The assertion that it would be a waste of public health resources to attempt to halt the spread seems strange - wouldn't such efforts still mitigate transmission and delay / broaden peaks? What are some measures that could halt the spread, but wouldn't have any secondary benefits if that failed?
What if predicting #behaviorchange was simpler than we thought? Hugo Lyons Keenan, Roben Delos Reyes &
@camzachreson.bsky.social show how just two data-driven parameters in a #microsimulation reveal real #learning and persistence patterns.
youtu.be/71nq_Hg-Ff8?...
Seems to me the problem is that homes are considered 'investments' at all - a concept the authors completely buy into, to the extent that they apply it to home you live in. Doesn't seem very progressive to me.
This article got featured in the ABC today - but something's fishy about it theconversation.com/the-governme..., isn't this a levelling-down argument? Rent is too much, so let's equalise by making home ownership pricier? Improving inequality by increasing the cost of living?
Thanks @thejhi.bsky.social for a thorough and efficient peer-review process and pre-proof pub of our article about how N95s and single-occupancy work together to prevent nosocomial COVID in hospitals www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... coauthors: @robynschofield3.bsky.social @nicgeard.bsky.social
1/ I have been a Guest Editor for @mmls-journal.bsky.social Special Issue on Behavioural Epidemiology & it now has a dedicated article collection webpage! #EpiSky #IDSky 🧪
🧵 on the 4️⃣ articles published so far.
📄 Further Special Issue contributions will be added to the article collection webpage👇
Looks great. So much effort has gone into this! The demographic stratification will open up new opportunities to examine disparity mechanisms.
Epicast 2.0: A large-scale, demographically detailed, agent-based model for simulating respiratory pathogen spread in the United States arxiv.org/abs/2504.03604
Huge effort to map all the stakeholders of avian influenza surveillance in Canada. Potentially useful template for other countries.
👉 onehealthoutlook.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Sociodemographic biases in medical decision making by large language models www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Finally, we have a published version of the paper describing the ontology for capturing information about recipients of interventions. It's out for peer review but open to comments from all interested parties so do have a look and stress test it! wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/10-...
New Preprint! There has been a lot of work on models coupling behaviour with disease dynamics, typically (and understandably) agnostic about the exact behaviour. Here we consider specifically testing and isolation, providing mathematical and numerical analyses.
arxiv.org/abs/2504.02488
Great PhD opportunity with @edmhill.bsky.social @profbuchan.bsky.social and others, please circulate to anyone interested!
www.liverpool.ac.uk/study/postgr...
❓Need a method for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated & under-reported disease incidence time series data? #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪
✍️: See research paper by Zak Ogi-Gittins & collaborators
📄 Recently published in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A👇
interesting! It seems like this is a growing area. How did you get socioeconomic data for contacts?
We have a new pre-print out, extending traditional age-stratified contact matrices using Swiss data, w/ Martina Reichmuth and @calthaus.bsky.social
"Individual-based and neighbourhood-based socio-economic factors relevant for contact behaviour and epidemic control" www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
PhD position (Melbourne, Australia)
Developing an integrated modelling and health economics approach to understand Strep A transmission and control.
with Rebecca Chisholm, Angela Devine
at La Trobe University
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2281
A huge thank you to Nefel Tellioglu, Jessica Stockdale, Julie Spencer, Wasiur Rahman Khuda Bukhsh, @joelcmiller.bsky.social and Cameron Zachreson for including me on this @matrix-inst.bsky.social project we just preprinted results from
t.co/9ioaiNWMQa 🤓
I am happy to see that this paper written in collaboration with an amazing team of Australian modelers (@praty1931.bsky.social @camzachreson.bsky.social and others) is finally out in Royal Society Open Science!
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
If you think about how people reacted to lockdowns & omicron wave in Australia, then we have a piping hot piece of research for you, that breaks it down by socioeconomic status: doi.org/10.1098/rsos...
I would like to be added if there's space
the one about previous exposure to H1N1 seems plausible, what do you reckon?
haha, thanks Michele, it was your post that got me here
Interesting series of articles here on integrating human behavior into models of infectious disease dynamics