MyRadar

DMV gang – we're growing quite concerned about the potential for FREEZING DRIZZLE on Tuesday morning.

It will look like ordinary rain, but could freeze on contact with the surface. And smaller droplets will freeze faster.

Please plan to drive extra-slowly. Lots of slick roads!

It may enhance low-level easterly flow at the surface, which would bolster near-surface spin, increasing the chance of a couple tornadoes. We'll have to iron out those details in the days ahead.

The main hazards will be damaging gusts and large hail, although a weak surface low that may develop west of Dallas makes us a bit concerned about a sneaky tornado risk. Why?

SATURDAY, March 7 could feature some severe thunderstorms from DFW up I-30 into the Arklatex and in southeast Oklahoma.

A slow-moving frontal boundary will be sagging southeast into a warm, humid airmass, kicking up scattered storms. A couple supercells may evolve.

If you have Friday evening/night plans, have a way to stay abreast of changing weather conditions. With the low-level jet stream ramping up around dark, we believe any severe weather potential could continue into the night.

With frigid air aloft spilling south in a jet stream dip, large hail will be probable with the strongest storms. Changing winds with height could also help a few storms to produce tornadoes.

Low pressure near Sioux Falls, S.D. will tug warm, humid air northwards, setting the stage for storms as a cold front approaches from the west. The clash between dry and humid air masses will cause scattered thunderstorms, including a few supercells, to crop up by 3 or 4 p.m.

The main hazards are large hail up to hen egg size and damaging winds, but there's a decent chance of some tornadoes too. We'll be working to learn more in the days ahead.

FRIDAY, March 6, 2026 could feature the season's first widespread severe weather threat along I-35 in classic "Tornado Alley."

This includes Dallas-Ft. Worth, Oklahoma City, Kansas City, Waco, Wichita, Tulsa, St. Joseph, Mo. and all the way north into southern Iowa.

Storms won't be pushed off the dryline and maintained as supercells; instead, they'll ride along the dryline and potentially merge with other cells, blobifying and become messier clusters/lines. That's why the risk of hail or wind gusts is greater.

However, that threat will be tempered (limited) by winds a mile up. They'll be out of the due south, parallel to the boundary. The result?

Low pressure strengthening in southeast Colorado will help sharpen a dryline, or the clash between dry desert air west and moisture-rich Gulf air to the east. That clash will brew storms. Thunderstorms will feel changing winds with height, so could rotate enough to produce a low-end tornado threat.

The main hazards are golf ball- to hen egg-sized hail and 60+ mph gusts. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out.

THURSDAY, March 5 could feature the season's first batch of widely-scattered supercells in western Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle and parts of the Plains and Caprock.

This includes San Angelo, Abilene, Snyder, Big Spring, Guthrie, Childress, Memphis, Pampa, Elk City, Lawton-Ft. Sill and Clinton.

⛈️Meteorological spring has arrived, and severe storms are in the offing. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted Wed, Thurs, Fri, & Saturday as featuring a risk of severe thunderstorms.

🌊Heavy rain/flooding is possible too.

@matthewcappucci.bsky.social has an update.

myradar.com/videos/6377

While an isolated tornado can't be ruled out, we're expecting mainly clusters and lines rather than supercells. That's why winds and some hail are the primary concerns.

There is some approaching jet stream energy aloft to help storms mix locally damaging gust to the surface. However, the tornado threat is rather low. Why? There's not a ton of changing wind with height.

The main hazards are damaging gusts to 60 mph and half dollar-sized hail with the strongest storms.

Low pressure in Missouri will pull a cold front east. Ahead of it, warm, humid Gulf air will translate to instability, or thunderstorm fuel. Thunderstorms will sprout along the front.

WEDNESDAY, March 4, 2026 will feature some severe weather potential in western Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma and northern Texas.

This includes Dallas-Ft. Worth, the Interstate 30 corridor, Texarkana, Paris, Idabel, Ft. Smith, Russelville, and Hugo.

SPC has drawn a Level 2 out of 5 Slight risk.

My Radar sat image of the blizzard that struck the east coast earlier this week

I still can’t get over this sat image from earlier this week 😍
@myradar.bsky.social #WxSky
What a wild system

Lunar eclipse March 3! On Tuesday morning, March 3, the moon will turn red! A total lunar eclipse will be visible across the Americas as the moon basks in the Earth’s shadow. For the East Coast, it’s a rare sunrise morning ...

On Tuesday morning, March 3, the moon will turn red! A total lunar eclipse will be visible across the Americas as the moon basks in the Earth’s shadow. For the East Coast, it’s a rare sunrise morning eclipse! @matthewcappucci.bsky.social breaks down what to expect.
https://myradar.com/videos/6376

Hail Risk in the Deep South The Storm Prediction Center has issued a midday update for the Deep South, drawing a Level 2 out of 5 Slight risk of severe weather. The main concern is large hail up to golf ball size. Matthew Cappuc...

🟡The Storm Prediction Center has issued a midday update for the Deep South, drawing a Level 2 out of 5 Slight risk of severe weather.

🧊The main concern is large hail up to golf ball size.

@matthewcappucci.bsky.social has an update.

myradar.com/videos/6375

We're seeing ample support for spinning storms in Mississippi and northwest Alabama this evening.

HOWEVER, low level wind fields are very weak. Subsequently, we don't anticipate tornadoes.

This is mainly a hail risk... especially with cold temperatures aloft. Update soon.

Mississippi gang – we're monitoring an increasing risk of a couple hail-producing supercells this evening between 4 and 10 p.m.

We have an overlap of storm fuel and support for spin at the mid-levels. Low-level spin too weak for tornadoes; looks like mainly a hail threat.

(The lower the air pressure, the more air "missing" from the middle, and the stronger the inward suction, and therefore the winds. Since Melissa was missing 12% of the air from its center, inward winds were extreme.)

Its minimum central air pressure of 892 millibars ties it as the third most-intense by air pressure (behind Wilma and Gilbert).

BREAKING: Melissa has been retroactively upgraded to 190 mph Category 5 – up from the 185 mph "operational" intensity assigned at the time.

That makes it tied with Allen (1980) as the strongest Atlantic hurricane ever observed by wind speed.

Are you ready for Tuesday morning's TOTAL lunar eclipse!?

We're pumped! Here's everything to know:

Matthew's parents reported 30+ inches in South Plymouth; this is the biggest snowstorm in southeast New England since January 20-23, 2005.

This is what we'd consider a once in 20 or once in 25 year event for the region.

Most of Long Island saw 24 to 30+ inches.

Simply staggering snowfall totals in the Northeast and northern Mid-Atlantic; more than THREE FEET in Rhode Island and Bristol County, Massachusetts.