@birdlandmetrics.com
Independent analytics for Baltimore Orioles fans. We build the models, you follow the season. Playoff odds with pre-season adjustments in Feb/March, and daily odds updates starting Opening Day. birdlandmetrics.com
It’s also a tough date range to run that study on OPACY given the addition of “Walltimore” in 2022 and then the adjustment within that time period — I haven’t read the methodology behind it, but wonder how they factored that into this, if at all! Interesting study!
How did we know which parts of Adley's slump were real and which were bad luck?
We published the methodology behind it — a guide to stabilization points, regression to the mean, and separating signal from noise in baseball stats.
birdlandmetrics.com/articles/sta...
His sinker was hitting 97+ mph in the first few innings (up a few ticks from his avg velocity in previous years), he was really heaving it today. Great to see such a solid outing!
Much of the talk about Coby Mayo this spring has been about defense -- his move from 1st back to 3rd, filling in for Jordan Westburg and even his brief shortstop stint.
But Mayo is also absolutely raking.
"I’m able to go into the box with a clear mind."
www.mlb.com/orioles/news...
Adley Rutschman's 2025 exit velocity was the highest of his career. But he also hit .220.
How is that possible? We broke down every key metric using FanGraphs' stabilization methodology to figure out what's real and what's noise.
birdlandmetrics.com/articles/adley-rutschman-2026-outlook
106.2 mph off the bat of Gunnar Henderson to give the US their first run against Italy — smoked it!
Orioles opening day roster projection.
C: Rutschman, Basallo
INF: Alonso, Henderson, Mayo, Alexander, Mountcastle, Vázquez
OF: Cowser, Ward, O'Neill, Beavers, Taveras
P: Rogers, Bradish, Baz, Bassitt, Kremer/Helsley, Wells, Akin, Cano, Enns, Garcia, Wolfram, Kowar
www.thebanner.com/sports/oriol...
Orioles probable pitchers:
Wednesday vs. PIT: RHP Kyle Bradish
Thursday: off-day
Friday at PHI: LHP Cade Povich
Saturday at PIT: LHP Trevor Rogers
How in the world is Gunnar not in the lineup again tonight?
Four-hit game for America's shortstop!
Reminder that Gunnar Henderson is 24. It’s early but he’s on a clear HOF trajectory. He was more banged up than anyone realized last year and still managed 4.8 fWAR. The idea that he wouldn’t be a starter for this team will look silly in a year.
Not only did Gunnar Henderson smoke four hits today, they were all with two outs.
Final stat line for Gunnar tonight:
-4 for 5 with a double, 1K, 2 RBIs
Exit velocity on his four hits (ranked among all batted balls):
-111.4 mph (#1 - hardest-hit ball in the game)
-108.9 mph (#3)
-108.1 mph (#5)
-106.3 mph (#6)
He also saw the most pitches by any batter in the game (31).
…and even better haha
Some excellent at bats from Gunnar tonight with 2 RBIs, and currently sitting #1 (111.4 mph) and #4 (108.1 mph) on the exit velocity leaderboard according to Statcast — love to see it
Primarily pitching in the Low-A California League, Najer Victor has struck out four batters twice and five batters once in a game in 42 MiLB games.
Facing Team USA, he faced six batters and struck out Aaron Judge, Bryce Harper, Gunnar Henderson and Roman Anthony.
GUNNAR HENDERSON BRINGS EM HOME
Gunnar Henderson is batting 1.000 for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic after knocking a 108.1 mph single in the 2nd inning against Great Britain.
Appreciate it! Been out grocery shopping with my toddler so haven’t had a chance to check for the lineup release. Great to hear!
Heston Kjerstad's strong spring continues.
The 27-year-old outfielder goes deep in the bottom of the 6th, powering a go-ahead 2-run home run the opposite way to left-center field.
Kjerstad is hitting .318 (7-for-22) with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs in 8 Grapefruit League games.
A good showing for Orioles LHP Cade Povich vs. the Twins.
His final line: 3.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K. 53 pitches, 33 strikes.
Povich has a 1.59 ERA in 5 2/3 Grapefruit League innings this spring.
Anyone hearing anything about the lineup for the game against GB tonight? Hoping Gunnar gets a chance to play 🤞 #WBC #WorldBaseballClassic
It's been a while since Orioles' Tyler Wells was a full-time reliever, but he's ready.
"Being a starter and being a high-leverage reliever, those are the 2 spots that a lot of people have a lot of pressure in.
"I want the pressure. I want the fire."
www.mlb.com/orioles/news...
Chris Bassitt threw three innings with 2Ks, a hit, a walk and no earned runs allowed.
Talking about the Orioles rotation, Bassitt said "I think we're very underrated. ... I would rather be a stealth bomber, so to speak, and not have anybody talk about us. Just surprise people."
Ryan Mountcastle is 3-for-3 with 3 singles today.
The 29-year-old is now 7-for-18 (.389) with a .921 OPS in 7 Grapefruit League games this spring.
Final line for Chris Bassitt in his 2nd start of spring for Orioles:
3+ IP, 1 H, 1 R (0 ER), 1 BB, 2 K's. 43 pitches, 26 strikes.
Bassitt retired first 9 Cardinals batters. The unearned run scored following his departure.
Orioles manager Craig Albernaz continues to keep all his pitching plans close to the vest.
On potential 6-man rotation: “Everything is on the table.”
On piggybacking starters: “Everything’s on the table.”
On when he’ll name Opening Day starter: “I have no clue.”
Heyman basically confirms here what we’ve heard rumors about. The Orioles offered Ranger Suarez a 5-year deal for close to the money Boston guaranteed. He doesn’t specify the timeline.
Final line for Orioles RHP Zach Eflin in his 1st start of the spring vs. Rays: 2+ IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's. 40 pitches, 21 strikes.
An encouraging first showing for the 31-year-old, who is coming off of back surgery.
Also a good sign -- these velo numbers.
Eflin sat 93.6 with the 4S and 92.8 with the sinker in that first inning, numbers he has not averaged over a full season since 2020.