Check out the latest from Pollara's tracking survey on municipal satisfaction.

We're seeing the low satisfaction levels in Alberta play out this municipal election cycle. And with BC into municipal elections next year, the even lower scores there bear watching.

www.pollara.com/half-of-cana...

Lots of good stuff here for anyone who likes digging into the minutia of vote splits by religion, blue collar workers, union members, parents with mortgages, and everything else under the sun.

Analyzing the 2025 Canadian Federal Election - PoliSci A data-driven analysis of what happened

For anyone wanting to revisit Campaign 2025, here's a comprehensive debrief of the federal election that includes data from tracking, election results, and a post-election survey.

polisci.ca/2025/09/08/a...

It often pairs nicely with the dozens of times a new PM’s honeymoon is declared to be ending.

Ahh, the "first real test". A "first" all Prime Ministers must face at least 30 or 40 times.

I put the collage below together for fun a year into Trudeau's mandate. The "first test" headlines continued for many years afterwards.

Younger and older Canadians experienced the last federal election in completely different ways.

Find out where they got their political news from in this Pollara deep dive.

www.pollara.com/pollaras-ann...

With Canadians facing heightened fiscal pressures, #notforprofits and #charities need to take strategic action to successfully fundraise.

#FundraisingOptimizer is @Pollara's strategic research model to help #notforprofits improve the ROI of their fundraising efforts.

Prospectus: bit.ly/46CPEzf

Matt Smith has joined the @Pollara team as Executive Vice President, West!

After 2 years as the BC Premier’s Chief of Staff and 2 decades conducting research, Matt deepens the expertise we offer our clients across the West, Canada, and US.

More info: bit.ly/457OAAQ

#cdnpoli #bcpoli #growing

Hey @thebeaverton.com

You're more trusted than Fox News and the Rebel.

Net Trust (trustworthy - untrustworthy):

The Beaverton -2
Rebel Media -7
Fox News -27

www.pollara.com/pollaras-ann...

Pollara's annual Trust in Media study is out!

Find out where Canadians get their news from, and how much they trust different media outlets.

The latest Rage Index finds that Donald Trump has become an "anger lightning rod". Trump is getting the blame for a lot of the frustrations that would normally be directed towards federal and provincial governments, leading to declining anger towards them.

Pollara is visiting the archives for our 40th anniversary. This month, we find support for immigration significantly below levels recorded back in 2002.

Pollara (n=2511 UK ADULTS, May 2025)

Net impressions of different countries among British people:

Canada +78
Japan +61
Germany +60
France +50
Ukraine +47
India -1
USA -3
China -24
Russia -63

www.pollara.com/as-canada-us...

Canadians are more negative than positive towards Narendra Modi. Check out full poll results to see how they feel about other world leaders.

www.pollara.com/as-canada-us...

Ep 23: Western Alienation - Is Alberta's Separation Threat Real? - Let's Talk Politics Western alienation and Alberta separatism take center stage as Dan Arnold, Chief Strategy Officer at Pollara Strategic Insights breaks down the complex dynamics fueling separatist sentiment in Canada'...

Check out my podcast chat with Julia Pennella on Alberta separatism and the evolution of polling:

www.buzzsprout.com/2446728/epis...

No election on the horizon? No problem. We put out polling on the King earlier this week and now we've got polling on the new Pope!

More coverage of @pollara.bsky.social's poll on how Canadians feel about the monarchy.

You can read the full findings here: www.pollara.com/canadians-wa...

Canadians believe King Charles reading the throne speech today will do more to underscore than undermine Canadian sovereignty.

www.pollara.com/canadians-wa...

I imagine their race will look a lot like the Manitoba PC leadership race on that point - establishment vs. outsider. As with the Manitoba race, this one could go either way.

Support - Oppose for keeping Monarchy, by vote:

Lib +22
CPC -1
NDP +7
BQ -73

As conservative parties become more populist and anti-establishment, we're seeing a shift partisan divide in sentiment towards institutions like the crown.

When Charles ascended to the throne, Canadians were split on him. If they'd turned on him, that could have fuelled a movement to dump the crown.

Instead, they've warmed to him. He's not as beloved as his mother was, but Canadians now feel positive to him by 2:1 ratio.

King Charles sees rising support in Canada, poll suggests The Pollara Strategic Insights survey found Charles' popularity has jumped since he ascended the throne in 2022.

NEW: ⁦‪@Pollara‬⁩ poll finds a Trump bump has turned the Crown frowns upside down. As King Charles arrives this week, support for the monarchy is rising in Canada.
#cdnpoli

www.thestar.com/politics/fed...

Post-recounts, the Liberals finish just 60 votes away from a majority government. A reminder that every vote matters.

(41 back in Nunavut + 12 back in Terra Nova + 4 back in Windsor + 3 votes to win each riding by 1)

"They suggested [...] residents of a breakaway Alberta republic would still keep their Canadian passports and Canada Pension Plan entitlements."

Danielle Smith's Alberta Pension Plan is so unpopular, even the Alberta separatists don't want to touch it.

To that end, the visuals and tone in the meeting will be defining.

In 2016, polling showed doubts from Canadians about how Trudeau would handle Trump before they met.

Trudeau put those doubts to rest with one handshake, and earned trust from voters on the file.

I wouldn't expect a big policy outcome in Carney's DC visit today. But it's hugely important for him from a public opinion perspective.

He was elected to deal with Trump, and this is the first time voters will SEE him in that role. First impressions tend to stick.

As the polling shows, "boots not suits" was a real thing, and might partly explain some of the divergent results in different parts of Ontario.

One plausible theory would be white collar NDP vote broke more Liberal and blue collar NDP vote broke more Conservative.

And the NDP were only 3,415,197 votes away from a majority.

For those wondering, the Conservatives were 11,826 votes away from winning the most seats.

They were 37,168 votes away from winning a majority.

5 additional Brampton ridings are on that "majority map", so expect a big focus there in coming years.

Now, riding-specific results

Biggest gains for the Liberals:

1. Saskatoon-University
2. Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke
3. West Vancouver yada yada
4. Regina-Lewvan
5. Victoria