Dr. Athena Masson

How about *only* hurricane pairings in the Atlantic and for the entire period of record (since 1851). What are the closest two hurricanes have ever been recorded? Humberto and Imelda right at the top. The nearest reliable contender was Easy and Fox back in 1951.

#Imelda and #Humberto and the start of the Fujiwhara Effect. Humberto plays a large roll in saving the Southeast from a landfall as it tugs Imelda eastward. #Bermuda should monitor the progress of both storms as they begin to move north-northeast. #wx

Humberto strengthens into a Category 5 #hurricane with max wind speeds near 160 mph & a barometric pressure of 925mb. #Humberto is the 2nd Cat 5 this season after #Erin. Since 1924, 44 storms have reached Cat 5 status. This is the 4th consecutive year in which a Cat 5 has formed.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for parts of #Florida from Palm Beach/Martin County Line northward to the Flagler/Volusia County Line. While the system is expected to stay just offshore coastal flooding, breezy winds, & showers will be likely this next week. #Imelda #wx

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine-likely to be Tropical Storm #Imelda. A tricky forecast as #Hurricane #Humberto is close by, which could influence Imelda’s path depending on proximity & strength. Big concern is if Imelda stalls offshore, producing flooding rains for the Southeast.

Tropical Storm #Humberto has formed in the central Atlantic. Expected to strengthen over the next few days and possibly become a #hurricane over the weekend. No threat to land expected at this time but rip currents and strong swells will be likely along the Southeast coastlines.

The tropics are coming alive again. #Gabrielle is now a Category 4 #hurricane with wind speeds near 140 mph. Expected to remain out to sea and move eastward towards the Azores. Two additional waves are moving westward across the central Atlantic. Development likely by end of week

After a quiet few weeks we now have Tropical Storm #Gabrielle in the central Atlantic. Expected to gradually intensify over the next few days but no threat to the US at this time. #Bermuda should monitor the progression of this storm over the next several days. #wx

After a lull in activity our attention shifts back to the Atlantic. A wave coming off Africa will travel westward over the next several days. The further south it tracks, the less amount of shear, which could favor formation. Currently a moderate (40%) chance for development. #wx

Sept 10th is the statistic peak day of the Atlantic #Hurricane Season… and all is quiet. High tropical wind shear and frontal boundaries dipping more south are partly to blame this week. We still have a ways to go. Hurricane Season runs through Nov 30, another 81 days to go. #wx

20 years since #HurricaneKatrina #Katrina became a large and powerful Cat 5 #hurricane in the Gulf before impacting #Mississippi and #Louisiana as a Cat 3 on August 29, 2005. Enormous destruction and significant loss of life. It is the costliest US hurricane on record. #wx

Tropical Storm #Fernand Forms South-Southeast of Bermuda. Expected to Remain Over the Open Ocean. #wx

Large #Erin is quickly moving out to sea. Far outer bands skirting parts of Atlantic Canada. Erin will continue to grow in size as it undergoes extratropical transition. Another wave to the south of Erin has a high chance of developing this weekend. Next name: #Fernand. #wx

Eyewall replacement cycle with #Erin once more. New eye appearing on latest scan. A sign of strengthening. Erin will continue to grow in size as it moves northward & begin the process of extratropical transition. Coastal areas can expect strong surf & rip currents this week. #wx

The tropical expressway has opened. Monitoring another wave coming off Africa. All eyes remain on #Erin still. Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Watches up for the North Carolina Outer Banks. Tropical storm conditions and coastal flooding are possible beginning late Wednesday. #wx

While #Erin is expected to stay out to sea we are already monitoring another wave that has a moderate chance of development over the next several days. This one will be something to monitor closely as it is expected to track further south compared to Erin. Next name: #Fernand. #wx

Unbelievable footage from NOAA’s Hurricane Hunters inside the eye of Hurricane Erin.

Simply incredible.

I mean…come on…

The moon through the top of Erin’s eye last night, taken by the #hurricanehunters

#Hurricane #Erin is now a Category 5 storm with wind speeds near 160mph. Pressure at 917mb & continuing to lower. Since 1924 a total of 43 hurricanes have reached Category 5 status. The last Category 5 was Hurricane Milton (2024). #wx

How is this “working myself up”? Nowhere am I informing that it is impacting or expected to impact an area. This information pertains to the current strength and situation of the storm.

#Hurricane Hunters continue to monitor the progression of #Erin. Expected to strengthen over the weekend and has a chance of becoming a major hurricane (Cat 3+) as it moves north of the Caribbean Islands. Latest loop of convection showing an eye trying to form. 👁️ #wx

#Erin becomes a #hurricane, the first of the 2025 season. On average the first hurricane of the season forms around August 11th. Parts of the northern Leeward Islands are under a Tropical Storm Watch. The core of Erin is expected to pass north of the islands this weekend. #wx

We are entering the peak weeks of the Atlantic #Hurricane Season today. August 15 - October 15 is generally the most active time for tropical development, with the statistical peak being Sept. 10. Continuing to watch #Erin, which could become a hurricane later today. #wx

#Erin strengthening in the Atlantic as it gradually moves westward. Expected to become our first #hurricane of the season. While a gradual turn northward is forecast, tropical storm force winds will likely occur across portions of the #Antilles this weekend. Monitor closely. #wx

Way too early. Better idea on potential track by the weekend.

Tropical Storm #Erin forms near the Cape Verde Islands. Atmospheric conditions remain favorable this week as it tracks west. Could become our first #hurricane of the season. While still far out, #Caribbean, #Bermuda, US East Coast & Atlantic #Canada should monitor closely. #wx

Strong 6.1 magnitude #earthquake strikes #Turkey, about 10km SSW of Bigadiç. Turkey's disaster management agency said the quake was recorded at around 19:53 local time (16:53 GMT), and was felt as far away as Istanbul.

Invest 97, currently out by the Cape Verde Islands has a high chance of developing into a named system. Good bloom of convection today. While conditions are favorable for formation it is too soon to know where exactly this system will be in a week. All should monitor closely. #wx

Most certainly. Due to water having a high heat capacity it takes a lot more energy for all of that heat to be released compared to air or land. Thus, high water temps will generally stick around for a much longer period of time which could spawn tropical activity late into the season.

This is classified as normal at this time given that we are entering the peak of the season. This trend will continue through October generally. I have my own theories on frequency but at this time it looks to be relatively “normal” this year, but will not rule out a surprise increase in Oct/Nov.