Omar Chaudhuri

Hi David, sure - drop me an email at omar@twentyfirstgroup.com

Wonderful Saturday morning read

Yeah those are the obvious top three. But after that? Maybe the Liebherr family? Maybe you Then you’re into provincial clubs like Burnley and Bournemouth, which is a totally different kettle of fish to owning one of the top 10 or 15 clubs in the country IMO

It’s a good question: of Premier League club owners in the last 24 years, how many would you put above Levy?

I don’t doubt that, but if you look at Everton for example, it’s clear clubs can stay below their ‘natural’ level for a very long time without good management

I don't buy the idea that Daniel Levy's tenure at Tottenham Hotspur didn't deliver on-field success. In the 9 full Premier League seasons before becoming Executive Chairman, Tottenham&#39... I don't buy the idea that Daniel Levy's tenure at Tottenham Hotspur didn't deliver on-field success. In the 9 full Premier League seasons before becoming Executive Chairman, Tottenham's average posit...

9 year average because that was the Premier League era, nothing more than that.

As for the 1960-80s point, it’s addressed in the full post: www.linkedin.com/posts/omar-c...

I don't buy the idea that Daniel Levy's tenure at Tottenham Hotspur didn't deliver on-field success. In the 9 full Premier League seasons before becoming Executive Chairman, Tottenham&#39... I don't buy the idea that Daniel Levy's tenure at Tottenham Hotspur didn't deliver on-field success. In the 9 full Premier League seasons before becoming Executive Chairman, Tottenham's average posit...

On Daniel Levy: www.linkedin.com/posts/omar-c...

In terms of absolute difference in revenues, has there ever been a bigger upset in football, ever? c. £6m plays c. £600m.

How pre-season expectations for clubs have varied since 2015:

- Puts in context NEW & AVL's quick rise
- MCI forecast for 78 points, their lowest since 16/17
- Expectations up at EVE, but below pre-2022
- Market's view of BRE has been pretty consistent over time, save for going into 23/24

My hot take on the England-India series is that it was a great series but nowhere near as good as the 2023 Ashes for consistent drama and see-sawing. There were some pretty slow days (by admittedly high modern standards) and only one genuinely good pitch in the whole series. But an epic finish.

I think this is absolutely the case. England players certainly know it - but hard to imagine what it’s like in the moment

On tonight’s evidence, the time taken between the whistle and start of run up remains the strongest predictor of a penalty kick’s success.

Amazingly weird odds scenarios playing out here because of the skewed draw - England winning but their odds of reaching the final per our model has gone from 47% before Netherlands were ahead, to 26% now, while France have gone from 16% to 33% after falling behind.

Less about the comeback, more that one side needs to do just one small thing to secure victory - which isn’t generally possible in time-limited formats

Yes, exactly. I suppose chess has an equivalent too!

By my maths, Alcaraz was a minimum of 41 points from victory when Sinner was 1 point away. The only other sport that can parallel these scenarios (I think) is test cricket - a last-wicket pair needing over 50 to win. Makes for such great sport

Not seen this parallel drawn, but United’s win yesterday reminded me of Liverpool’s against Dortmund in 2016. Europa League quarter final, new manager, centre back with the winner. Liverpool’s perhaps more dramatic thanks to the away goals rule.

After beating Lazio 2-0 last night, a reminder that FK BODØ/GLIMT are… | Omar Chaudhuri After beating Lazio 2-0 last night, a reminder that FK BODØ/GLIMT are setting the standard for clubs looking to punch above their weight and compete with the biggest teams in Europe. 💶 Limited resour...

Bodø/Glimt 👇

www.linkedin.com/posts/omar-c...

My first sight of Grand Slam Track this evening. Love MJ and attempts at new things in sport. But first impressions matter, and all a bit amateurish:

1) Empty stadium
2) Sound issues on broadcast
3) Really poor explanation video on format

On the plus side: Steve Cram

Betfair exchange

Admittedly not a full programme of matches, but the fact that the team with the 11,000-seater stadium is the shortest-priced favourite this weekend in the Premier League is pretty remarkable.

Presumably allowing two touches though would enable someone to 'dribble' towards goal before shooting? The laws could have something about 'intention' but I think it's probably fine as it is

David Luiz. Considering his era (immediately post-Pep/Barca), his position and playing style, his physical appearance, and probably the clubs he played for, I’m not sure there has been a player more perfectly Pure Discourse.

I missed this last week - Barcelona hadn’t lost a league game that wasn’t a dead rubber in six years. They hadn’t dropped a single point in 12 months. And then they lose, at home, to a team in the relegation zone. Hard to think of many bigger upsets in any league, anywhere.

Yes that’s fair - I’m thinking more about European leagues (see follow up), who currently all sell rights individually to minor UK platforms and have no cut through.

The sheer volume of football in the EFL or EU leagues outside the big 5 means that there is always an interesting story somewhere. I think there is a small market for, say, a Sunday afternoon goals show using European leagues that aggregate their UK rights (currently worth ~0 anyway).

Of all the takes on the UCL, I thought this was the most perceptive. It wasn’t as good as I’d hoped it would be, but it was better than before. And I think the likes of the EFL and groups of European leagues should think about how lots of games at once can make for fun TV for (informed) fans

And that they discarded the away-goals-rule-but-only-in-extra-time quirk 🙁

Yes I thought that - 23 points for Forest over the remaining 18 games feels quite low, but OTOH better than what Spurs and United have done so far.