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Josh Busby

@busbyj2.bsky.social

Professor at the University of Texas-Austin. Former Senior Climate Advisor DOD. Climate security, climate governance, clean energy, global health, US foreign policy. Author of States and Nature: The Effects of Climate Change on Security (Cambridge, 2022).

27,544 Followers  |  909 Following  |  7,404 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023
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Posts by Josh Busby (@busbyj2.bsky.social)

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What’s Next for Iran? Big Change Seems Certain, but Direction Is Unclear. Experts say that Iran’s clerical rulers may be too deeply entrenched for Iranians to topple them, and that the U.S. and Israeli strikes risk setting off deeper radicalization or violence.

President Trump and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made public appeals to Iran’s people, saying they've offered a historic opportunity to topple their authoritarian government. How they envision an unarmed population facing down a heavily armed, ideologically driven security force is less clear.

02.03.2026 04:30 β€” πŸ‘ 215    πŸ” 65    πŸ’¬ 45    πŸ“Œ 24
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I’m also listening to this book which speaks to the current moment in the US as well with its self-dealing crony capitalists.

02.03.2026 01:20 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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We here.

01.03.2026 19:44 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dybul - There could be opportunities for cost efficiencies if countries are allowed to manage their own data and systems.

01.03.2026 17:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Our only offer set to African countries has been aid. They would prefer investment. We had parallel data and procurement systems from PEPFAR, GAVI, and Global Fund.

01.03.2026 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We made progress over last 25 years but haven't really moved towards country ownership but have tortured countries with competing systems from donors.

01.03.2026 17:50 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Other countries were folding in developing assistance into Ministries of Foreign Affairs.

01.03.2026 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That was before the United States took action as other states were cutting aid dramatically.

01.03.2026 17:47 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Dybul - OECD says that overseas development assistance dropped by 50% over the last five years.

01.03.2026 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Elon Musk as the world's richest man has imposed these costs on the world's poorest people.

01.03.2026 17:45 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Natsios - justifying humanitarian aid solely on national security grounds is morally bankrupt and outrageous.

01.03.2026 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Trump Administration Is Ending Aid That It Says Saves Lives The State Department will let lifesaving projects expire because β€œthere is no strong nexus between the humanitarian response and U.S. national interests,” according to an internal email.

Alludes to this report that humanitarian aid to 7 countries will be cut because Trump admin doesn't think support for health in the national interest including Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Somalia, and Zimbabwe.
www.theatlantic.com/health/2026/...

01.03.2026 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Bollyky - 97% decline in US global health assistance to Bangladesh.

01.03.2026 17:37 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Natsios - Global health supply chain disrupted which allowed US, UN agencies, to procure medications at low cost. Data collection from USAID also shut down for novel diseases.

01.03.2026 17:36 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Natsios - Catholic Relief Services laid off half their staff. World Vision in Africa laid off 3000 staff, throwing all of these people into poverty from being middle class professionals.

01.03.2026 17:34 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Natsios - 60 USAID missions lost with thousands of local staff.

01.03.2026 17:30 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

By 2030, academic estimates worry about as 14 million excess deaths as a result of these global health cuts.

01.03.2026 17:27 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

21% decline over past year in spending on global health assistance with 67% decline in US alone.

01.03.2026 17:27 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
A Year Without USAID and What Comes Next
YouTube video by Council on Foreign Relations A Year Without USAID and What Comes Next

Watching this now.
youtu.be/2N2gDAUw_BU?...

01.03.2026 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

Up to 8 review requests for the year this far.

01.03.2026 16:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Umm.

01.03.2026 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Have to admire the bangers but Spurs in relegation fight and possibly winning the Champions League is not what I would have expected this season...

01.03.2026 14:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Great 🧡 with many links to what political science research & history can tell us about FIRCs:

28.02.2026 21:59 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Wouldn't want a little war to get in the way of a golf weekend.

28.02.2026 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 4380    πŸ” 1117    πŸ’¬ 189    πŸ“Œ 36
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Breaking: China's official statistics report a 0.3% drop in CO2 emissions from energy&industry in 2025, the third time that annual emissions have fallen this century and the first fall predominantly driven by clean energy growth. 🧡

28.02.2026 06:07 β€” πŸ‘ 239    πŸ” 64    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 8
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The Enshittificator Digital products and services keep getting worse. In the new report Breaking Free: Pathways to a fair technological future, the Norwegian Consumer Council has delved…

This is amazing.

28.02.2026 05:48 β€” πŸ‘ 293    πŸ” 120    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 15

This is brilliant.

28.02.2026 04:29 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is absolute lunacy. Military officers in my phd program at Georgetown contributed to the program as well as receiving from it.

28.02.2026 03:56 β€” πŸ‘ 120    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
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Blackpool Boulevard

Banger. open.spotify.com/track/5TaNnF...

28.02.2026 01:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Real Reason Anthropic Wants Guardrails AI is too powerful and too new to be set free from human oversight.

πŸŽπŸ”—The Real Reason Anthropic Wants Guardrails

AI is too powerful and too new to be set free from human oversight.

By Thomas Wright @theatlantic.com
February 27, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

27.02.2026 21:15 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0