Breaking News: Elizabeth Tsurkov, a Princeton graduate student taken hostage in Iraq, has been freed after more than two years of captivity.
Statement from the largest economics association about the BLS firing
As context: AEA approximately never makes such public statements
This is a big deal
The Supreme Court’s “shadow docket” has cast very different shadows depending on which party holds the White House.
When lower courts blocked Trump admin policies, SCOTUS intervened on an emergency basis to lift those orders in 77% of cases.
For the Biden administration, that number was 0%.
the insinuation here that Levitsky’s politics might influence his scholarship has the causation exactly backwards
Our call for the 2025 Empirical Studies of Conflict (ESOC) Annual Meeting on Geostrategic Opportunity and Upheaval on October 9-10 is up! Submissions due on June 16. W/ Yuri Zhukov @laiabalcells.bsky.social @austinlw.bsky.social @renardsexton.bsky.social More here: esoc.princeton.edu/events/2025/...
This is what happens when you ask me to indulge your false equivalencies about the Trump tariffs.
🚨Why do masses support democratic backsliding?🚨
A new @AJPS_Editor paper with Yotam Margalit, @liorsheffer.bsky.social and Itamar Yakir explores this question in the Israeli context. Our findings emphasize the role of leader attachment and affective polarization.
doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
If you accept that non-citizens have no right to due process, you are accepting that citizens have no right to due process. All the government has to do is claim that you are not a citizen; without due process you have no chance to prove the contrary.
Patricia Bauman died a year ago.
ActBlue is a payment processor. Almost anyone who’s given to a D candidate in the last 20 years could be mischaracterized as a “ActBlue funder.”
Listing five Jews, two of whom are long dead, as “ActBlue funders” secretly behind the Tesla protests is antisemitism.
Forthcoming at the Journal of Political Economy: We find that consumer product markups increased more than 25 percent from 2006 to 2019.
One contribution is an approach to estimate IO-style models at scale, yielding flexible consumer preferences and estimates of marginal costs.
As another Trump-induced market crisis unfolds from tariffs, it's time we ask "What's the Matter with Billionaires?" I've run the numbers. Billionaires do better under Dems. So why do billionaires keep supporting GOP policies against their economic interests? See my latest piece on why. (TLDR 🧵⬇️)
This is it. The plausible scenario is not that the 2028 elections don’t happen. It’s that they happen with every financial oligarch and major corporation backing the GOP. And every major media organization backing the GOP, except for The NY Times which is trying to be neutral.
Extraordinary story the Wall Street Journal.
X is threatening advertisers that if they don’t spend more, Elon Musk will use his influence in government to block company mergers.
That’s extortion.
The measles outbreak in Texas is reminding me of the public letter Roald Dahl wrote about losing his daughter to measles in 1962, just before the vaccine was publicly available.
I have a new piece in @ForeignAffairs titled, "The Post-Neoliberal Delusion and the Tragedy of Bidenomics". They were generous about giving me a lot of words but were less generous with charts--so this long thread partially rectifies that. (And links to the piece at the end.)
For Jared Golden, a Dem in a R+9 district, to be talking like this is actually remarkable. probably gets at some underlying unpopularity of Musk *even relative to Trump*
An unelected shadow government is conducting a hostile takeover of the federal government.
DOGE is not a real government agency.
DOGE has no authority to make spending decisions.
DOGE has no authority to shut programs down or to ignore federal law.
DOGE’s conduct cannot be allowed to stand.
Your daughter has died serving her country, and now you have to hide her identity because the President and his supporters will predictably scapegoat her for the accident.
I've recently been talking a bit about how difficult it is to carefully check even well-written mathematics. I want to try to explain something about this by telling the story of some errors in the literature that (in part) led to the two papers below. 1/n
you can choose to believe Elon is too dumb to understand tariffs and/or international negotiations work or you can choose to believe he is a billionaire car company owner who benefits from tariffs on competitors’ cars made in Mexico/Canada
I don't know how this has changed over the years, but the rebuild the settlement numbers don't seem too different from the opposition to withdrawal numbers in 2005, so at least it hasn't gotten worse? www.globes.co.il/news/article...
In a shocking intelligence failure, Hamas operatives have crossed the border and infiltrated several Israeli border towns. Some a few km from the border. War seems imminent.