Nick Bassill

Those for-profit phone calls are going to go just great if this counts as "NWS Confirms".

<narrator: it was not>

a man speaking in front of a crowd with a sign that says trusted leadership for a stronger america ALT: a man speaking in front of a crowd with a sign that says trusted leadership for a stronger america

I spent an hour this morning going through tabs on my browser, such that if I maximize the window AND hook up my laptop to a larger monitor, all the tabs fit on the screen. #springcleaning

Thought provoking thread here. Regardless of your position, probabilistic intentions + deterministic outcomes are a messy combo.

Also, an opportunity to "brag": Ethan is one of our meteorologists at the @nyswrcc.bsky.social. I love that we have people this passionate about weather communication.

With melting snow and ice, alongside some rain and warming temperatures, we're seeing numerous river rises leading to some flooding.

Did you know our website has a community stats page (nyswrcc.org/community-stats)?

There's ~168K people and ~63K residential buildings in a flood warning in NY.

How often does a road team win when their opponent has more offensive rebounds than you have defensive rebounds, AND they hit 44% from 3? Has to be quite rare, right?

An easy way to alter the implication of a story is improper use of the passive voice (vs active voice). Once you see it, you can't unsee it. There's been countless examples from the Israel-Palestinian war.

In this @nytimes.com example, "Slurs" should have no agency. They exist, but they can't act.

Fun with @nysmesonet.org data + topography:

Today we saw an unusual pattern where temperatures warmed 20-30F in just 3 hours as of 11AM, confined exclusively to the Adirondacks, with basically no change elsewhere. By 2PM, this resulted in the #ADK being much warmer than nearby lower locations.

Probably not helpful, but I calculate daily for NY, here: operations.nysmesonet.org/~nbassill/ar...

I told them it was also a snowicane, but I guess that didn't make it.

If NY really does set 4 (!) new county snowfall records, that is an *extremely* rare occurrence!

Guys, this map appears to have busted.

The 15"+ ranges across eastern Long Island were too conservative 😂

Yeah it's odd because the page says 25th-75th (if I am reading it correctly), but it seems like the 10th/90th WPC totals have a smaller range. Do you have any unique insight on how that might work?

I agree! I'm not (seriously) throwing shade here. Plus, this is an automated product that they're not using to communicate on social media.

It says 25th-75th (I think), but I agree that seems off. To be clear, I'm not throwing shade - it *IS* very unpredictable. I just love the map 🙂.

This should go in the map hall of fame.

This severe thunderstorm warning, and associated plentiful cloud-ground lightning, is *just* a bit outside SPC's general thunder outlook. Like, 3 states away outside. 😅 #nywx

If it makes it better, I feel the same way about many other private companies too 🙂.

Seriously though, to your last point, his followers genuinely seem to believe his warnings are superior to NWS. He'll very likely include homemade products alongside NWS ones, and that seems problematic to me.

I agree with what you're saying. My reply was a sarcastic reply, insinuating that any reply they make wouldn't be on the level.

The verification: www.accuweather.com/en/press/kan...

That's basically exactly my perspective. He honestly probably *will* save a few lives. But if it comes at the expense of trust in NWS, what's the longterm cost in that? We all know southern Reps are going to be saying in 2 years "we don't need NWS because Ryan Hall is better" etc etc

I guess call me one of those other corners, but his followers seem to genuinely believe that his warnings/products/whatever are superior to NWS. His service is almost certainly going to include both. That seems like a problem to me, but perhaps I'm old fashioned. I don't want people grifted.

Yep. In reply to my Twitter post just now. They really believe they're getting superior warnings relative to NWS.

Lol, of course.

This is sorta my situation. I recognize he is probably doing some good things by reaching new audiences, but my spidey-sense goes off big-time with him. I see parallels with tele-evangelists: grow an audience of relatively under-educated followers, then ask for money in exchange for safety.

Heard a friend say they would tell their kids that the ice cream truck plays music when they're out of ice cream, and I can't stop thinking about it.

#Badgers absolutely robbed by Big 10 refs there. Shameful.

If you're still at #AMS2026 and looking for something to see this afternoon, I'll be presenting progress we've made at the @nyswrcc.bsky.social at the 1st Annual Disaster and Emergency Management Symposium, at 2:15 in 352A.

Guest appearance by NY Governor Hochul (sort of).

When in doubt, assume the mix line goes further north in WAA-dominant storms!

Not to my knowledge! I made these for a field campaign a few years ago and never turned them "off". You can find a live animation for this domain here: operations.nysmesonet.org/~nbassill/wi...