Julius Kölzer's Avatar

Julius Kölzer

@juliusk.bsky.social

Doctoral Researcher in Political Science @dynamics.bsky.social & Research Associate @hertieschool.bsky.social | Sometimes working at Zeit Online | Interested in political geography, inequality and elections.

3,733 Followers  |  2,718 Following  |  1,695 Posts  |  Joined: 21.09.2023
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Posts by Julius Kölzer (@juliusk.bsky.social)

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Experte für die #AfD Hood #Stuttgart Giebel bin ich bekanntlich (so wie @kesseltv.bsky.social). Nur: in Freiberg ist es schlimmer. War 1992 mit den "Republikanern" schon. Zwei Generationen rechtsextrem? @hudde.bsky.social und @juliusk.bsky.social finden es nach ungefähr jeder Wahl genau so raus.

05.03.2026 15:58 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 3    📌 0
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Neue AfD Paper just dropped

03.03.2026 19:48 — 👍 8    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Delighted to see this out! Are individuals equally willing to trade off different public goods for partisanship? Would they prefer in-group loyalty to election integrity and to national security in a real context of threat? Take a look!

03.03.2026 11:33 — 👍 13    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

makes me sad about the current state of German democracy

03.03.2026 08:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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forsa-Umfrage zur Landtagswahl: Einstellungen zur Ausbreitung der Biber Wie stehen die Menschen in Baden-Württemberg zur Rückkehr des Bibers?  Knapp einen Monat vor der Landtagswahl zeigt eine repräsentative forsa-Umfrage im Auftrag von BUND und NABU: Drei Viertel al...

www.bund-bawue.de/service/publ...

www.bund-bawue.de/service/publ...

03.03.2026 08:08 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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In a new ‘groundbreaking’ survey, an environmental NGO in Baden-Württemberg has surveyed attitudes on wolves & beavers returning to the state’s natural habitats. Support for wolves is stronger among younger cohorts + Green voters. Similar trends appear for beavers, with a marked urban-rural divide.

03.03.2026 08:08 — 👍 11    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 1

Schaffe Schaffe Plotsle bauen

03.03.2026 06:56 — 👍 11    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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🗳️ Neue Prognose: Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg (8. März) und Rheinland-Pfalz (22. März)

BW: Kopf-an-Kopf CDU vs. Grüne. RP: CDU und SPD fast gleichauf.

Unsere Modellvorhersage mit 5/6-Kredibilitätsintervallen und Szenario-Wahrscheinlichkeiten 👇

zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/f...

02.03.2026 10:21 — 👍 25    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 1

Today is the last day to submit your paper or panel proposal for the DVPW Section Political Economy conference (24–25 Sept 2026, FU Berlin)!

Submissions in English and German from all fields of political economy are welcome. Join us in Berlin! 👇

27.02.2026 13:03 — 👍 7    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Today's episode in the series of beautiful maps

27.02.2026 08:36 — 👍 38    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 2

Who is writing the unexpected sexism during survey paper?

26.02.2026 17:54 — 👍 10    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Berlin is doing Berlin things

25.02.2026 12:27 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 3    📌 0
Lois Lane says: JUST THINK, OUT OF THE SIX MILLION PEOPLE IN METROPOLIS, YOU AND I ALONE UNDER THE COUNTLESS STARS...
Superman replies: WRONG - - THERE ARE 1549 STARS, TWO PLANETS, AND ONE ASTEROID VISIBLE
TONIGHT!

Lois Lane says: JUST THINK, OUT OF THE SIX MILLION PEOPLE IN METROPOLIS, YOU AND I ALONE UNDER THE COUNTLESS STARS... Superman replies: WRONG - - THERE ARE 1549 STARS, TWO PLANETS, AND ONE ASTEROID VISIBLE TONIGHT!

Bluesky.

23.02.2026 20:27 — 👍 1571    🔁 243    💬 44    📌 17
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As it is en vogue to describe Germany’s political landscape as resembling “Weimar conditions,” its worth taking a closer look at the era’s high levels of political fragility. In just 14 years of existence, the Weimar Republic saw 20 different governments. On average, a cabinet lasted only 244 days.

23.02.2026 06:50 — 👍 81    🔁 28    💬 4    📌 2

I don't think the absolute number of ministers is particularly important information that deserves its own axis (ministries have also been split up and merged again). The point about the time on the x-axis is well taken; I'll incorporate it next time 👍.

23.02.2026 17:09 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Haha, fair point. The original idea was for the width of the bars to reflect the number of parliamentary seats held by the cabinet. However, the data turned out to be unreliable, and I wasn’t sure how to incorporate the width in another way that added real value to the visualization.

23.02.2026 16:41 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

As a novice on Weimar Germany, I spontaneously like that there were governments led by both Marx and Luther.

23.02.2026 12:37 — 👍 10    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

And yes, you have to use serif fonts for that mythic historical flair

23.02.2026 12:04 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Könnte hilfreich sein, die Daten einzutragen. Also, habe ich ☺️

23.02.2026 11:45 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

thanks!

23.02.2026 11:07 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

👇

23.02.2026 07:06 — 👍 0    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Gerade auf LeMO gesehen: LeMO Das lebendige Museum Online Das Online-Portal zur deutschen Geschichte vom 19. Jahrhundert bis heute. Epochendarstellung mit Sammlungsobjekten, Foto-, Audio- und Filmdokumenten, Biografien, Chroniken, Zeitzeugen.

Data and coding is based on the great LeMO project:
www.dhm.de/lemo/kapitel...

23.02.2026 06:57 — 👍 11    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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As it is en vogue to describe Germany’s political landscape as resembling “Weimar conditions,” its worth taking a closer look at the era’s high levels of political fragility. In just 14 years of existence, the Weimar Republic saw 20 different governments. On average, a cabinet lasted only 244 days.

23.02.2026 06:50 — 👍 81    🔁 28    💬 4    📌 2

yeah, this the joke haha

22.02.2026 08:42 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Ich durfte in der @taz.de ein bisschen was zu Umfragen erzählen, und was soll ich sagen - Berichte über den Tod von Umfragen sind stark übertrieben...

20.02.2026 21:47 — 👍 25    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Pesto Genovese costing more than €3 only helps the AfD

21.02.2026 15:33 — 👍 13    🔁 0    💬 3    📌 0

The next conference of the DVPW Section Political Economy takes place 24–25 Sept 2026 at Freie Universität Berlin.

Contributions in English and German are welcome. Please send us your paper or panel proposal by next Friday, 27 Feb 2026.

All info in our Call for Papers: www.dvpw.de/fileadmin/us...

20.02.2026 11:00 — 👍 14    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 1
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Excited to present my paper "Sidelining the Leader? Information Flows during the Outbreak of War" at the Virtual Workshop in HPE today (6.30 PM CET).

Thanks to @dkofanov.bsky.social, @tinepaulsen.bsky.social and @janvogler.bsky.social for organizing and to Lina Skoglund for discussing my paper!

19.02.2026 09:36 — 👍 15    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Very interesting and (unfortunately) timely paper 👇

17.02.2026 15:17 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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eines tages werde ich mich rächen

17.02.2026 09:02 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0