Yusuf Evirgen

Terrorists weigh risks to their reputation when deciding which crises to exploit − new research While economic and security crises coincide with an uptick in terrorist activity, the opposite is true when it comes to natural disasters.

My piece with Seden Akcinaroglu in @us.theconversation.com
discusses how armed groups strategically decide which crises to exploit. theconversation.com/terrorists-w...

01.05.2025 15:22 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

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"Ripe moments for terror attacks: Opportunity benefits–reputation tradeoff" by Seden Akcinaroglu and @yusufevirgen.bsky.social

There's more terrorism during security crises and financial crises, but less in humanitarian crises. Super interesting article

doi.org/10.1177/0738...

25.02.2025 20:45 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

We find that terror attacks spike during economic/security crises and drop during humanitarian crises to avoid reputational harm.

21.02.2025 15:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Ripe moments for terror attacks: Opportunity benefits–reputation tradeoff - Seden Akcinaroglu, Yusuf Evirgen, 2025 While considerable research exists on the underlying causes of terrorism, the timing of terrorist attacks remains poorly understood. This study argues that terr...

📚 📣 New publication alert! My latest article with Seden Akcinaroglu, Ripe moments for terror attacks: Opportunity benefits–reputation tradeoff, is now published in Conflict Management and Peace Science. @conflictmanagement.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

21.02.2025 15:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1

Unique offerings: Ideological competition and rebel governance - Seden Akcinaroglu, Jeremy Berkowitz, Carlos E. Moreno Leon, Sema Hande Ogutcu-Fu, Evgeny Sedashov, Efe Tokdemir, 2025 This study examines the factors influencing non-state armed actors’ (NSAAs) ability and willingness to implement rebel governance, with a focus on the group's i...

My coauthors and I have "unique offerings" for conflict scholars to explain the connection between ideology and rebel governance in this article. It is now online first @conflictmanagement.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

24.01.2025 18:27 — 👍 2    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Flames rise from a hotel in Turkey. White text reads: "At Least 66 Are Killed in Fire at Ski Resort in Turkey." Photo credit: IHA, via Associated Press

Breaking News: A fire blazed through a 12-story hotel at a ski resort in Turkey, killing at least 66 people and injuring 51 others. nyti.ms/4apm2oM

21.01.2025 14:34 — 👍 197    🔁 31    💬 13    📌 5

A serious question: how will comparative politics respond to the problem of under-powered research (see below)? I hope the the field will lean back into our strength (comparative case study) but I worry it will only tip toward big data.

1: from JOP: shorturl.at/aVJB2
2: from APSR: shorturl.at/sbPUi

03.01.2025 16:25 — 👍 166    🔁 42    💬 12    📌 13