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Joni Askola

@joniaskola.bsky.social

Finnish PhD candidate and geopolitical analyst. Trying to help Ukraine with the 69th Sniffing Brigade https://buymeacoffee.com/joni_askola

25,893 Followers  |  489 Following  |  11,908 Posts  |  Joined: 16.01.2024
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Posts by Joni Askola (@joniaskola.bsky.social)

Venezuela 2.0. Absolutely pathetic.

This would be horrible for the people of Iran

03.03.2026 17:37 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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If Trump’s war in Iran drags on due to poor planning, the biggest winner won't be in the Middle East.

It will be the Kremlin.

High oil prices from a messy conflict directly pad Putin's war chest and fund the invasion of Ukraine

03.03.2026 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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It is a grim irony that the Tehran regime, a genuine threat, is being confronted by leaders as untrustworthy as Trump and Netanyahu.

Iran needed to be dealt with, but these two will likely mismanage it into a catastrophe.

Everything Trump touches turns to shit

03.03.2026 16:36 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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This idiot wasn’t even in Dubai when he was paid to push propaganda saying that everything is fine in Dubai.

What a pathological liar and grifter

03.03.2026 16:28 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Two things can be true at once:

1) The Khamenei regime was a severe threat to the Middle East and the West that had to be dismantled

2) Trump and Netanyahu are untrustworthy. By lying about justifications and lacking a real plan, they risk catastrophically mismanaging this war

03.03.2026 15:01 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Regime change in Iran cannot be a Venezuela 2.0.

Half-baked recognition of a shadow government without a plan to finish the job is a betrayal of the Iranian people.

Trump’s theatrical posturing over strategy risks leaving Iran in a bloody limbo.

If you break it, fix it

03.03.2026 14:35 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s pivot to Asia was a lie

03.03.2026 13:39 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1
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What did Epstein give to Churkin on Trump?

03.03.2026 11:52 β€” πŸ‘ 55    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Pod with joni YouTube video by Gunther Fehlinger Podcast

I joined @gunterfehlinger.bsky.social on his podcast this morning. We talked about neutrality, Ukraine, Europe, Trump, and Iran.
Here is the video:
www.youtube.com/live/wnVyE2Y...

03.03.2026 11:31 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The UAE’s absolutely pathetic and gross online propaganda campaign yesterday just proved that the whole world despises Dubai and Western people who choose to live there.

What a failure!

03.03.2026 08:25 β€” πŸ‘ 80    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump attacking Zelensky again. Trump is a pathetic traitor

03.03.2026 08:22 β€” πŸ‘ 121    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 2
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One thing that the last few days have shown is that everyone hates Dubai, and too many people have built their pathetic personalities around living there

03.03.2026 08:15 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump is the only man who could make us miss actual regime change.

His Venezuela-style plan for Iran and others is worse: the same regime stays, just under his control, and the people get no shot at democracy

03.03.2026 07:55 β€” πŸ‘ 59    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 1
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Dishonest coping meant to hide an admission of fascism

03.03.2026 07:40 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
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Russia had negative net gains in Ukraine in February, for the first time since 2023

02.03.2026 20:43 β€” πŸ‘ 98    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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11/11 Finally, there is the battle for attention.

The world's media is completely looking away from the Donbas.

With Western focus shifted away from Europe and resources stretched thin, Ukraine faces a very precarious situation, but also some opportunities

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 51    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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10/11 Then there is the economic blowback.

War in the Middle East inevitably spikes global oil prices. This directly pads Russia's heavily sanctioned war chest.

A richer Moscow means more resources for the war

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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9/11 It is not just the US.

European countries are now wasting their own critically low resources by deploying jets and firing high end missiles in the Middle East.

Every European interceptor used in the Gulf is one less available for defending Europe and Ukraine

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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8/11 But the risks are severe.

The biggest danger is the interceptor vacuum.

The war in Iran is draining US stockpiles at an alarming rate.

Every American missile fired in the Gulf means less volume available to send to Kyiv

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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7/11 There is also a major political breather for Ukraine.

With the US administration fully focused on the crisis in Tehran, there is far less immediate political pressure on Kyiv to accept a forced or unfavorable peace settlement with Russia

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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6/11 Russian defense tech is being exposed on the global stage.

Strikes in Iran bypassed Russian-made air defense systems with ease.

This proves to the world that Moscow's heavily marketed military exports are massively overhyped

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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5/11 Kyiv has years of hard-won experience stopping Iranian drone swarms.

By selling their interceptor tech and know-how to Gulf nations right now, Ukraine can cement massive long-term diplomatic and financial partnerships

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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4/11 The Washington power shift is real.

The maximum pressure campaign on Iran shows that the hawks have the administration's ear.

The isolationist wing is clearly losing its grip

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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3/11 The world finally gets it.

The Gulf is now dealing with the exact Iranian drone swarms Ukraine has fought for years.

The sheer panic caused by a few hundred drones in the Middle East is making everyone understand what a normal Tuesday looks like in Kyiv

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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2/11 Iran has been the lifeblood of Russia's terror campaign.

They supplies the Kremlin with thousands of shaheds.

Seeing a core pillar of this anti-Western axis dismantled directly hurts Putin's war machine.

When Tehran loses, Moscow loses

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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1/11 Trump’s operation in Iran is not just reshaping the Middle East.

It is dramatically altering the geopolitical calculus for Ukraine.

For Kyiv, this new conflict is a massive double-edged sword.

Here is a breakdown of the very real upsides and downsides 🧡

02.03.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 76    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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North Korea–level coordinated propaganda campaign to save Dubai’s reputation.

If it’s so nice, why do they need such a coordinated campaign?

Pathetic

02.03.2026 19:10 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

We just need way more of everything. We have the potential

02.03.2026 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 51    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

AfD is a party of pro-Russian traitors

02.03.2026 18:57 β€” πŸ‘ 58    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

So many pathetic idiots that have moved to Dubai

02.03.2026 18:56 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0