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Luke Kawa

@ljkawa.bsky.social

Markets, Twain, Leafs, Survivor

24,851 Followers  |  251 Following  |  3,832 Posts  |  Joined: 27.04.2023
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Posts by Luke Kawa (@ljkawa.bsky.social)

one way to tell something is not very important to Jamie Dimon is that he's asking the government to do it

02.03.2026 19:27 β€” πŸ‘ 166    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Last day we did this was literally the day after the market bottomed in November

02.03.2026 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Is the geopolitical markets rule of thumb β€œany geopolitical shock is always and everywhere the worst for Europe”?

02.03.2026 18:42 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 7

you hoping for an update or a downdate?

02.03.2026 17:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Most telling thing about this episode so far is complete inability of duration to hold anything resembling a bid.

02.03.2026 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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When will I stop this bit?

Never. Or when $OKLO has sales.

02.03.2026 13:54 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The start of a kinetic conflict in the Middle East is seemingly the latest ΜΆrΜΆeΜΆaΜΆsΜΆoΜΆnΜΆ excuse for investors to flee speculative AI and other thematic pockets of the market:
sherwood.news/markets/spec...

02.03.2026 13:53 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

tyty i've assumed this season is spoiled like crazy, have been like neo dodging out here

01.03.2026 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Survivordle β€” Daily Survivor Castaway Guessing Game Guess the Survivor castaway in 8 tries. New puzzle every day: match by season, tribe, placement, age, and more.

thanks to @thewinnersedit.bsky.social i now know this exists, amazing: survivordle.com

01.03.2026 22:03 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Post by @survivor-edgic-watching-for Β· 1 image πŸ’¬ 0Β Β πŸ” 0  ❀️ 0Β Β·Β Legends RowΒ Β·Β If that Survivor 50 opening montage didn’t want to make you run through a wall β€” while crying β€” then you probably have less emotional breadth than Brian Heidik. What…

#Survivor Season 50 Episode 1 edgic-ing here

www.tumblr.com/survivor-edg...

01.03.2026 21:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Tiff Macklem your office called and wants to know what you think of FX this fine Sunday.

01.03.2026 20:25 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

it’s a thing that literally happened

*NETFLIX INC: PSKY PAID $2,800,000,000 TERMINATION FEE

27.02.2026 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

(this is AI tbc)

27.02.2026 20:18 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What a world

27.02.2026 20:18 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
a man in a suit and tie is talking to another man in an elevator and says `` not great , bob '' . ALT: a man in a suit and tie is talking to another man in an elevator and says `` not great , bob '' .

AI credit risk is back on the menu

sherwood.news/markets/the-...

27.02.2026 16:30 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

digital god demands tithes

27.02.2026 16:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a close up of a man 's face with the words " i could " below him ALT: a close up of a man 's face with the words " i could " below him

You know who would have made a killing in prediction markets?

27.02.2026 16:06 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Pretty remarkable that the β€œwe’re raising half the money via equity” improvement in Oracle’s 5Y CDS completely reversed (and then some) so quickly

(currently at 165.54, a new high; chart data is delayed)

27.02.2026 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

(i’m probably just loosely describing degrossing)

27.02.2026 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Seems like market simultaneously doesn’t want to fund software because of AI disruption threat and doesn’t want to fund AI bc of lack of FCF.

27.02.2026 15:10 β€” πŸ‘ 103    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

no this is good

27.02.2026 12:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

(down, ridiculous momo break kinda thing, exaggerating for effect)

26.02.2026 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What are the odds South Korea memory has its β€œsilver” moment tonight?

26.02.2026 21:50 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 1

based on the reasons i’m interested in them, you probably shouldn’t be

26.02.2026 21:18 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A four-act play:

-Co-founder touts earnings as a potential catalyst for a short squeeze

-company had already released preliminary results

-company releases actual results, in line

-stock slumps

$FIGR
sherwood.news/markets/figu...

26.02.2026 21:14 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

<bit niche>

26.02.2026 18:29 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

Is Claude the first entity with a classically French name to cause bizarre stock market volatility that didn’t attend Γ‰cole Polytechnique?

26.02.2026 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

oh hell yeah

26.02.2026 18:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Look at the last part of the chart (green box/arrow). It's the same chart as IGV Or even the BDCs.

Sorta makes sense

25.02.2026 14:18 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So in sum, to add to my previous statement:

Not only is the stock market the economy, but it is also the bond market.

26.02.2026 18:08 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0