Coming up on The Oz Katerji Show this week!
Tue - Conflict reporter @thomasvlinge.bsky.social on Myanmar & the Burmese civil war.
Wed - Founder of @bellingcat.com & OSINT pioneer @eliothiggins.bsky.social
Thur - The Economist's Israel correspondent Anshel Pfeffer on Netanyahu's end game.
04.08.2025 16:11 โ ๐ 35 ๐ 6 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Also I am a state actor apparently?
04.08.2025 14:45 โ ๐ 103 ๐ 7 ๐ฌ 7 ๐ 2
Update - first image is from yesterday when Booth appeared to be crashing out after our story. Second image is from today, when Booth nuked all but 32 followers including my poor innocent alt
03.08.2025 13:33 โ ๐ 213 ๐ 63 ๐ฌ 10 ๐ 3
Flash #AskBinface! Send me here any posers you have for Prime Binisterโs Question Time, and Iโll answer the best ones in my new episode of Trash Talk which drops tomorrow, with special guest Jan Ravens!
04.08.2025 13:32 โ ๐ 40 ๐ 9 ๐ฌ 10 ๐ 1
The economy is on the precipice of recession. Thatโs the clear takeaway from last weekโs economic data dump. Consumer spending has flatlined, construction and manufacturing are contracting, and employment is set to fall. And with inflation on the rise, it is tough for the Fed to come to the rescue.
Unemployment remains low, but thatโs only because labor force growth has gone sideways. The foreign-born workforce is shrinking, and labor force participation is declining. Telling is the economy-wide hiring freeze, particularly for recent graduates, and the decline in hours worked.
Itโs no mystery why the economy is struggling; blame increasing U.S. tariffs and highly restrictive immigration policy. The tariffs are cutting increasingly deeply into the profits of American companies and the purchasing power of American households. Fewer immigrant workers means a smaller economy.
Any notion that the economic data misrepresents the reality of how the economy is performing is way off base. There are revisions to the data, even big revisions, but they universally say the economy is doing worse. Thatโs because it is.
BTW, the DOGE cuts are a key factor in the revisionsโnot because BLS has cut staff, although that canโt help, but because the government often reports payrolls to BLS late. It didnโt matter when government employment was stable, but now that itโs declining, the cuts are picked up in the revisions.
Trump is panicking because the economic numbers are giving a recession vibe.
From the Chief Economist at Moody's.
04.08.2025 12:57 โ ๐ 2277 ๐ 903 ๐ฌ 76 ๐ 85
YouTube video by RAINBOLT TWO
i took a (definitely not cia) test
In this monthโs newsletter, weโre sharing more valuable resources to help identify explosive ordnance, along with a look back at some of the most creative approaches to last monthโs challenges. Including โช@georainbolt.bsky.socialโฌ giving it a shot: www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJXP...
04.08.2025 13:05 โ ๐ 25 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
A Beginnerโs Guide to Identifying Explosive Ordnance in Social Media Imagery - bellingcat
Learn to identify some of the more common types of unexploded ordnance (UXO) in online images using open-source tools and resources.
This month the challenges were created by open source researchers Andro Mathewson and Kate Milliar. Andro has previously worked with Bellingcat on a guide that will be especially useful for tackling this monthโs challenges . www.bellingcat.com/resources/ho...
04.08.2025 13:05 โ ๐ 31 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Weโre entering dangerous territory in the Bellingcat Open Source Challengeโฆ This month weโre identifying explosive ordnance, another research skill that can be extremely valuable in digital investigations. Ready to get started? Dive in here: challenge.bellingcat.com
04.08.2025 13:05 โ ๐ 127 ๐ 32 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 2
What's the title of our article?
04.08.2025 11:23 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Can you share the evidence it was an Israeli munition? As far as I'm aware theres no images of the debris, so I'd like to see what evidence you're using to make that conclusion.
04.08.2025 10:53 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
So you agree with the statement we should have speculatrd about possible Israeli munitiond used. Should we have also speculated about the types of Hamas munitions that could have been responsible?
04.08.2025 10:44 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
So we should have speculated about the possible munitions used?
04.08.2025 10:27 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Yeah, he's very selective about which sources he uses.
04.08.2025 08:06 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
The core problem is this, he doesnโt practice principled anti-imperialism. He practices inversionism: if the U.S. supports something, he reflexively takes the opposite side, no matter how brutal that side is, no matter the evidence.
03.08.2025 07:36 โ ๐ 1427 ๐ 313 ๐ฌ 63 ๐ 72
Thanks for proving my point.
04.08.2025 07:09 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Tell me how anything that's in our report is inconsistent with any of the othet reports you've cited. Give me one specific example to start
04.08.2025 07:01 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Ultimately, though, it appears Jutel is doing exactly what I described in this thread
bsky.app/profile/elio...
03.08.2025 22:49 โ ๐ 43 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Disinfo research isnโt above critique, it needs more of it. But serious critique should focus on evidence, methods, and outcomes, not just ideological suspicion. Otherwise, we risk replacing one orthodoxy with another.
03.08.2025 22:47 โ ๐ 56 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Jutel ends by saying Disinfo is just โa technocratic way to label a disinfo enemy.โ But throughout the thread, he labels others as NATO-aligned, technocrats, and tools of empire. It's a mirror of what he claims to oppose.
03.08.2025 22:47 โ ๐ 25 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
He praises Forensic Architecture for getting OSINT โright.โ They do great work, but they use many of the same methods Bellingcat does, and it was originally inspired by Bellingcat. If the critique is about methodology, this undercuts it. If it's about politics, it should be made explicit.
03.08.2025 22:47 โ ๐ 22 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Jutel critiques Bellingcatโs Gaza coverage, saying it โcomplexifiedโ the Al-Ahli blast. But he doesnโt identify factual flaws. If he believes our conclusions were wrong, he should point to the evidence, not just object to the framing.
03.08.2025 22:46 โ ๐ 23 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 1
He argues the disinfo field canโt restore public trust or democracy. Fair, itโs not meant to do that alone. But disinfo research can clarify whatโs true, which is a prerequisite for any democratic restoration.
03.08.2025 22:46 โ ๐ 26 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Jutelโs broader point is that a class of technocrats tied to NatSec/Silicon Valley frames all information around hybrid war. That may apply to some institutional actors, but projecting it onto all OSINT or disinfo work is reductive.
03.08.2025 22:45 โ ๐ 18 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
He claims Disinfo research avoids ideology and ethics, reducing analysis to โif Russia believes X, I believe Y.โ But this conflates caution about alignment with authoritarian states with lack of principles. The field isnโt apolitical, it's just method-first.
03.08.2025 22:45 โ ๐ 23 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Jutel frames OSINT as โcrisis-comms tradecraftโ elevated into academia. But much of the work (including Bellingcat's) is based on open methods, transparent sourcing, and public accountability, the opposite of closed-door โtradecraft.โ
03.08.2025 22:45 โ ๐ 30 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
He accuses me of dismissing his critiques solely because of sources like Alan Macleod and Grayzone. But if those are central to his argument, itโs fair to question their credibility , especially given their track record on Syria, Russia, etc.
03.08.2025 22:44 โ ๐ 29 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Jutel links Disinfo frameworks to โhubrisโ and claims they shield platforms from structural critique. But this ignores that many in the field do analyse structural factors, platform economics, information infrastructure, and regulatory failure among them.
03.08.2025 22:44 โ ๐ 18 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
He suggests OSINT and Disinfo frameworks serve as the โnew Doxaโ, uncritically accepted truths, within academia. But these fields are far from uniform. Researchers frequently debate methods, ethics, and institutional power. There's no monolithic โdisinfo orthodoxy.โ
03.08.2025 22:43 โ ๐ 24 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
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