New post unpacking fresh polling on how Canadians feel about Carney's first year in power - and why the need to show change is more important for Carney than most newly elected PMs.
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/a-change-w...
What's behind the rise in federal Liberal support in #Alberta? The answers are in Pollara's Dan Arnold's analysis at The @Pollara Substack:
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/wind-of-ch...
#ABpoli #CDNpoli
We've quantified the long-standing media narrative that Carney's gvt feels like a "PC gvt".
There's some public agreement - but the people most likely to agree are those who have the least experience with actual PC governments: young people, Quebecers, and British Columbians.
New substack post where I look at what’s causing the rise of federal Liberal support in Alberta and what ridings the Liberals might realistically be targeting.
Consider this a “Calgary Grit” throwback.
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/wind-of-ch...
Pollara (Feb 1-2, n=1200)
Did Carney's Davos speech change the way you feel about him?
A lot more favourable 31%
A bit more favourable 28%
No change 29%
A bit less favourable 2%
A lot less favourable 8%
www.pollara.com/six-in-ten-c...
We've got polling on Carney's Davos speech.
Where did people hear about? (social media, word-of-mouth, news reports, etc)
And did it change how they feel about the Prime Minister?
Click the link for the full results: www.pollara.com/six-in-ten-c...
A new pollster panel on The Writ podcast with @ericgrenier.bsky.social. We had a great discussion on the NDP's crossroads (can they get back blue collar votes?), why Carney's favourables are rising, and why Poilievre should heed Eminem's guidance.
youtu.be/zZWRLuvbLsQ?...
Kingsbury ties to the hundreths of a point and loses gold on tie-break. Grondin misses gold by 0.03 seconds.
These athletes train their whole lives and then it really does come down to inches.
A new pollster panel on The Writ podcast with @ericgrenier.bsky.social. We had a great discussion on the NDP's crossroads (can they get back blue collar votes?), why Carney's favourables are rising, and why Poilievre should heed Eminem's guidance.
youtu.be/zZWRLuvbLsQ?...
Pollara (Feb 1-2, n=1200)
Did you read, see or hear anything about PM Carney's Davos speech?
Watched full speech 18%
Saw clips 40%
Read it 18%
News reports 29%
Social media 16%
Talked about it 12%
TOTAL: 79% heard about it
www.pollara.com/six-in-ten-c...
I've got a new post up that unpacks fresh polling on how Canadians consumed Carney's Davos speech - did they read it, see it on socials, watch news reports on it?
And what does this tell us about how political stories go viral in 2026?
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/heard-it-t...
I've got a new post up that unpacks fresh polling on how Canadians consumed Carney's Davos speech - did they read it, see it on socials, watch news reports on it?
And what does this tell us about how political stories go viral in 2026?
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/heard-it-t...
The latest on Pollara's Substack unpacks exclusive survey data to understand blue collar workers.
We find the Conservatives leading by 29% among blue collar workers and ask why that is, and what progressive parties can do to win tem back?
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/blue-colla...
Check out our deep dive analysis on blue collar workers.
As the chart below shows, they're more drawn to leaders who have worked hard to get to where they are and who understand what regular people are going through.
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/blue-colla...
Our deep dive on blue collar workers finds many Canadians still see the NDP as the party that does the most to help blue collar workers - but very few blue collar workers themselves feel this way.
Read the full analysis: pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/blue-colla...
This is one of the reasons you should be following the outstanding @pollara.bsky.social substack newsletter penned by the equally outstanding @calgarygrit.bsky.social. pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/blue-colla...
Danielle Smith booted 2 MLAs from her caucus - one who didn't support her budget and one who wanted a probe into alleged ethical lapses.
Yet she won't "police" whether or not her MLAs want to break up Canada? It's a little odd that she's chosen to be indifferent this time, given the stakes.
I’ve written a deep dive on blue collar workers and how progressive parties can better connect with them.
Based on polling - who are blue collar workers, what do they look for in leaders, what matters to them?
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/blue-colla...
Given recent developments, the China/US question could be a major hinge point in the next election.
Liberal voters are -72 sentiment towards US vs. -13 among CPC voters. The gap isn't as wide on China (Lib -29, CPC -37) but I could see that widening in wake of Carney's trip.
Pollara (Dec 2025, n=3800)
% who would vote for their province to separate, by provincial vote intent:
MB NDP 1%
MB PC 18%
SK NDP 8%
Sask Party 31%
AB NDP 4%
UCP 40%
BC NDP 4%
BC Con 21%
www.pollara.com/western-alie...
Read my latest on this over on Substack: pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/under-pres...
Canadians are feeling better about many inflationary pressures (groceries, gas, housing) BUT @pollara.bsky.social finds one of the most pessimistic macro outlooks in 31 years of tracking, as the Sword of Damocles hangs over Canada in the form of Trump’s economic policy.
After 31 years of continuous annual tracking, Pollara's 2026 #EconomicOutlook report sees Canadians expressing some of highest levels of #economic #pessimism we’ve ever recorded - largely due to #stress about US #economy and #tariffs. Toronto Star article: bit.ly/44VJlFk. Free report: bit.ly/3N8dzyQ
The 31st edition of Pollara's annual economic survey finds one of the bleakest outlooks ever.
61% expect the Canadian economy to worsen in 2026
59% expect Canada's job market to worsen
59% expect the global economy to worsen
65% expect the US economy to worsen
www.pollara.com/economic-out...
Additional commentary on the Substack: pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/tonight-we...
If you're looking for some hot polling stats to pull out at your New Year's Eve Parties tonight, check out Pollara's poll on what Canadians paid attention to, what made them happy, and what made them angry in 2025.
Pollara's "2025 in review" poll measured how much Canadians heard about different news stories.
46% of Canadians never heard about "6-7".
We're jealous of them.
www.pollara.com/year-end-rag...
OK. Blue Jays. Let's. Play. Ball.
The Blue Jays World Series run was the news story that made Canadians happiest in 2025 - in every part of the country.
www.pollara.com/year-end-rag...
The @pollara.bsky.social 2025 year in review poll on what news stories Canadians followed in 2025, what made them happiest, and what made them angriest.
Why did Liberals pay more attention to the new Pope? How many people are aware of 6-7?
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/tonight-we...
Our poll rollup of over 7500 cases finds the Liberals improving among men and seniors since the last election, but losing ground among women under 65 (who are feeling the most economic pressure).
pollarastrategicinsights.substack.com/p/the-times-...
