In WI special, Crawford outperformed Harris more in majority Hispanic precincts than elsewhere in MKE. But turnout in those areas was also lower. Another sign that Trump’s strength seems to lie with Latinos who don’t who up in these kinds of elections?
I think shifting from a single survey to a pre (show ad) / post (ask vote choice) design with a few days btw surveys would be a much better way to measure attention and signal. We tried pitching that design to a vendor, but the cost quoted was very high.
Who wants some precinct charts? Here's a partial roundup of precinct-level analysis by the brilliant Equis duo of @juan-machado.bsky.social & Javier Rodriguez.
