Tonight sees the opening primaries of the US Midterms. Texas is the highlight and one of the key targets in the Democrats goal of regaining the Senate.
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social
www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
@paulmotty.bsky.social
30 years+ semi or professional gambler. Political analyst for Betfair and bylines at GQ, Politico, Reuters, CityAM. www.politicalgambler.com Media enquires: paulkrishnamurty@gmail.com
Tonight sees the opening primaries of the US Midterms. Texas is the highlight and one of the key targets in the Democrats goal of regaining the Senate.
My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social
www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
I am begging people to understand Gorton and Denton is a very untypical constituency. In most English seats, the Green surge and the Reform advance we saw last night would deliver a Reform MP. As things stand, Farage should be the massive favourite to be next PM.
27.02.2026 08:47 β π 5 π 2 π¬ 9 π 0
This, from @davidallengreen.bsky.social is frankly terrifying:
"In essence: Palantir commercially colonised the Ministry of Defence because the Ministry of Defence let them."
davidallengreen.com/2026/02/land...
Restore Britain's language is not just racist it's now indistinguishable from Neo-Nazi groups.
25.02.2026 11:14 β π 831 π 178 π¬ 24 π 11Good sense!
25.02.2026 00:00 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The document described here is a big development that expands our understanding of Epstein's criminal activities, but remains too redacted. We know the Trump administration is covering up for Epstein's pedophile buddies. This is evidence they're covering up for drug cartels too.
24.02.2026 20:58 β π 1210 π 546 π¬ 38 π 24Perhaps, but if filtering for likely to vote, Green are +2. Also 4% is too high for LD, suspect they switch to Green. Opinium count undecideds on 2024 vote, which helps Labour, maybe Con, hurts Green.
24.02.2026 21:48 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
The US Justice Department withheld testimony that Donald Trump sexually abused a girl when she was 13 or 14 - according to a source who viewed unredacted Epstein files.
This is the worst scandal in US history and should be the biggest news story on the planet right now.
www.npr.org/2026/02/24/n...
My final thoughts, bets and predictions for the Gorton and Denton by-election, for @gamblingcom.bsky.social
www.gambling.com/uk/news/gort...
The rise of Plaid is about more than just Labour's failures. In 2016, 31% of Welsh voters said they were more Welsh than British, and 34% of those said they would vote Plaid Cymru. In 2025, the numbers were 41% of voters, 53% of whom planned to vote for Plaid
19.02.2026 22:16 β π 10 π 5 π¬ 2 π 0
Thanks mate.
I see UNHRC are also labelling Epstein a 'huge global criminal network.'
Time to join the dots.
More of this please. Accelerated decoupling.
16.02.2026 21:30 β π 12 π 4 π¬ 0 π 0
64% of the UK public view the Reform UK leader unfavourably, up from 59% in June 2025, according to new favourability ratings published by polling company YouGov
Some 27% approve of Farage, down from a peak of 32% in May and August last year
www.ft.com/content/2bcb...
As the Gorton and Denton by-election odds move further towards the Greens, my latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses how far the party can rise under Zack Polanski.
www.gambling.com/uk/news/uk-g...
If the US did what the French are doing right now, the effects on Twitter and Facebook would be enormous.
09.02.2026 21:39 β π 885 π 290 π¬ 17 π 11
The idiot commentariat are claiming Starmer never had a plan to be leader, wasn't in the running, until McSweeney talked him into it.
They really do think the public is thick, and has no memory.
Agreed. And the fact we know Russia had a degree of success (likely growing) in both 2016/2020 into hacking US electoral systems.
09.02.2026 16:47 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Yes, Trump depicting the Obamas as apes is racist, vile. As ever.
But ffs, don't buy into the distraction! They do this every time.
The Epstein files have him on the ropes like never before. Stay with it.
My latest on the Labour leadership for @gamblingcom.bsky.social
Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband are rising rapidly in the betting.
www.gambling.com/uk/news/next...
My latest on the Labour leadership for @gamblingcom.bsky.social
Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband are rising rapidly in the betting.
www.gambling.com/uk/news/next...
Agree with all of that.
My point is there is no meaningful evidence to credit Morgan McSweeney for Labour's temporary resurgence.
The Tories collapsed, and non-right wing voted tactically to remove them everywhere.
Not especially and/or due to MM.
Starmer had little to beat to become leader.
Any halfway competent opposition would have won a majority against those Tories.
That Starmer as PM was instantly unpopular shows how shallow their support was.
Starmer had little to beat to become leader, and did so by flat-out lying.
Any halfway competent opposition would have won a majority against those Tories.
That Starmer as PM was instantly unpopular shows how shallow their support was.
On Newsnight, Nick Watt proclaimed Morgan McSweeney's remarkable achievement in (a) winning Starmer the leadership and (b) winning a majority.
A perfect illustration of the self-perpetuating Westminster Village bubble, and inflated importance of political technologists.
Agreed
03.02.2026 23:03 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
If you're late to the game or just want more info do yourself a favor and listen to this interview with Mark Thompson and Sarah Kendzior. She's been sounding the alarm about the Epstein web & TOC for well over a decade..
youtu.be/x-G5wIDjZb0?...
Yes for sure. Hard to think Zahawi in particular won't deter true fascists
02.02.2026 20:12 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Yes the far Right is always liable to split. I don't think they have the numbers in that constituency, regardless.
02.02.2026 19:15 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
ICYMI: My preview of the #GortonAndDenton by-election for @gamblingcom.bsky.social
The Greens are now odds-on favourites.
www.gambling.com/uk/news/gort...
How untouchable is Morgan McSweeney? The new Dominic Cummings?
02.02.2026 17:01 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0