Jeremy Berg

Approximately 50% of applications were discussed in this data set. In calculating the success rates, I have corrected for this by more or less doubling the number of applications (successful and unsuccessful) listed although I did this is a slightly different way.

Many people are doing what they can along these lines, but it is a challenging environment.

Unfortunately not.

This is the percentage of the funds committed to date, not of the year. So this pattern will likely continue with more fund committed but ~40% of them to multiyear funded awards.

They aren't percentiled...

Hey, if you are a scientist and were feeling just a little TOO happy this fine Friday, peruse this thread about NIH funding rates and join me in my rage corner.

NIGMS is transitioning many people to R35 MIRA mechanisms, it seems whether they like it or no...

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You're welcome. I appreciate the comment!

I feel like I get on my gear and jump into the cesspool every morning...

See thread from @jeremymberg.bsky.social from today that takes a whack at estimating FY2025 success rates by IC.

I used a different approach based on the average number of application per percentile from 10%ile to 40%ile. But these numbers agree fairly well with doubling the number of discussed apps.

The 30% discussion will affect data for this fiscal year.

These are just R01s and R56s (according to the NIH Report data).

If you missed a flight because of long TSA lines at the airport, then blame Republican Senator Katie Britt for blocking a bill to fund TSA.

This is almost all due to multiyear funding (which NIA did a lot of and its doing more)...

Welcome to the impact of multiyear funding...

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It is apparent that some institutes and centers were more dramatically affected comparing the FY2024 and FY2025 results.

Feel free to post questions or DM me.

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For a variety of reasons, the apparent "payline" from a graph is somewhat lower than the estimated success rate.

Some institutes, primarily NIGMS, are moving away from R01s to R35 (MIRA) mechanisms.

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Some important points:

The number of applications increased for all institutes and centers with increases averaging ~12%.

The difference in behavior between institutes is clear with some institutes like NINDS using sharp "paylines" and others have showing more gradual curves.

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