Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA (@michael-hoerger) — Bluesky Profile

1 day ago

Real talk: Progressives have completely failed to adequately address the significant impacts of Long COVID, and this has left an opening for the far right to exploit vulnerable patients and deceitfully blame vaccines for all chronic illnesses.

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2 days ago

Two screenshots against a background of cherry blossoms. The first is a map of the US showing COVID transmission, with states colored pale yellow to maroon depending on severity. Oregon is pale yellow, which means “Very Low”. Text warns that this data is based off February 28th. The second screenshot is text that reads, “67% of Oregon community wastewater treatment centers were positive for SARS-CoV-2 on the most recent sample.”

It’s Wastewater Wednesday! How are COVID levels? We’re using two sources to help us keep track of the country and our state of Oregon.

Thank you to @michael-hoerger.bsky.social for the map and graph, and OHA for continuing to track data coming from our wastewater treatment centers!

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2 days ago

You won't want to miss it!

Slide 1 shown.
Register: events.zoom.us/egj/AmuF5JDQ...

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3 days ago

I can't for this since it will be a ton of pre-publication findings, and some publishers still don't allow that. However, I will be on Becky's LC Space Marathon and plan to talk about it there too :)

I'll cross-post about that here when she has a tentative schedule posted for it!

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3 days ago

Met Dr. Jill Biden. Secret Service kept a close eye on me for some reason.

3 years ago today.
#TakeMeBackTuesday

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3 days ago

Thank you!

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4 days ago

Elizabeth's Warren's pre-political academic career was all about this exact issue

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4 days ago

Flyer, summarized in post. Picture background shows the C19 memorial in Louisiana

Join us for this virtual town hall event. We will discuss the results of a survey of >2,000 respondents in the C19 Cautious community.

This includes our dashboard survey from early 2025 and follow up survey in 2026.

Share widely.🔁

Register (direct link): events.zoom.us/ev/AmuF5JDQN...

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5 days ago

Event flyer, shows the pandemic memorial in the New Orleans area

To mark the 6th anniversary of the pandemic, we will host a virtual town hall on Wed (2-3pm Central).

I will review findings from our dashboard survey many of you completed. Registration is required via a link at the top of the dashboard (pmc19.com/data).
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5 days ago

Huge wave in the summer, especially in California. Long and high. I only covered it on here until late August when Bsky blocked the state of Mississippi. I expect another late summer wave there, but hope it is not as large.

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5 days ago

To mark the 6th anniversary of the pandemic, we will host a virtual town hall on Wed (2-3pm Central).

I will review findings from our dashboard survey many of you completed. Registration is required via a link at the top of the dashboard (pmc19.com/data).
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5 days ago

Number of People Chances Anyone is Infectious
1 1.2%
2 2.3%
3 3.4%
4 4.5%
5 5.6%
10 11.0%
15 16.0%
20 20.7%
25 25.2%
30 29.4%
50 44.0%
75 58.1%
100 68.7%
200 90.2%
300 96.9%

Forecast of slowly declining transmission

Notice that levels are relatively low compared to the past 100 days, as we ease out of the wave, but average relative to the levels of transmission since the pandemic onset.

We expect to exit the "wave threshold" (500,000 new daily) soon.
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5 days ago

Alabama High 1 in 33 (3.0%)
Alaska Moderate 1 in 64 (1.6%)
Arizona Low 1 in 74 (1.4%)
Arkansas Moderate* 1 in 65 (1.5%)
California Very Low 1 in 200 (0.5%)
Colorado Low 1 in 99 (1.0%)
Connecticut Moderate 1 in 62 (1.6%)
Delaware High 1 in 37 (2.7%)
District of Columbia Very Low 1 in 749 (0.1%)
Florida Very Low 1 in 159 (0.6%)
Georgia Moderate 1 in 45 (2.2%)
Guam Very Low 1 in 121 (0.8%)
Hawaii Very Low 1 in 222 (0.4%)
Idaho Very Low 1 in 149 (0.7%)
Illinois High 1 in 35 (2.9%)
Indiana Moderate 1 in 46 (2.2%)
Iowa Moderate 1 in 56 (1.8%)
Kansas Moderate 1 in 46 (2.2%)
Kentucky Moderate 1 in 43 (2.3%)
Louisiana Moderate 1 in 51 (2.0%)
Maine High 1 in 35 (2.8%)
Maryland Moderate 1 in 60 (1.7%)
Massachusetts Low 1 in 78 (1.3%)
Michigan Low 1 in 68 (1.5%)
Minnesota High 1 in 38 (2.6%)
Mississippi High* 1 in 36 (2.8%)

Missouri Moderate 1 in 43 (2.3%)
Montana Low 1 in 82 (1.2%)
Nebraska High 1 in 42 (2.4%)
Nevada Very Low 1 in 128 (0.8%)
New Hampshire Moderate 1 in 59 (1.7%)
New Jersey Moderate 1 in 58 (1.7%)
New Mexico Low 1 in 108 (0.9%)
New York Low 1 in 96 (1.0%)
North Carolina Low 1 in 79 (1.3%)
North Dakota Moderate* 1 in 52 (1.9%)
Ohio Moderate 1 in 60 (1.7%)
Oklahoma Low* 1 in 85 (1.2%)
Oregon Very Low 1 in 227 (0.4%)
Pennsylvania Low 1 in 75 (1.3%)
Rhode Island Low 1 in 85 (1.2%)
South Carolina Low 1 in 88 (1.1%)
South Dakota Moderate 1 in 52 (1.9%)
Tennessee Very Low 1 in 112 (0.9%)
Texas Low 1 in 109 (0.9%)
Utah Very Low 1 in 134 (0.7%)
Vermont Moderate 1 in 62 (1.6%)
Virginia Low 1 in 80 (1.2%)
Washington Very Low 1 in 222 (0.4%)
West Virginia Very Low 1 in 139 (0.7%)
Wisconsin Moderate 1 in 50 (2.0%)
Wyoming Low 1 in 88 (1.1%)

Infections
Proportion Actively Infectious 1 in 87 (1.2%)
New Daily Infections 565,000
Infections the Past Week 4,100,000
Infections in 2026 54,000,000
Cumulative Infections per Person 5.10

Long COVlD
Long COVlD Cases Resulting from New Daily Infections 28,000 to 113,000
Long COVlD Cases Resulting from New Weekly Infections 205,000 to 820,000

Excess Deaths
Excess Deaths Resulting from New Daily Infections 160 to 270
Excess Deaths Resulting from New Weekly Infections 1,200 to 1,900

Prevalence estimates for the 7 states in the CDC High range...

🦠NE: 1 in 42 residents actively infectious
🦠MN: 1 in 38
🦠DE: 1 in 37
🦠MS: 1 in 36
🦠ME: 1 in 35
🦠IL: 1 in 35
🦠AL: 1 in 33

Americans have an est. average of 5.10 cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections.
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5 days ago

Heat map of CDC levels and PMC estimate of prevalence, 1 in 87 estimated actively infectious.

PMC COVlD Update, Week of Mar 9, 2026 (U.S.)

This week we will likely see the 100th consecutive day above 500,000 estimated new daily infections.

However, the 12th wave is winding down. CDC levels are Moderate in 18 states, High in 7, and Very High in 0.

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5 days ago

There have been two waves every year.
bsky.app/profile/mich...

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5 days ago

It is implied. Trojan horse

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6 days ago

Thank you

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6 days ago

Check out our ACS-sponsored pilot program to help patients and families stay safer from COVID 👇

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1 week ago

It's time for this week's #ACSFriday5, where we highlight five new publications from our ACS researchers!

Before you log off for the weekend, be sure to check out these great papers:

#CanSky #OncoSky 🧪

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1 week ago

Two screenshots against a background of evergreen needles dripping with rain. The first is a map of the US showing COVID transmission, with states colored pale yellow to maroon depending on severity. Oregon is pale yellow, which means “Very Low”. Text warns that this data is based off February 14th. The second screenshot is text that reads, “63% of Oregon community wastewater treatment centers were positive for SARS-CoV-2 on the most recent sample.”

It’s Wastewater Wednesday! How are COVID levels? We’re using two sources to help us keep track of the country and our state of Oregon.

Thank you to @michael-hoerger.bsky.social for the map and graph, and OHA for continuing to track data coming from our wastewater treatment centers!

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1 week ago

Text says "Have you heard of Immune Amnesia?If you haven’t (and even if you have), we’ll tell you about it.” In the corner is an image of a man scratching his head.

Important to understand first: When your body is exposed to certain germs that can cause diseases, your immune system builds a “memory” of them, so if you’re exposed to these germs again, your immune system recognizes them and knows how to fight them off. Your immune system also builds this memory when you get vaccinated, so you don’t have to get sick in order to protect yourself from future infections.

Graphics show a shield with arms holding a sword and fighting off germs. Another graphic shows a vaccine vial

text says "Important to understand first: Immune amnesia means something has caused your body to lose, or “forget,” its memory of germs you’ve been exposed to before, meaning you’re more likely to get sick and to experience severe illness if you’re exposed to it again. Measles can cause your immune system to forget up to 73% of its memory. In other words, after having measles, you will be immune to measles, but may be at increased
risk of other serious illnesses. Did you know? Measles is not the only virus that can harm your immune system. COVID-19 has also been found to cause long-term harm to your body’s ability to fight off illnesses, making you more likely to get sick and experience severe illness.”
Graphics show a stick figure shivering with fear because the shield in front of him is broken, and now germs are reaching him. Two pie charts: one says “100% memory before” and the other shows “73% memory lost after"

Unfortunately, there’s no way to predict whose immune system will be most harmed by being sick. It can happen to anyone! The best way to avoid immune amnesia is to get vaccinated & take other steps to avoid getting sick So please remember, it is not a good idea to expose
yourself to these viruses on purpose in order to build
immunity! That is what vaccines are for. Getting sick makes you much more likely to hurt your immune system! Graphics of a vaccine, a mask, and an air purifier and open window symbolizing clean air

Did you know? Certain illnesses, like measles & COVID-19, can harm your immune system & make you more vulnerable to sickness later. Protect your immune system by getting vaccinated & avoiding getting sick! Learn more about measles & immune amnesia: www.healthychildren.org/English/tips...

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1 week ago

No. That is not how this works. If you want to undermine valid scientific data with conspiracy theories, you will be blocked.

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1 week ago

My parents were the only people wearing masks in the cancer ward during my dad’s treatment last year. Lucked out and didn’t get sick during the procedures for which he had to be sedated.

My mom mentioned another patient who looked very frail, caught a cough, then suddenly wasn’t there anymore.

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1 week ago

🚨LCDefense III
4:35pm Delphine Crespo @longcovidaragon.bsky.social
5:10pm Dr. Ciara Steele @cleanairie.bsky.social
5:45pm Elisa Perego PhD @elisaperego78.bsky.social
6:20pm Pamela Morrison @lcaireland.bsky.social
6:55pm Angela L. @lcawarenessint.bsky.social
7:35pm Devin Russell Long COVID Foundation

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1 week ago

Instagram Create an account or log in to Instagram - Share what you're into with the people who get you.

To enjoy this post with the musical work of Dr. Sean Mullen (@drseanmullen.bsky.social), you will have to head to Instagram.

www.instagram.com/p/DVaa3ZaDthH/

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1 week ago

Illinois COVID levels have been "High" or "Very High" every week since Dec 20, 2025, per the CDC.

The PMC prevalence estimate is that 1 in 28 residents are actively infectious statewide, meaning a 59% chance of an exposure in a room of 25 people who aren't testing/isolating.

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1 week ago

The CDC wastewater sites are monitoring <5% of the population in those states. It's not the exact system I would use, but it's "fine." I consider WV low quality too because they only have one site. The data here in Louisiana (2 sites) tend to also be volatile.

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1 week ago

Mike's latest COVID-19 Heat Map is up. To fellow New Yorkers: 1 in 39 people are estimated to be actively infectious. Mask up, and increase ventilation to the extent feasible when indoors.

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1 week ago

#medsky

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1 week ago

You very obviously did not read my book!!!! lol. Regardless, the moral panic about kids & internet access is baseless and every single top academic who studies this topic has said so. The campaign u support is led by Heritage Foundation & Morality in Media, their goal is censorship and surveillance

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