Infectious Disease Modelling Utrecht

Impact of adherence and stringency on the effectiveness of lockdown measures: A modelling study During the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdowns were a widely used strategy to reduce disease transmission. However, there was much debate about the optimal level of strictness and duration of lockdowns. This...

After a very long review process our paper on feedback between adherence to lockdown measures, fatigue, and epidemics is finally online!

dx.plos.org/10.1371/jour...

Testing paradox may explain increased observed prevalence of bacterial STIs among MSM on HIV PrEP: A modeling study | PNAS www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

General population preferences for health-related protective behaviors during infectious disease emergencies: a systematic review of conjoint-analysis studies To primarily systematically review the evidence from conjoint analysis (CA) studies on general population preferences for health-related protective be…

The first publication of the ConnectioN project is online! Led by Nannan Li and Mickaël Hiligsmann, we reviewed conjoint analysis studies regarding protective behaviour during epidemics. Have a look at the paper in Social Science and Medicine!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

New paper by our PhD student Bastiaan van der Roest:
Phylodynamic inference suggests introductions as main driver of Mpox Clade II outbreak in 2022 in Slovenia. Epidemiology and Infection. 2025;153:e115. doi:10.1017/S0950268825100587.

On July 10th the IMMIDD Inaugural Symposium "From Chaos to Cohesion - The Future of Infectious Disease Modeling" took place at the University of Münster. A first step towards new interdisciplinary collaborations and a strong interregio component (Germany, Netherlands, Belgium)!

It was a great pleasure to be an instructor at the 2nd ESPIDAM Summer School (European Summer Program in Infectious Disease Analysis and Modelling), hosted by Stockholm University. Together with Vittoria Colizza I gave the course on Networks and Contact Patterns in Infectious Disease Modelling.

The expected impact of a cure for HIV among people with HIV and key populations Communications Medicine - Romijnders et al. examine the expected impact of two hypothetical HIV cure scenarios on quality of life, sexual satisfaction, and stigma in a cross-sectional survey. Both...

This new paper in Communications Medicine presents data on the possible impact of a HIV cure on quality of life. Work by Kim Romijnders, Ganna Rozhnova, and many collaborators.

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A symposium on July 10 to kick off the new center for infectious disease modelling at the University of Münster

Model-based evaluation of the impact of a potential HIV cure on HIV transmission dynamics Nature Communications - Development of an HIV cure is a global health priority and the target product profile for a cure has been set. Here, the authors use mathematical modelling to assess the...

Out in @NatureComms : our paper “Model-based evaluation of the impact of a potential HIV cure on HIV transmission dynamics”. By Alfredo De Bellis, Myrthe Willemsen, Ganna Rozhnova, and other co-authors.

rdcu.be/ejA0b

Phylodynamic assessment of SNP distances from whole genome sequencing for determining Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission Scientific Reports - Phylodynamic assessment of SNP distances from whole genome sequencing for determining Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission

A new paper in Scientific Reports about analysing SNP distances for assessing TB transmission by Bastiaan van der Roest, Don Klinkenberg, and others. Nice collaboration between RIVM, Charite Berlin, and our group!

rdcu.be/efOPZ

Impact of increased diagnosis of early HIV infection and immediate antiretroviral treatment initiation on HIV transmission among men who have sex with men in the Netherlands Author summary In recent years, in the Netherlands, the annual number of new HIV infections in the population of men who have sex with men (MSM) is declining. Using an agent-based model calibrated to ...

Check out the new paper by Sasha Teslya, Ganna Rozhnova and others in PLoS Computational Biology. Using an agent-based model we studied the impact of increased diagnosis of early HIV infection on future HIV incidence in MSM.
doi.org/10.1371/jour...

Welcome to the new account of the Infectious Disease Modelling Group Utrecht! We will keep you up to date about our activities and publications.
See you soon! 😀