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Clément Plaisant

@cplaisant.bsky.social

International Relations | Diplomacy | Turkey-Syria | Et un peu d'@OL. Personal views here

1,095 Followers  |  236 Following  |  2,484 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  1.8814

Latest posts by cplaisant.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Nüfus artışında düşüş problemi Nüfus artışında düşüş problemi köşe yazısını sayfamızdan okuyabilirsiniz..

As Turkey's birth rate plummets, a certain fatalism prevails among some pro-government commentators. According to Atilla Yayla, “we are inexorably heading towards a smaller and older population.”
www.turkiyegazetesi.com.tr/kose-yazilar...

10.12.2025 09:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Strengthening Iraq-Türkiye Ties amid Regional Tensions | International Crisis Group After years of fraught relations, Ankara and Baghdad are charting a course toward rapprochement. But much depends on how the two sides (and other parties) manage various thorny issues. They should mak...

A lengthy and highly relevant report on Turkish-Iraqi relations. A small section is devoted to the PKK issue and the peace process.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

09.12.2025 15:55 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Newsmaker Interview: H.E. Hakan Fidan YouTube video by Doha Forum

A remark by Turkish FM Hakan Fidan at the Doha forum, which, paradoxically, did not attract much attention: "I believe that he [PKK Leader Ocalan] can play a role. I don't know if he wants to play or he can have leverage [on the PKK in Syria]” (10m30 in the video).
m.youtube.com/watch?si=kgF...

09.12.2025 14:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Strategic Ambiguity: Erdoğan’s Turkey in a Multipolar World Turkey’s push for strategic autonomy sees it balancing NATO ties, courting Russia and China, and asserting regional influence, showing how Erdoğan’s Turkey both shapes and is shaped by a rising multip...

"Turkey’s revisionism has its limitations. The country has economic dependencies that limit its fully independent course in foreign policy, and efforts to gain independence from its Western allies have not been accompanied by building sustainable alliances elsewhere"
www.csis.org/analysis/str...

09.12.2025 13:15 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Zabıtalar altı kadının yandığı gün sahte tutanak mı tuttu? AYRINTILAR halktv.com.tr'DE

halktv.com.tr/makale/zabit...

09.12.2025 13:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Journalist İsmail Saymaz reports that the minutes of the parliamentary delegation's meeting with Öcalan (62 pages long but reduced to 17) were not made public because (according to government sources) the state cannot publish a private conversation with the leader of an illegal organisation.

09.12.2025 13:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Istanbul. Le risque sismique, prétexte à une gentrification forcée Depuis des années, la menace d’un puissant séisme à venir accélère la reconstruction des bâtiments à Istanbul. Aujourd’hui, le profit des entreprises de la (…)

"Depuis des années, la menace d’un puissant séisme à venir accélère la reconstruction des bâtiments à Istanbul. Aujourd’hui, le profit des entreprises de la construction est le moteur de cette transformation urbaine"
orientxxi.info/Istanbul-Le-...

09.12.2025 12:32 — 👍 1    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Turkey's Fidan: Gaza governance must precede Hamas disarmament in ceasefire deal Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan told Reuters on Saturday that not advancing the U.S.-backed Gaza ceasefire plan to its next stage would be a "huge failure" for the world and Washington, noting th...

On the last point, however, Hakan Fidan's latest remarks in Doha signal an openness to alternative local governance models.
www.reuters.com/world/middle...

09.12.2025 08:14 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Turkey's three red lines on the SDF issue, according to Hande Firat:

-No command structure linked to the PKK on the Syrian-Turkish border.

-No armed structures that could threaten Turkey.

-No structures that could acquire autonomous political status, even in the event of integration.

09.12.2025 08:14 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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Ankara’dan kum saati uyarısı 8 Aralık 2025 itibarıyla Suriye, Esad’ın devrilmesinin birinci yılını kutluyor; ülke artık geçiş sürecinde Cumhurbaşkanı Ahmed Şara tarafından yönetiliyor.

www.hurriyet.com.tr/yazarlar/han...

09.12.2025 08:11 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1

It's funny because it's not the first time the two men have met... Does Erdogan feel obliged to give him another lecture on the Turkish century?😭😅

08.12.2025 20:58 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

"For Hungary, this partnership represents a strategic opportunity
to strengthen its position within the EU while asserting a certain degree of diplomatic autonomy [...] From Turkey's perspective, Hungary is seen as an essential link in the ‘East-West corridor’"
www.ifri.org/sites/defaul...

08.12.2025 20:25 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Orban hails Türkiye’s regional role, says Turkic world emerges as 'dynamic force' - Türkiye Today Orban highlights Türkiye’s pivotal diplomatic role, calling Erdogan 'only successful mediator' in Russia-Ukraine war

"Speaking alongside Erdogan, Orban said the Turkish president had shared with him “a grand vision” behind the concept of the “Turkish century.”

“Erdogan told me that a different world is coming, and the Turkic world will gather great energy,” Orban said"
www.turkiyetoday.com/nation/orban...

08.12.2025 20:11 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 3
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"Turkey’s demographic decline amidst the robust demographic growth in the Central Asia republics, particularly in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, the coming ‘Turkish’ century could witness a rise of Central Asian Turkic influence at the expense of Turkish leadership"
www.turkeyanalyst.org/publications...

08.12.2025 20:04 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 2

The pro-Kurdish DEM party issued a statement criticizing Abdulkadir Selvi's article.
www.demparti.org.tr/tr/abdulkadi...

08.12.2025 18:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Turkey's Interior Minister says 578,000 Syrians have returned since the fall of Assad regime a year ago.

A huge number considering the uncertainties. But my feeling is that the process is slowing down

08.12.2025 17:26 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

"İkinci Kürt açılımı, eğer sonraki aşamalarda ciddi bir değişiklik olmazsa, şimdiden bir tür noksan barış üretmeye doğru ilerliyor. Henüz ortada kayda değer bir yasal veya politik değişiklikten söz edilemiyor. Süreç daha çok aktörlerin kredileri ve sözleri üzerinden yürütülüyor"

08.12.2025 15:55 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

A landmark article, clearly! The weaknesses of the opposition are superbly identified, as are some of the strengths of the current regime.

08.12.2025 15:48 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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How Turkey helped engineer Ahmed al-Sharaa's rise to power Sharaa's pragmatism and close relationship with Turkey helped open doors, leading to his transformation from jihadist leader to rebel statesman and finally Syrian president

A lengthy and detailed paper by Ragip Soylu and Levent Kemal on the spectacular transformation of Ahmed al-Sharaa, which highlights in particular the key role played by Turkey (and specifically the MIT).
www.middleeasteye.net/big-story/sy...

08.12.2025 15:36 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

"Moreover, as the next section explores, the opposition’s own organisational and programmatic deficits have often prevented it from capitalising fully on the ruling bloc’s vulnerabilities"

08.12.2025 13:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

"High levels of affective polarisation, partisan media consumption and clientelist ties limit the extent to which dissatisfaction with performance translates into willingness to vote for alternatives" +

08.12.2025 13:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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ΕΛΙΑΜΕΠ | Contesting Hegemony: Opposition Strategies and Structural Constraints in AKP-Era TurkeyContesting Hegemony: Opposition Strategies and Structural Constraints in AKP-Era Turkey Γνώση πριν απο τη Δράση

The "weaknesses of the incumbent [AKP-MHP] regime ought to represent significant opportunities [...] Yet the translation of these problems into sustained opposition support has been uneven and fragile" +
www.eliamep.gr/en/contestin...

08.12.2025 13:15 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1
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"Azerbaijan has ceased to be a “learning”
country in the relationship [with Turkey] While the overlapping interests of the two countries are evident, relations are being framed within a pragmatic agenda based on interests rather than emotional ties"

Link : www.globacademy.org/wp-content/u...

08.12.2025 12:48 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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De Beyrouth à Téhéran ou Ankara, la longue fuite des chefs du Hamas Après des décennies de vicissitudes dans les capitales arabes, la direction en exil du mouvement islamiste palestinien est en bout de course. Partout parias, les leaders de l’organisation voient leur ...

A Istanbul, "[les cadres du Hamas] fréquentent des Frères musulmans égyptiens en exil. Mais l’amitié s’aigrit : en novembre, le Hamas accuse des organismes de charité, liés à la confrérie, d’avoir détourné près de 500 millions de dollars de dons pour Gaza"
www.lemonde.fr/internationa...

08.12.2025 12:39 — 👍 1    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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KEREM ALKİN - Monroe 2.0 ve ABD’nin Yeni Güvenlik Doktrini ABD'nin Soğuk Savaş sonrası dönemin 'küresel demokrasiyi yayma' iddiası, pek çok başarısızlığa, jeopolitik kargaşaya ve insani trajediye sebep olduktan sonra, bugün yerini çok daha sert, çok daha dar ...

I also recommend Kerem Alkin's article
www.sabah.com.tr/yazarlar/ker...

08.12.2025 10:16 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Süreci sabote etmeye çalışıyorlar PKK’nın silah bırakması ve tasfiye süreci yüzyılın projesi. Madem yüzyılın projesi o zaman yüzyılın özenini ve hassasiyetini göstermek gerekiyor.

Since the beginning of the Kurdish opening, never before has the pro-government Turkish press been so vocal about attempts to ‘sabotage’ the initiative. This certainly signals fears and, above all, perhaps a certain degree of deadlock in the peace process.
www.hurriyet.com.tr/yazarlar/abd...

08.12.2025 09:27 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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Three serious warnings from Ankara to the PKK via the SDF: the wind may turn - Yetkin Report Ankara wants the SDF to honour its agreement with the Syria Government, and not sabotage the "Terror-Free Türkiye" Process.

"Ankara has sent three warning messages [to the PKK/FDS] :
1. Statements by FM Hakan Fidan at the Doha Forum
2. Visits to Damascus by Chief of General Staff Gen. Selçuk Bayraktaroğlu
3. The “yellow light” flashed by the Presidential Chief Legal Advisor, Mehmet Uçum"
yetkinreport.com/en/2025/12/0...

08.12.2025 09:11 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

"Açılım süreci, Kürtlerin tabanındaki sorunları da ‘açmış’ gibi! “Öncelikler” tartışması başlamış. Kürtlerin hakları, demokratikleşme, Selahattin Demirtaş’ın halen cezaevinde olmasının konu başlığı yapılmaması gibi. Konuların, Öcalan ve SDG’nin varlığı üzerinden yürütülüyor olması gibi"

08.12.2025 08:57 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Vali görevden alınmalı Cizre’de düzenlenen sempozyuma katılan Irak KDP Lideri Mesut Barzani’nin silahlı adamlarıyla gövde gösterisi yaptığı iddiaları, AKP...

www.nefes.com.tr/yazarlar/nur...

08.12.2025 08:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1

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