Travis Koshko

part 2

*thumbs up*

*looks at watch* RIght on schedule, here comes the clearing.

Won't be until later tonight when skies completely clear. Wednesday should feature a full day of sunshine.

Our next low-pressure system is approaching & temperatures are now below freezing (Wintergreen is in the middle 20s). Model output indicates more than a tenth of an inch of ice for some but a degree or two can make all the difference; freezing rain is a finicky beast! Keep those phones charged...

a man wearing a cowboy hat and sunglasses looks at the camera ALT: a man wearing a cowboy hat and sunglasses looks at the camera

Thanks for the props and for putting your weather trust in me!

Most likely time for freezing rain/sleet on Tuesday will be 2-7am; temperatures will rise after sunrise to change everything to rain. Worst of the ice accumulation & slick spots will be in the mountains and Valley. Once into rain over a half-inch could fall before mid-afternoon.

Brrrrrrrr.

I'm keeping an eye on Tuesday morning as our next low-pressure system could bring some sleet/freezing rain before sunrise (read: slick roads for the AM commute). Temperatures will warm to change everything to rain by mid-morning.

Friday night into Saturday morning will also be worth watching...

Non-traditional Thanksgiving dinner, for the win. Why not crock-pot chili instead?

"Well, we got there and there was a big sign & a chain across the dump saying 'Closed on Thanksgiving' and we had never heard of a dump closed on Thanksgiving before, so with tears in our eyes we drove off into the sunset looking for another place to put the garbage."

Happy Thanksgiving, everyone.

There's a lot to unpack in this forecast. Highlights:
1) Mild Wednesday, OK for travel;
2) Colder for Thanksgiving & the holiday weekend;
3) Some could reach the teens Friday night/Saturday morning;
4) Cold for the Commonwealth Clash;
5) Sunday & Tuesday afternoon could see showers.

And here I thought this was gonna be a dull Monday.

Really cool fog bow as seen from Shamrock Road this morning. And it’s a double!

Check out these SWEET Kelvin-Helmhotlz clouds pictures from Charlottesville earlier today. Wow!

Those are SWEET! Great catch!

Accident: NB US-29 @ Airport Road. Looks like several cars involved and at least one lane blocked.

Hurricane Melissa produced the fastest hurricane winds to be recorded by a dropsonde, verified by reviewing data at NSF NCAR! Hurricane Melissa’s 252 mph wind gust surpassed the previous record from Typhoon Megi over the Western Pacific in 2010, where a dropsonde measured wind gusts of 248 mph.

It aint' much, but it's Charlottesville's first measurable rain in nine days. Showers will be gone by sunrise Wednesday and more rain could be coming late Friday into Saturday.

Based off the auroral report map submissions from last week, here is every single state in the U.S. with aurora.

11/11/25

I just got a text from SNP three minutes ago saying the park's emergency number is out of service, so I'm not sure if that's related or a sign that containment isn't going well. Fingers crossed, but bring on the rain!

Part of Skyline Drive closed due to wildfire The scenic route is closed between Rockfish Gap and Loft Mountain.

Here's our story from yesterday but my friend Aubrey in the Valley posted a great update already: www.cbs19news.com/news/part-of...

Peak wind gusts so far today as of 5:15pm:
*Fan Mountain: 46mph
*Wintergreen: 42mph
*CBS19 Studio: 40mph
*Carter Mountain: 39mph
*Madison: 36mph

VERY windy conditions, low fuel moisture, and very dry air today will lead to critical fire danger across all of central Virginia through this afternoon. A *red flag warning* is in effect until 6pm Sunday; outdoor burning is HIGHLY discouraged.

I was out intermittently between 7pm-1am. I gave in because the wind on the mountain finally broke through my layers. Not sure if anything happened after 1am but I think it was a case of the brighter shows happening before midnight.

Wednesday night was another winner for the Northern Lights. Was able to catch three substorms which contained colors and pillars visible to the naked eye.

It's definitely gonna be a jumbo coffee kinda day.

(Shenandoah Nat'l Park near Elkton, Virginia) #aurora #northernlights

The solar wind is still cooking! Bz is tanking to -20 nT now and wind speeds are extremely elevated > 800 km/s. The central U.S. could see more aurora tonight during substorm activity. Keep an eye on things, and I’ll update as the night goes on.

In short: Bz has to be negative for central Virginia to have any decent view of the aurora. It's still positive at this time and could eventually flip negative but know now that the odds of seeing another great Northern Lights show tonight isn't as great as last night.

I recall seeing a LOT of great pictures from out there. You'll have a great vantage point, for sure.