Daniel Klotz

Daniel Klotz

@danklotz.bsky.social

Professional Stumbler. Shenanigans with Earth Science & Machine Learning Visiting researcher at google & assistant prof at it:u (at)

1,029 Followers 760 Following 138 Posts Joined Nov 2023
5 days ago
More on making a killing from prediction markets | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/06/k...

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3 weeks ago
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So we’re betting on everything now? YouTube video by Good Work

youtu.be/mOptJl8Xkx0?...

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3 weeks ago
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The image is from a Maxis software catalog from 1994. The one below is one of the software toys it mentions at the beginning.

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3 weeks ago
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Could be my motto :)

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1 month ago
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AI Is Getting Scary Good at Making Predictions Even superforecasters are guessing that they’ll soon be obsolete.

www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...

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1 month ago
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PC mag 1985

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1 month ago
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1 month ago
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Spätzle, Strudel & Neural hydrology: My research visit to Linz - digitalwaters.fi Iiro Seppä, University of Turku. iielse@utu.fi At the end of November, I spent two weeks with the Machine learning in Earth Sciences group at Interdisciplinary Transformation University (IT-U) in Linz...

In case anyone is thinking about visiting me as a guest researcher, here is a nice blogplost on how it is: digitalwaters.fi/spatzle-stru...

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1 month ago
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I do not have a remarkable :)

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1 month ago
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Discovering Hidden Gems in Model Repositories Public repositories host millions of fine-tuned models, yet community usage remains disproportionately concentrated on a small number of foundation checkpoints. We investigate whether this concentrati...

Interesting: arxiv.org/abs/2601.22157

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1 month ago
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I have no mouth and I must scream at Black people: Scott Adams, 1957-2026 - The Comics Journal The creator of Dilbert has died, Scott Adams, June 8, 1957 - January 13, 2026

www.tcj.com/i-have-no-mo...

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1 month ago
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Four Predictions for How AI Will Change Forecasts - National Hydropower Association AI is shifting from language models to massive earth system models, unlocking faster, more flexible, and probabilistic weather and water forecasts better suited to real-world hydro operations. By comb...

www.hydro.org/powerhouse/a...

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1 month ago
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The world is in water bankruptcy, UN scientists report – here’s what that means Like living beyond your financial means, using more water than nature can replenish can have catastrophic results.

theconversation.com/the-world-is...

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1 month ago

I very much liked the article. I tend to not think about hardware (too much) and it is always nice to see how people like Tim are able to link the hardware and software world. Here: I am not sure about some of the details, but I have a similar intuition about the broad strokes.

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1 month ago
Why AGI Will Not Happen — Tim Dettmers If you are reading this, you probably have strong opinions about AGI, superintelligence, and the future of AI. Maybe you believe we are on the cusp of a transformative breakthrough. Maybe you are skep...

timdettmers.com/2025/12/10/w...

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1 month ago

this is important.
very important

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1 month ago
Simon Tatham's Portable Puzzle Collection

www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~sgtatham/pu...

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2 months ago

wow. deepseek does super cool stuff...

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2 months ago
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2 months ago
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Prediction markets are booming. Oversight is barely there. Prediction markets once lived on the academic fringe. Now they’re trading billions on politics, sports, and celebrity gossip — under rules never designed for retail gamblers.

www.citationneeded.news/prediction-m...

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2 months ago
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Tessellations, Escher-style Discover great tessellation art, understand how it works, and create your own.

tiled.art/en/home/

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2 months ago
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2 months ago
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We introduce epiplexity, a new measure of information that provides a foundation for how to select, generate, or transform data for learning systems. We have been working on this for almost 2 years, and I cannot contain my excitement! arxiv.org/abs/2601.03220 1/7

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2 months ago

The nonconsensual deepfake porn site formerly called Twitter has some staggering numbers.

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2 months ago
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Liquid Intelligence Winner of the 2015 James Beard Award for Best Beverage Book and the 2015 IACP Jane Grigson Award.<br /><br /> A revolutionary approach to making better-looking, better-tasting drinks., Liquid Intellig...

Tdl that a book about cocktails had the name of a project title I thought about 5 years before me: wwnorton.com/books/liquid...

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2 months ago
Auto-Gladwell, or Can fractals be used to predict human history? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2010/04/29/a...

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2 months ago
More on that claim that scientific citations are worth $100,000 each | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/m...

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2 months ago
Albert-Laszlo Barabasi is underpaid. By a lot! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

More critical commentary on Albert-Laszlo Barabasi: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/a...

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2 months ago
The network nonsense of Albert-László Barabási | Hacker News

news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9555...

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2 months ago

A bit leas hyperbolic and closer to the action (but both are great and informative reads): www.bloomberg.com/opinion/news...

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