Yunze Wang

Yunze Wang

@yz18.bsky.social

Analyst at Centre for Cities. Housing, economic development and cool statistics. Views my own. 🇺🇦❄️

173 Followers 511 Following 275 Posts Joined Oct 2023
3 hours ago

I think progressive Dems have responded to Trump 2 better than the moderates.

But on economics, Trump 2 winning on unworkable economic policies is emboldening their instruct to do the same.

I don’t think the Katie Porter of 2019 would have proposed no income tax in California.

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4 hours ago

And it is not a “cabinet government” because the centre is good at delegation.

It is so by accident because the centre has very little ideological direction, which is another thing many people want in theory but falls apart in practice.

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4 hours ago

I would go as far to argue that a key point of a representative rather than direct democracy is “we need people to reflect public opinion but also look into things.”

Both r key job descriptions. Only doing the former (if that) is still being a bad policymaker.

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4 hours ago

I feel like we encounter this on the doorstep all the time. People would say “we can just do X” when clearly we cannot.

One thing for some of the public to think that. Policy is not their job. An entirely different situation when policymakers buy into that, which is just being bad at their job.

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19 hours ago

This is a good point. I didn’t mean to understate their success. And the party is actually doing well.

But trying to replace either of the major parties under FPTP feels risky. It would have to expand to a quite different group of voter from its current base. Not impossible, but a gamble.

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19 hours ago

Fiscal constrains just don’t feature in U.S. politics as they do in the UK. There r no “fiscal headroom” discussions.

“There is never a lack of money, just a lack of resolve” is a genuinely common belief.

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22 hours ago

I know this is not the case on policy. But in electoral math, I almost want to compare them to… Plaid?

They have a strict ceiling as their votes concentrate in one area (for different reasons obviously), but they r gonna at winning those seats.

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2 days ago

It’s okay. We can have our revenge by engaging extra hard on their follow-up consultation for which wildlife.

Nature was not my choice. But now that we r where we r, I demand a highland cow on the banknote!

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2 days ago

Genuinely bewilders me how this thing went from “a nerdy survey I did just for fun” to “twitter faux outrage”

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2 days ago

I did the same thing. Voted for historical figures and innovation (I think).

The thing is, if BOEwent with historical figures, some people would manage to find faults in these figures.

Culture wars r imaginary, and the human imagination is infinite.

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2 days ago

This is the thing. The gov is not having a bad strategy on HE. It doesn’t have one.

These r anchor institutions vital to certain local economies. If it is anything other than HE, the gov would be keeping it alive at high cost.

This tells me that the neglect is not rational or strategic.

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2 days ago

So the London-centric equity finance is not caused by market failure or large investor bias.

Rather than increasing capital into large cities, the Gov needs to focus on enabling infrastructure: workspace, transport, business support, etc.

Get the basics right, and the capital should follow.

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2 days ago
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For example, firms in London seem to scale much larger than firms in large cities.

This is evident by the fact that even if they have similar deals in early stages, by exits, firms in London have much larger valuations.

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2 days ago
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Equity value is more lopsided: London, Oxford and Cambridge have an advantage over large cities elsewhere, even after considering the investable base.

But this has more to do with London having larger businesses, and Oxbridge specialising in some capital-intensive sectors (e.g. life sciences).

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2 days ago
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There is not as much market failure as one would think.

The number of equity deals can be broadly predicted by the number of businesses more likely to seek equity finance (a very small share of a place's business base).

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2 days ago

This was fun to write!

The Government is trying to rebalance the nation's equity finance landscape, making it less London-centric.

It is committing public money and encouraging private investments.

All good goals, but is a shortage of finance the real reason behind the geographic unevenness?

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3 days ago

This does feel like the kind of symbolic concessions that could have mitigated some backbench unhappiness.

Is the assumption that being anti-immigration equals infinite political capital?

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4 days ago

A thing my friend noticed: a question on the test asks who elects the speaker of the house. But because the question never specified of which house, the question should have two right answers, not one.

Maybe that is corrected now. But there was a test maker who didn’t think about the lord speaker.

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4 days ago

“They keep saying political nostalgia is on the rise. They never said it didn’t include good-old oil shocks.”

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4 days ago

At least the songs r more likely to be good in ur case.

Hard to find things to rhyme naturally with “Strait of Hormuz”

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1 week ago

Quite. It is a good thing that they r not succeeding.

But also with that much power, they don’t need to come close to success to cause unspeakable damage. Just look at, like, everything.

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1 week ago

His inner circle just does not seem sufficiently competent for a job that big.

In a functioning democracy, they would have been impeached. In a functioning autocracy, they would have been purged.

The U.S. is somehow neither atm, so here we r.

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1 week ago

Considering how much the GOP is panicking, I am not sure even his party believes they can do it.

Just creating inconvenience is not enough to discourage the high-engagement coalition the DEM has.

U would have to hard rig it, and I have trouble seeing their pull it off.

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1 week ago

The idea of two groups within the “struggling many:” one is locked out of the economy, the other struggling in it. Policy interventions would differ for the two.

And socially, how helpful is to deduce a “working class” position on cultural values when it covers two very different groups?

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1 week ago

@labour4transrights.bsky.social is doing very important work now more than ever.

Really excited to see what is to come.

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1 week ago

That is right I think. The salience of some of those issues has caused people to self-sort: 1 social con view is enough to draw one to a con environment, and vice versa. People then get conditioned by their group on other views.

IMO, This explains a lot of “were they always like this?”

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1 week ago

My odd take is that comparisons of UK-US politics is often of worse quality than UK-others.

With other countries, people go in with a sense of “the UK is quite different culturally.” With America, it *looks* similar enough that people don’t have that awareness and end with bad takes.

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1 week ago

So I think I lean towards needing both delivery and vibes.

Weirdly, I struggle to define this government’s outlook on this. I sort of think there r people on both extremes in Gov.

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1 week ago

We have extreme stances on both end of the “is it vibes or is it material conditions debate?”

In the U.S., I think Trump 2 has an entirely vibe based approach. And Biden was all about economic fundamentals with no vibes. Both failed.

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1 week ago
The chart  drills into more detail about how the burden is shared, recording tax payments 
across the income spectrum in one recent year. Four things jump out. First, the 
totality of direct taxes is progressive. Second, the variation between the very top 
and the bottom is huge, even on average: around 12 per cent of what the poorest 
families have coming in goes out in Income Tax, National Insurance and Council Tax; 
for the very richest that figure is 31 per cent, more than three times higher. Third, the 
progressive work of the system is to some extent done by National Insurance, but 
much more particularly by Income Tax, a levy that the very richest pay more than five 
times more of than the poorest. Finally, and in sharp contrast to the general pattern, 
Council Tax is strongly regressive – absorbing only about 1 per cent of income at the 
very top, against nearly 5 per cent at the very bottom.

On aggregate, direct taxes in the UK *are* progressive.

The very richest pay more than five times more in income tax than the poorest.

Council Tax is the big exception. It absorbs only about 1 per cent of income at the very top, but nearly 5 per cent at the very bottom.

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