Alan Gerard's Avatar

Alan Gerard

@wxmanms1.bsky.social

35 year meteorologist in warning/forecast provision and research, now CEO of Balanced Weather LLC, Disney/Peanuts fan, golfer, sports fan, TK Little. For more weather info go to https://balancedweather.substack.com/about

3,443 Followers  |  1,295 Following  |  3,365 Posts  |  Joined: 05.09.2023  |  1.7068

Latest posts by wxmanms1.bsky.social on Bluesky

Preview
12 people reported dead, nearly 800K customers still without power from massive, major winter storm Serious concerns for impacted areas as near record cold settles in. Meanwhile, a new storm lurks for the East Coast by this weekend.

In my newsletter this morning, I shared the experimental real-time freezing rain ice accumulation analysis developed by the winter weather research group at NSSL. This is the kind of R2O NOAA does that has clear societal benefit - and that the admin wants to curtail. tinyurl.com/43kcrhmb

27.01.2026 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Can Bill just run strategy for the Democrats? Like I know, I know...trust me, I know. But we don't have time for Schumer et. al. to figure this out on their own.

26.01.2026 23:38 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
from Keith Faber: "Renee Good wasn't an 'innocent.' Problem is hysteria, not Ice | Ohio AG candidate
If you have done nothing wrong, you will be fine. If you refuse to comply, your actions can escalate quickly-and unnecessarily-into criminal conduct."

from Keith Faber: "Renee Good wasn't an 'innocent.' Problem is hysteria, not Ice | Ohio AG candidate If you have done nothing wrong, you will be fine. If you refuse to comply, your actions can escalate quickly-and unnecessarily-into criminal conduct."

The auditor of the state of Ohio, who is running to be the state's next attorney general, wrote an oped this morning that the Columbus Dispatch published on how Renee Good is to blame for her death.

The subheadline alone is already chilling.

www.dispatch.com/story/opinio...

26.01.2026 17:16 β€” πŸ‘ 775    πŸ” 314    πŸ’¬ 86    πŸ“Œ 67
Post image

Alex Pretti’s coworkers take a moment of silence this morning

26.01.2026 20:12 β€” πŸ‘ 11179    πŸ” 3182    πŸ’¬ 160    πŸ“Œ 199
Post image

HISTORIC:NEARLY 50C IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
A deadly heat wave is rewriting climatic history

Many all time records
49.5 Ceduna
48.6 Wudinna
47.9 Cummins
46.1 Dubbo
etc
monthly
42.9 Mudgee
37.8 Stanthorpe

Tomorrow will be a madness
Nearly 50C between Victoria and New South Wales‼️

26.01.2026 11:04 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 50    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 10

#MFL issues Record Event Report (RER) at Jan 26, 4:22 PM EST ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT MIAMI... Link

26.01.2026 21:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

NEW: A Texas county medical examiner found that Geraldo Lunas Campos was choked to death by a guard while he was held in ICE custody earlier this month.

Geraldo is the sixth person to die in ICE detention this year.

26.01.2026 18:39 β€” πŸ‘ 5516    πŸ” 3209    πŸ’¬ 108    πŸ“Œ 224

A bunch of Republican senators have issued statements of concern re: Alex Pretti's killing, including calling for an investigation.
The only action I've seen one of them take beyond concern tweets, however, is Rand Paul calling a public hearing for Feb. 12.
They hold all of the leverage.

26.01.2026 21:02 β€” πŸ‘ 760    πŸ” 148    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 7

Yes, yes ICE is leaving Minneapolis, but where are the plane loads of people they hauled off?

Where are the kids?

Where are the parents?

Where are the people who are neither kids nor parents?

26.01.2026 20:56 β€” πŸ‘ 61    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

Here's the thing, Greg β€” free speech is still protected by the First Amendment under the Constitution.

If you want folks to stop saying you're the secret police who are kidnapping and killing people, maybe stop acting like the secret police who are kidnapping and killing people.

26.01.2026 19:33 β€” πŸ‘ 21465    πŸ” 5695    πŸ’¬ 970    πŸ“Œ 226
Preview
12 people reported dead, nearly 800K customers still without power from massive, major winter storm Serious concerns for impacted areas as near record cold settles in. Meanwhile, a new storm lurks for the East Coast by this weekend.

Serious impacts have occurred due to ice accumulations across the South, with ~800K still without power and incredible sleet accumulations causing roof collapses in parts of AR. I am VERY concerned about hypothermia risks & pipe burst potential from bitter cold tonight. tinyurl.com/43kcrhmb

26.01.2026 19:19 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Lest we forget:

On Sat night, as Minnesotans braved Arctic cold to honor Alex Pretti and demand that ICE/CBP leave their state...

...Tim Cook was at the White House for "friends and family" premiere of payola-based 'Melania' movie. Also Andy Jassy, Amazon CEO.

Bezos was at fashion show in Paris.

26.01.2026 16:54 β€” πŸ‘ 748    πŸ” 236    πŸ’¬ 38    πŸ“Œ 13
Preview
Median Household Income by County in the United States and Puerto Rico This data visualization shows the median household income statistics for the United States and Puerto Rico.

The outages cut a swath through some of the poorest parts of the US, which will contribute to the outages lasting longer.

www.census.gov/library/visu...

25.01.2026 22:03 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Another Killing on ICE The right wing propaganda machine can’t spin the killing of Alex Pretti

Yesterday, I awoke to news of another ICE killing in MN. On Bluesky, the conversation was deeply critical of ICE. But I wanted to see how things were going on X. Surprisingly, the attempts there to blame the victim weren't getting as much traction as I suspected. So I wrote a thing.

26.01.2026 04:51 β€” πŸ‘ 948    πŸ” 215    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 23
Preview
After a record warm Sunday, colder than normal weather will lock in for the foreseeable future High of 87F at MCO was the hottest January temperature in Orlando in more than 30 years

I usually don't share my Walt Disney World weather newsletter posts on here, but sharing tonight as I talked about the incredible warmth that existed across FL today ahead of the major winter storm. Orlando hit 87F, tying for 3rd warmest Jan day on record. open.substack.com/pub/wdwweath...

26.01.2026 04:46 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Matthew Stafford is the first QB in NFL history to lose a playoff start while throwing for 350+ yards and 3+ TDs while committing 0 turnovers.

H/T @joshdubowap.bsky.social

26.01.2026 04:40 β€” πŸ‘ 168    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 4

Seahawks calling their four minute offense like their defensive-minded head coach knows what the opposing DC wants to do and is counterpunching with play-action and boots.

Mike Macdonald: very, very, very good at this.

26.01.2026 02:44 β€” πŸ‘ 313    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 4
Video thumbnail

This is what’s currently on the ground in Annapolis and the result of 5-6” snow, 2-3” sleet, and a decent glaze from freezing rain. This is gonna take a long time to clean up

26.01.2026 02:29 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Video thumbnail

Wolfers: This is the most interventionist government of my lifetime. It’s the least conservative government of my lifetime. When you are the richest country in the world, maybe you are not the ones who should be tearing down your existing institutions. But that’s exactly what this president is doing

25.01.2026 21:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3182    πŸ” 976    πŸ’¬ 80    πŸ“Œ 63

Seeing lots of whining about the taunting penalty but the ref told him to knock it off and he literally walked closer to the sideline and started yelling louder. Don’t give me the crap that the ref isn’t supposed to call that - that is on the player.

26.01.2026 02:04 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The only president to keep the Patriots out of the Super Bowl this century? Joe Biden

25.01.2026 23:00 β€” πŸ‘ 3686    πŸ” 564    πŸ’¬ 48    πŸ“Œ 39
Post image

The party that has spent unlimited resources and energy getting states to pass laws to allow citizens to openly carry loaded weapons anywhere - now believes that exercising this right is permission for law enforcement to murder you.

Honestly, how dumb do they think we are?

25.01.2026 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 9048    πŸ” 2570    πŸ’¬ 571    πŸ“Œ 110

I wonder how often a site at the latitude and elevation of Columbus sets a daily max precip record with snowfall.

25.01.2026 22:24 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Radar shows how snow has been rapidly expanding in coverage and intensifying across the Denver metro the last hour. Gonna be an interesting 4th quarter at Mile High.

25.01.2026 22:23 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Probably should have said "toward" DC rather than into DC. Saw an mPING report of FZRA in Alexandria, and seeing more working farther north through VA.

25.01.2026 21:44 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
1800 UTC sounding from Greensboro, NC

1800 UTC sounding from Greensboro, NC

1800 UTC sounding from Dulles, VA

1800 UTC sounding from Dulles, VA

Midday balloon data from Greensboro, NC and Dulles showing the differences in the warm layer around 5K feet. Nearly 10C at Greensboro versus 2C or so at Dulles. Freezing rain more likely to be dominant precip type in NC with more sleet near DC, tho warming bringing more FZRA north into DC lately.

25.01.2026 21:35 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

MRMS radar reflectivity & HRRR precipitation type over the last 24 hours. An absolutely massive storm

25.01.2026 19:39 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
jaderemedy β€’ 4h ago
And now comes the most nauseating part of this whole goddamn mess: the hypocrisy. The same loud-mouthed idiots who spent years screaming about tyranny are suddenly dead fucking silent, or worse, cheering, now that it's their side doing it. "ThEy'Re cOminG fOr OuR gUnS!" "GoVerNMenT oVerReAch!" "ShAll nOt bE inFrinGeD!" All that chest-thumping bullshit evaporated the second armed federal agents started terrorizing people they don't like.
Let me get this straight: a civilian gets shot dead by federal agents, and the only thing you brainless cunts can muster is
"well, DHS says he had a gun"? THAT'S your red line? Guns are sacred when they're strapped to your waist, but magically become a death sentence when they're used as a post-hoc excuse by the government? Either the Second Amendment applies to everyone, or you never believed in it at all. Fucking pick one and own it.
This is exactly what tyranny looks like, by the way. Not jackboots marching in formation, but armed agents roaming neighborhoods, stopping people, killing civilians, and then daring the public to question it. Tyranny is execution followed by a press release. Tyranny is labeling the dead a "threat" so the state doesn't have to explain why someone's life just ended in the street. Tyranny is demanding obedience while shredding due process and calling it order.
And all you so-called "freedom lovers" are fucking fine with it, as long as it's brown people, immigrants, protesters, or anyone you've already dehumanized. Turns out "don't tread on me" actually meant "tread on them." You weren't afraid of tyranny.
You were afraid of losing dominance. There's a difference, and this moment exposes it completely.
"Just comply" isn't a principle. It's cowardice dressed up as common sense. It's the language of people who have already accepted that the state gets to decide who deserves rights and who doesn't. And once you make that deal, don't act shocked when the line moves, because it always fuckin…

jaderemedy β€’ 4h ago And now comes the most nauseating part of this whole goddamn mess: the hypocrisy. The same loud-mouthed idiots who spent years screaming about tyranny are suddenly dead fucking silent, or worse, cheering, now that it's their side doing it. "ThEy'Re cOminG fOr OuR gUnS!" "GoVerNMenT oVerReAch!" "ShAll nOt bE inFrinGeD!" All that chest-thumping bullshit evaporated the second armed federal agents started terrorizing people they don't like. Let me get this straight: a civilian gets shot dead by federal agents, and the only thing you brainless cunts can muster is "well, DHS says he had a gun"? THAT'S your red line? Guns are sacred when they're strapped to your waist, but magically become a death sentence when they're used as a post-hoc excuse by the government? Either the Second Amendment applies to everyone, or you never believed in it at all. Fucking pick one and own it. This is exactly what tyranny looks like, by the way. Not jackboots marching in formation, but armed agents roaming neighborhoods, stopping people, killing civilians, and then daring the public to question it. Tyranny is execution followed by a press release. Tyranny is labeling the dead a "threat" so the state doesn't have to explain why someone's life just ended in the street. Tyranny is demanding obedience while shredding due process and calling it order. And all you so-called "freedom lovers" are fucking fine with it, as long as it's brown people, immigrants, protesters, or anyone you've already dehumanized. Turns out "don't tread on me" actually meant "tread on them." You weren't afraid of tyranny. You were afraid of losing dominance. There's a difference, and this moment exposes it completely. "Just comply" isn't a principle. It's cowardice dressed up as common sense. It's the language of people who have already accepted that the state gets to decide who deserves rights and who doesn't. And once you make that deal, don't act shocked when the line moves, because it always fuckin…

Absolute banger of a comment on r/military:

www.reddit.com/r/Military/c...

25.01.2026 01:33 β€” πŸ‘ 9593    πŸ” 3329    πŸ’¬ 94    πŸ“Œ 242
Power outages from PowerOutage.us website

Power outages from PowerOutage.us website

While severe wx is in S GA, in N GA, power outages due to glaze accumulation have been increasing, with 100K customers now without power. Total power outages now exceed 1M nationally, mostly due to ice. You can see much of the MS Delta, a socioeconomically vulnerable region, is now without power.

25.01.2026 20:48 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Power outages in Alabama from PowerOutage.us.

Power outages in Alabama from PowerOutage.us.

Two panel radar display of reflectivity and velocity from the Fort Rucker radar.

Two panel radar display of reflectivity and velocity from the Fort Rucker radar.

A line of intense severe storms is moving across southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. There have been a number of reports of wind damage across southern Alabama, and 30K customers are without power in this area. Several tornado warnings in effect. #alwx

25.01.2026 20:26 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@wxmanms1 is following 20 prominent accounts