Tim Kehoe 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇲🇽🇺🇦

Tim Kehoe 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇲🇽🇺🇦

@tkehoe.bsky.social

Professor of Economics, U of Minnesota: General Equilibrium, Macroeconomics, International Trade, Latin America. He/him webpage: http://users.econ.umn.edu/~tkehoe

2,367 Followers 957 Following 174 Posts Joined Sep 2023
1 month ago
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Federal authorities announce an end to the immigration crackdown in Minnesota The Trump administration is ending the immigration crackdown in Minnesota that led to thousands of arrests, violent protests and the fatal shootings of two U.S. citizens over the past two months, bord...

ICE out!

It has been painful. There has been a lot of suffering, human and economic. There has been unwarranted violence and criminal activity by federal agents.

But the people of Minnesota won!

www.yahoo.com/news/article...

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1 month ago

Pero creo que José Claudio comete un pequeño error en español. Él nos llama las ciudades gemelas, pero es argentino y no aficionado al béisbol. Todos los aficionados al béisbol de habla español sabemos que nuestro equipo se llama los Mellizos de Minnesota.

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1 month ago

José Claudio tiene razón: Un rasgo distintivo de Minnesota es que la gente se saluda — buenos días, buenas tardes, algún comentario sobre el tiempo — sin importar si se conoce o no. Me pareció extraño cuando llegué aquí hace 39 años. Ahora yo lo hago todos los días.

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1 month ago
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Minnesota es como Pergamino Historias y legado de un territorio sobre el que se han posado las miradas del mundo

Un articulo excelente sobre Minnesota y sus ciudades de Minneapolis y St Paul escrito por un argentino. / An excellent article (in Spanish) about Minnesota and the cities of Minneapolis and St Paul written by an Argentinian.

HT/@gabriel-devoto.bsky.social

www.lanacion.com.ar/cultura/minn...

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1 month ago
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Thank you Bruce Springsteen YouTube video by Amy Klobuchar

When Bruce Springsteen saw the news of the murder of Alex Pretti last Saturday, he wrote this song:

Oh our Minneapolis, I hear your voice
Crying through the bloody mist
We’ll remember the names of those who died
On the streets of Minneapolis

www.youtube.com/watch?v=w24U...

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1 month ago

Attorney General Pam Bondi wrote to Governor Tim Walz telling him that President Trump will remove ICE from Minnesota if the state government hands over the data necessary for Trump to steal the 2026 elections in Minnesota. ICE activities in Minnesota have little or nothing to do with immigration.

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1 month ago

The situation in Minneapolis is bad. There is a lot of criminal activity, almost all of it perpetrated by federal agents. We are depressed, but at the same time we are proud of our community. The community's will to resist Trump and his goons is stronger than ever!

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1 month ago

La situación en Minneapolis va mal. Hay mucha actividad delictiva, casi toda por parte de agentes federales. Estamos deprimidos, pero al mismo tiempo estamos orgullosos de nuestra comunidad. ¡La voluntad de la comunidad de resistir a Trump y sus secuaces es más fuerte que nunca!

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1 month ago

No puedo decir que todo va bien aquí en Minneapolis, pero todo va a ir mejor si salgan los agentes de la ICE.

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1 month ago

Vivo en Minneapolis desde 1987. Recuerdo que siempre había una o dos semanas así cada año. Pero, con el calentamiento global, este es el día más frío desde 2019.

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1 month ago
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A beautiful, sunny morning in Minnesota. The temperature is -21 F, -29 C. Una hermosa mañana soleada en Minneapolis. La temperatura es de -21 grados Fahrenheit, -29 centígrados.

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2 months ago
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A study of US interest rate shocks and sovereign defaults finds that a jump in rate increases lenders’ opportunity cost of holding delinquent debt, and government expects larger haircuts, from Victor Almeida, Carlos Esquivel, @tkehoe.bsky.social, and Juan Pablo Nicolini www.nber.org/papers/w34555

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2 months ago
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Presenting at the 50th Simposio de La Asociación Española de Economía at the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. This is the 33rd time that I presented at the Simposio.

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3 months ago
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Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez I am a PhD job market candidate in Economics at the University of Minnesota. My research lies at the intersection of Macroeconomics and International Macroeconomics, with a focus on sovereign debt and...

Should IMF limit foreign borrowing by governments of developing nations?

UMN @umn-econ.bsky.social Econ JMC Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez argues any such restrictions need to depend on conditions in the country and how the government spends borrowed funds.

sites.google.com/view/juliana...

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3 months ago
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Leonardo Barreto Ph.D. candidate in Economics, University of Minnesota.

Why did U.S.Consumer Sentiment Index fall as unemployment and inflation returned to normal 2023-24?

@umn-econ.bsky.social JMC Leonardo Barreto @leonardo-barreto.bsky.social builds dynamic general equilibrium model with rich consumer heterogeneity to answer the question.

www.leonardo-barreto.com

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3 months ago
Carlos Bolivar Ph.D. Student in Economics | Carlos Bolivar I am a third-year Ph.D. student in Economics at the University of Minnesota, with research interests in International Economics, Macroeconomic Theory, and Public Economics. Learn more about my backgro...

How do global value chains evolve over time?

UMN JMC Carlos Bolivar @carlosbolivar03.bsky.social analyzes how firms change intermediate input suppliers in 43-country, 56-industry world trade model with changing transportation costs and stochastic country-industry productivity.

carlosbolivar.info

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3 months ago
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Scott Sommers Scott Sommers

Why is agricultural productivity in India so low?

UMN @umn-econ.bsky.social Econ JMC Scott Sommers argues weather shocks amplify land market restrictions as source of misallocation in agriculture. He uses micro data to build model of heterogeneous farmers.

sites.google.com/view/scottso...

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3 months ago
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TERESA BALESTRINI Welcome! I am a PhD candidate in Economics at the University of Minnesota and will be on the 2025-2026 job market. My fields of interest are Macroeconomics and International Economics, with a focus ...

How does IMF intervention after sovereign default help debtor country?

UMN @umn-econ.bsky.social JMC Teresa Balestrini evaluates differences post default for countries that restructure within IMF program versus those that directly negotiate with creditors 1990–2014.

www.teresabalestrini.com

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3 months ago

Very nice paper from a very smart candidate @leonardo-barreto.bsky.social

His paper is very creative and addresses a relevant question for academics and policymakers alike!

Leonardo is also a very easygoing and intelligent colleague!

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3 months ago

Leonardo is member of Manuel Amador’s and my UMN Econ @umn-econ.bsky.social workshop group.

Cristina Arellano, a research economist at @minneapolisfed.bsky.social, also advises Leonardo on his research. Leonardo and Cristina have written a paper together. Check out other papers on his webpage.

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3 months ago

Heterogeneous consumers in model face Aiyagari-style labor market uncertainty. Leonardo asks a random sample of 2 million consumers in model same question as Survey of Consumers asks U.S. consumers. As in U.S., in model majority feel better off in 2020-21 and worse off in 2023-24.

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3 months ago
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Leonardo analyzes COVID-19 recession and government policy response 2020Q1-24Q4: paths of inflation, of lockdown policies, and of fiscal policy parameters corresponding to government debt, government consumption, unemployment insurance, stimulus checks, and capital subsidies to firms.

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3 months ago
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Leonardo Barreto Ph.D. candidate in Economics, University of Minnesota.

Why did U.S.Consumer Sentiment Index fall as unemployment and inflation returned to normal 2023-24?

@umn-econ.bsky.social JMC Leonardo Barreto @leonardo-barreto.bsky.social builds dynamic general equilibrium model with rich consumer heterogeneity to answer the question.

www.leonardo-barreto.com

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3 months ago

A very nice paper by a great candidate from the University of Minnesota!

The paper becomes relevant now, when many emerging countries accumulated high debt levels and wanted to improve their health services and infrastructure after the pandemic!
#EconSky #EconJobMarket #EconBlueSky #EconJM

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3 months ago
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Borrowed from a friend because it is absolutely perfect.

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3 months ago

Juliana has research she started on before she came to UMN Econ and she has continued since coming here.

Collaborations with researchers at Banco de la República in her native Colombia, CEMLA, IMF, and Minneapolis Fed have resulted in 8 published papers and 2 working papers with more on the way!

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3 months ago

Her argument is plausible, but value of her analysis is how she combines empirical evidence with economic modeling to make it compelling.

Juliana is member of Manuel Amador’s and my UMN workshop. Marco Bassetto and Illenin Kondo at Minneapolis Fed @minneapolisfed.bsky.social are also advising her.

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3 months ago
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Juliana argues that, if country has low levels of infrastructure and of private capital, government can borrow to provide infrastructure, which encourages more private investment, which increases domestic output and tax revenues, making it easier for government to service debt.

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3 months ago
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Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez I am a PhD job market candidate in Economics at the University of Minnesota. My research lies at the intersection of Macroeconomics and International Macroeconomics, with a focus on sovereign debt and...

Should IMF limit foreign borrowing by governments of developing nations?

UMN @umn-econ.bsky.social Econ JMC Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez argues any such restrictions need to depend on conditions in the country and how the government spends borrowed funds.

sites.google.com/view/juliana...

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3 months ago

Ricardo is right! Carlos has a excellent portfolio of research papers. In fact, we had trouble choosing which one to use as his job market paper.

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