7. When events combine they have disproportionate impacts
8. Underlying pressures amplify impacts
9. Impacts propagate through entire river networks
Dig in for the full explanation π
@jdtonkin.bsky.social
Dad | Professor & Rutherford Discovery Fellow @UCNZ | #ecology, #biodiversity, #forecasting, #freshwater, #climatechange | surf obsessed | https://tonkinlab.org | Subscribe to newsletter: https://predirections.substack.com
7. When events combine they have disproportionate impacts
8. Underlying pressures amplify impacts
9. Impacts propagate through entire river networks
Dig in for the full explanation π
4. Heatwaves can push species beyond physiological limits
5. Floods and droughts reorganise ecological communities, with impacts that can last for years
6. Extremes open invasion windows for non-native species and can exacerbate their impacts
Nine ways extreme events reshape #river #biodiversity
1. They cause selective mortality that erodes genetic diversity
2. Droughts fragment rivers and refuges can become ecological traps
3. Longβlasting physical legacies reshape habitats
After a lovely morning in the water yesterday, we were greeted by the news that the Naval frigate in the Akaroa Harbour had been leaking oil. Thankfully the response was quick but these arenβt the sorts of further stresses our Navy should be inflicting on our beautiful ecosystems.
08.03.2026 17:02 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Iβd love to see where NZ sits
06.03.2026 07:07 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Yeah I reckon thereβd be a difference for sure
06.03.2026 07:05 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A newly published global review featuring @jdtonkin.bsky.social & Julia Talbot-Jones finds these events are pushing ecosystems beyond their limits and eroding biodiversity and core functions.
05.03.2026 20:08 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0This is shocking!
06.03.2026 01:40 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0That's quite shocking!
06.03.2026 01:40 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
What do floods, droughts, heatwaves and compound events actually do to river ecosystems?
My latest post walks through nine real-world impact pathways β from reaching physiological limits to cascading networkβwide effects.
A guided tour of a rapidly changing reality.
That's the move!
04.03.2026 17:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Great work!
02.03.2026 20:29 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
What do floods, droughts, heatwaves and compound events actually do to river ecosystems?
My latest post walks through nine real-world impact pathways β from reaching physiological limits to cascading networkβwide effects.
A guided tour of a rapidly changing reality.
When extreme events happen together or in sequence, their impacts can be catastrophic for people and river biodiversity. Whether thatβs a flood following a drought, a drought and heatwave operating in unison, or a flood falling on saturated ground, the impacts of these compound events can multiply.
27.02.2026 04:19 β π 8 π 9 π¬ 0 π 1
The richest man owns X.
The second and third richest men control Google.
The fourth richest man owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.
The fifth richest man owns The Washington Post.
And now the sixth richest could soon take over both Paramount and Warner Bros.
See the problem here?
Rivers arenβt just warming: theyβre being reshaped by extreme events
Our new paper in @natrevbiodiv.nature.com shows how floods, droughts & heatwaves are pushing ecosystems past their limits, with recovery no longer guaranteed
We can build resilience, but it requires a shift in how we manage rivers
A piece we wrote for The Conversation that associated with our recent paper "Extreme events and river biodiversity
under climate change" in Nature Reviews Biodiversity @jdtonkin.bsky.social @tdatry.bsky.social and others
Read-only link: rdcu.be/e4Dkv
doi.org/10.64628/AA....
MDPI may be utter trash, but at least theyβre world class at spamming you on a daily basis asking you to lead a special issue.
24.02.2026 07:35 β π 14 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0
This πππ
And read the full thread.
Or check out the Substack post here: www.realitystudies.co/p/jonathan-t...
22.02.2026 22:21 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
I had the chance to join @jessedamiani.bsky.social for a Substack Live conversation last week. We covered a lot of ground β from ecological rhythms to extreme events. We talked rivers, a bit about my back story, and even the importance of finding joy.
YouTube link: youtu.be/sTv7L4xfeVY?...
Thanks for sharing, Alex!
22.02.2026 01:52 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Footnotes from the Margins
I love footnotes, so I'm sharing my favs
@jdtonkin.bsky.social writes a much-needed piece on disagreement. Sharing a lovely abstract by @ecoevoevoeco.bsky.social & @bio-diverse.bsky.social showing how disagreement -> agreement
predirections.substack.com/p/disagree-w...
New online! Extreme events and river biodiversity under climate change
20.02.2026 00:36 β π 19 π 11 π¬ 0 π 0
Read-only link: rdcu.be/e4Dkv
Press release: www.canterbury.ac.nz/news-and-eve...
Grateful for an excellent team of co-authors: @oldenfish.bsky.social, @tdatry.bsky.social, Tadeu Siqueira, Julian Merder, Julia Talbot-Jones, and LeRoy Poff.
Rivers arenβt just warming: theyβre being reshaped by extreme events
Our new paper in @natrevbiodiv.nature.com shows how floods, droughts & heatwaves are pushing ecosystems past their limits, with recovery no longer guaranteed
We can build resilience, but it requires a shift in how we manage rivers
Really happy to see this paper led by awesome former PhD student Holly Harris out in Ecology.
If we simplify and channelise braided rivers, we begin to cut out key habitats, which means species like banded dotterels will no longer be able to reside there. Simple as that!