Hope you are well, and glad to see you still fighting the good fight.

This NIH order is part of the Trumpist Project 2025 effort to gut higher education, especially public universities. I'm afraid it's just the opening salvo.

Tucson to Nogales. Santa Cruz precincts at the border were split on the issue.

The Phoenix core, including the south and west, overwhelmingly rejected the prop, everywhere else voted the opposite.

Arizona Prop 314, the initiative from the legislature that makes it a state crime to enter the US outside the ports of entry, passed easily. Here is the percentage difference statewide in voting precincts.

A relative worked at MCTEC the last couple weeks. The employees received this list tonight of unofficial write-ins on Maricopa ballots.

Tucson to Nogales

abortion

Same map statewide

Where did Trump outperform Lake? Everywhere. What was the percentage margin of Trump - Harris minus Lake-Gallego. In the Valley it was the heavily Dem and Hispanic districts, in the south and west, where Trump significantly did better than Lake.

Even a lot of heavily Republican area in the Valley voted in favor.

Now that the vote count is winding down, I was interested in how prop 139 did across Arizona. With such a large margin in favor, were there any precincts that voted no? Only a few rurals.

Am I going to have to fly to Canada for my next covid booster?

better than Stephen Moore...
or Paul Winfree...
or Jim Cramer ...

I laughed off Hegseth as a bad Onion joke until I saw it a second time.

Hegseth? Even for Trump that is dumbfounding. The confirmation hearings will be something.

Whether 4 should always be a single shot is somewhat debatable, 13 is not.

To what extent can the party decide that only one candidate will be fielded?

correct

Subtracting the last set of early vote maps in Maricopa from current results, there are slightly more than 10k uncounted early votes Sup Dist 3. The approx party split based on differencing EV maps is shown on the right. Valenzuela should take the lead by a couple hundred votes going into recount.

Erica Neuberg engineered every one of those to appear to be competitive but just out of reach unless R's run absolutely horrible candidates. Kari should primary Schweikert.

Yep. Maricopa

The 292k ballots prior to that final 85k, most of which have been reported, were not great for Lake either.

Dem %: 29.5
Rep %: 33.1
Other %: 37.5

In Maricopa County there are about 181k early votes left to be counted. Below is the party composition of the final 85k votes. Is it wrong of me to be enjoying just how badly Kari Lake will lose?

Dem %: 31.9
Rep %: 24.1
Other %: 44.0

I've got the Thai restaurant for you in Ahwatukee.

Great, but you are taking this experiential learning design a bit too far.

Jen Wright, the conspiracy theorist on Twitter, wants transparency into a clerical error about the number of ballots left to count. That's rich. thanks for the laugh.

Here's a map of the batch of votes that resulted in media calls for Gallego's Senate victory.

The first pic is the party composition of the counted early vote and the second pic is virtually all of the uncounted early vote. The shift to a D lead and more Indy's should be enough to put Austin and Blattman in the lead.

AZ LD4 is one of the few areas of Maricopa County where the final early votes do not have a significantly reduced R minus D percentage. Counted votes on left, to be counted on right. The increased Indy vote provides an outside chance for Butler but Marsh may be in trouble.