Price counterfactuals can be nonparametrically identified without exogenous product characteristics, given exogenous shocks to prices, from Kirill Borusyak, Jiafeng Chen, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Lihua Lei www.nber.org/papers/w34842
New paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár on leniency/judge IV designs.
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
We also show, (as @instrumenthull.bsky.social loves to show!), that UJIVE can be used to assess the compiler characteristics of the leniency design. If the compliers look similar to the full sample on observables, that's evidence your treatment effects may generalize beyond the complier population.
Developing a step-by-step guide to leniency designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures, from Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and Michal Kolesár www.nber.org/papers/w34473
NBER grants to fund research into economic measurement - I find this agenda very compelling and important #linkoftheday
www.nber.org/news/nber-la...
The NBER Race and Stratification Working Group will have its annual meeting on Friday, March 27, 2026. Francisca Antman, Bocar Ba, Robynn Cox and I are organizing the program. Submit your paper by the December 11, 2025 deadline! @nber.org #EconSky
www.nber.org/conferences/...
We couldn't not rate this classic early DAG by our beloved collective granddagy, Sewall Wright.
14/10. Ten for the DAG, plus one for each cute guinea-pig node.
From Wright (1920) "The Relative Importance of Heredity and Environment in Determining the Piebald Pattern of Guinea-Pigs"
An Imbens retrospective on experimental v. non-experimental methods — looks like a must-read www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull, Michal Koles\'ar: Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.03572 https://arxiv.org/html/2511.03572
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Zero new jobs in the federal government posted on JOE in the past three weeks.
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
Thanks BeNA (and Berlin) for a great few days!
everything peter hull: www.nber.org/papers/w27845
shift-share is the new black
📢 Save the date!
Join the BeNA Lecture Series with Peter Hull (Brown University) on Shift-Share & Recentered IV
📅 Oct 9–10, 2025
📍 DIW Berlin
Deep dive into modern econometric methods + a research talk + office hours.
Register by Sep 25, 2025!
labor-research.net/2025/08/29/b...
Check out the recording!
www.chamberlainseminar.org/past-seminar...
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
My coauthors and I are hiring a project coordinator for new research on an innovative jail-based rehabilitation paper (IGNITE), building on our recent QJE
Apply at careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/project...
DM'd you
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!
Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
signal chat, actually
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list!
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list!
mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...
New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications
Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...
Thrilled that @instrumenthull.bsky.social agreed to share his knowledge in Berlin. Sign up now! Let me know in case of questions 👋
Trying my luck here: @jiafengkevinchen.bsky.social, @instrumenthull.bsky.social, and I just posted a question about conditional expectations under a nonparametric completeness condition. Any thoughts & suggestions much appreciated!
stats.stackexchange.com/questions/66...
