that the conventional wisdom on the topic is wrong — in ways that have clear implications for the US going forward

THREAD www.vox.com/politics/479...

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3 weeks ago

Some additional context: Cities and villages have the same powers (towns are different because they’re created under a different series of laws). The only functional difference is how the governing board is arranged (number of legislators, name of the executive, wards or no wards, etc).

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3 weeks ago
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Utterly unacceptable in a democracy. In a sane world, House Republicans would be drafting impeachment articles today and Senate Republicans would be preparing for a trial to convict and remove him from office

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1 month ago
So what can be done about all of this? To begin with, state and local election officials need to be ready to go to federal court to seek injunctions barring the government from seizing voting machines or otherwise interfering with the process of tabulating ballots. Trump might even try to send troops to seize ballots without a search warrant, and if that threat is real, proactive judicial action is necessary. These threats are most likely to materialize in those areas around the country with contested congressional races. Particular targets may be in those states, such as California and Arizona, where the tabulation of ballots takes a long time, so there is more time for Trump and his allies to act.

State officials and the public need to support, with dollars and volunteers, election administrators and those who would hold the line against interference. The greater the transparency of the work of these administrators in tabulating ballots, and the quicker a fair count can take place, the harder it will be for Trump to have a legal excuse to try to interfere with the balloting.

On what can be done, see my @slate.com piece from last week:
slate.com/news-and-pol...

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1 month ago
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Review | Fantasy and sci-fi books for anyone who feels lost right now Four fascinating new books explore what we do when a collapse appears inevitable.

I wrote my final book review column for the Washington Post a while back. (I didn't know it was the last one of course.) I was worried it might not even run since the book section is ending, but thanks to the heroic efforts of editor Jacob Brogan, here it is:

www.washingtonpost.com/books/2026/0...

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1 month ago
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‘A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms’ Season 1, Episode 4 Recap: Is There No True Knight?

The most important thing to me about my review of this week's A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms is that I cite Tom Spurgeon in it by name. AKOTSK is a decency fantasy, a term Tom coined—a heroic narrative that puts kindness, cooperation, competence and fundamental humanity above all else. (Gift link)

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1 month ago
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In 1927, Donald Trump’s father was arrested after a Klan riot in Queens On Sunday, Trump declined to disavow the support of white supremacists.

In light of Trump’s post yesterday, some history:

“On Memorial Day 1927, 1,000 white-robed Klansmen marched through the Jamaica neighborhood, eventually spurring an all-out brawl in which seven men were arrested. One of those arrested was Fred Trump.” www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix...

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1 month ago
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Here's @rickhasen.bsky.social detailing the scenario in which Trump uses search warrant to seize ballot boxes in a contested 2026 locale. This is more worrisome than ICE at the polls. Hasen also suggests ways to act against this now.

It's harrowing stuff:

newrepublic.com/article/2062...

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1 month ago

www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

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1 month ago

very fun to think that there are at least four votes for "the president can unilaterally rewrite a constitutional amendment"

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1 month ago

Voting in Authoritarian Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2025
TURKULER ISIKSEL
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THOMAS B. PEPINSKY
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Abstract

Democratic theorists hold that voting contributes to some political good: individual and collective autonomy, equality, justice, pluralism, stability, better policies, and many others. But elections are common under authoritarianism, and empirical research finds that holding elections can stabilize authoritarian regimes. This creates what we term the democrat’s dilemma, where citizens who vote in authoritarian elections may bolster the regimes they wish to unseat, even when they cast a vote for the opposition. We identify three major ways of thinking about the democratic value of electoral participation—justice-based, epistemic, and proceduralist approaches—and use them to examine the complex moral considerations that confront voters in authoritarian regimes. We contend that authoritarian elections’ residual democratic value can justify voting, even when doing so could further entrench the autocrat. Our argument also implies that the democratic principles that justify voting in authoritarian elections oblige citizens to choose the most democratic alternative.

Alarmingly relevant new paper out in @apsrjournal.bsky.social by Turku Isiksel and @tompepinsky.com. They take on the question of whether citizens of authoritarian states should vote in their often unfair elections, & find reason to do so.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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1 month ago
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San Jose could add financial perks to help speed up housing development San Jose is exploring the expansion of its multi-family incentive program and tax and fee reductions for some commercial-to-residential conversions downtown

Wow: San Jose had zero market-rate multifamily starts in 2024. And this is a generally pretty pro-housing administration. Cities like San Jose urgently need the state to fix condominium presale and defect law to get more projects pencilling.
www.mercurynews.com/2026/01/26/s...

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1 month ago
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“The Homeland” Is War on America: The Blood-and-Soil Nationalism That Killed Renee Good and Alex Pretti In the killings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti, Trump has clarified an inconvenient fact: The culture war is an actual war.

I voted against the establishment of the Department of Homeland Security and I was pleased to speak with Ta-Nehisi Coates @VanityFair about the mood surrounding that debate.

www.vanityfair.com/news/story/t...

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1 month ago
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U.S. government has lost more than 10,000 STEM Ph.D.s since Trump took office A Science analysis reveals how many were fired, retired, or quit across 14 agencies

U.S. government has lost more than 10,000 STEM Ph.D.s since Trump took office | Science | AAAS www.science.org/content/arti...

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1 month ago
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If S.F. Mayor Lurie wants affordability, he should stop taxing new homes at the same rate as cigarettes OPINION: If Mayor Lurie wants to deliver on his promises of affordability, he should San Francisco from putting sin taxes on new homes, David Broockman writes.

“San Francisco taxes new housing at about the same rate that it taxes cigarettes.” www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/open... by @dbroockman.bsky.social

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1 month ago

add in there that the last time a Republican Senate majority confirmed a Democratic Supreme Court appointee was 1895

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1 month ago
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Former tech reporter Pranshu and I worked with his predecessor as India bureau chief, the fearless Gerry Shih, on a Pulitzer-finalist series about that country’s domination of US tech giants. Gerry now leads Israel coverage, and both of their jobs are at risk. #SavethePost, tell Jeff Bezos.

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1 month ago
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Payment processors were against CSAM until Grok started making it “The industry is no longer willing to self-regulate.”

wrote about an apparent policy change in the payments industry www.theverge.com/ai-artificia...

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1 month ago
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Welcome to the American Winter In the frozen streets of Minneapolis, something profound is happening.

This is a really incredible piece. Share it widely 🎁https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/2026/01/minneapolis-uprising/685755/?gift=C-rzmQ8PsUHt15odxTKJDn7xrpPNxSpotkNz_P27oI0

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1 month ago

The DOJ demand for voter rolls is not about micro-targeting. That kind of voter data is already freely available between the public voter lists and data brokers. The difference in what they're demanding is more technical backend metadata so they can make spurious claims about list maintenance.

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1 month ago
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From the minnesotatwins community on Reddit: The Pohlads and Twins on ICE Explore this post and more from the minnesotatwins community

The Pohlad family, who own the Minnesota Twins, got asked at FanFest yesterday about what are doing to stop ICE violence in their community. After a wishy-washy 🤷 response, the fan suggested they call Trump because he listens to other billionaires. Worth watching!: www.reddit.com/r/minnesotat...

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1 month ago

Let’s be clear about what the Trump regime is saying to Minnesota: “We will continue murdering your citizens unless you help us rig your election.”

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1 month ago

Another thing I learned in the town hall is that the events in Minneapolis are being well-documented because of the thousands of people who trained to become legal observers after the murder of George Floyd

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1 month ago
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Immediate reaction to a first reading of the Claude Constitution Read it . Reminder that I am not an AI expert, and as such these are the reaction of a layman. ...

Reading the new Claude Constitution feels like an important moment.

blog.mattglassman.net/immediate-br...

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