Modest Margin

3rd FEB – FTSE: The Hangover (50MA) - Modest Margin The FTSE partied hard yesterday, breaking out to new All-Time Highs...which was great for my ISA. Naturally, some profit taking was to be expected today...As on the previous post, whilst the DAX is ...

#ftse: The Hangover

After hitting ATH yesterday, the FTSE is cooling off.

• 20MA Broken: Short-term momentum has reset
• The 50MA is rising into support

Waiting for the "Institutional Reload" at the 50MA

#Analysis: shorturl.at/W0HfK

#ModestMargin #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #TradingDiary

2nd FEB - DAX - "W" Formation Frustratingly, I missed the morning open as price was sitting nicely at the bottom of the Support Zone and with a "Double Bottom" in play...and what did the market do...bounced off this level with a H...

#DAX: Missed the morning bounce off 24,200...Frustrating

Double Bottom formed and the bounce has been a vertical one...straight into Channel Resistance 🤔

Analysis: shorturl.at/Uge4P

#modestmargin #technicalanalysis #DayTrading #trading #TradingCommunity #TradingStrategy

#DAX Update: Unbelievable. 🤦‍♂️

I can't decide if I'm annoyed, disappointed, or just shocked.

Long @ 24,525 (Daily Support).
Reality: It lasted 10 minutes...floor caved instantly...STOPPED OUT

Another loser...Disappointing

Trade Details: shorturl.at/cfADw

#modestmargin #TradingReality #StopLoss

#Dax40 Collision Course

Daily: Hit the 50MA Support - Buy
Hourly: Massive Red Candles - Liquidation

We are at the cliff edge 24,533
• Daily says "Dip Buy."
• Hourly says "Falling Knife." 🔪

Full Plan: shorturl.at/Dw6nT

#TradingPsychology #TechnicalAnalysis

#ftse100 Update

Price: 10,143 (Support held)
• Volume: Huge Spike (Absorption?)
• Pattern: Potential Double Bottom.

I wanted a stress free evening...drop handed me a 3.6 : 1 setup on a plate

Post updated...This is the perfect entry... isn't it? 📉📈

#TechnicalAnalysis #ModestMargin

✅ Analysis: Predicted the bounce around 10,145
✅ Signal: Hammer candle printed perfectly
❌ Execution: NOPE

Why? The Math didn't fit
Risk: 30 pts
Reward: 70 pts
Ratio: 2.3R - min is 3R

Stick to your rules...Oddly, this doesn't feel negative

#ModestMargin #FTSE100 #TradingRules #TechnicalAnalysis

28th JAN - FTSE - Confluence or Crash? I am looking at the FTSE and there appears to be a bit of a collision course in the making

#ftse Conflict
#Bull: Major Support + Oversold
#Bear: High Velocity Drop + Expanding MACD

RSI Oversold is not enough...need a 15-min "Brake Light" (Hammer/Reversal) before I get involved

#Analysis: shorturl.at/tK3Ft

#modestmargin #ftse100 #tradingplan #TechnicalAnalysis

Order Placed - Long DOW @ 48,941 Price took a heavy drop into a Support zone and as it ticked into this area...the flip to 15 minute charts from the hourly charts was on and close watching began.

The Pain of Safety - I saw the "Brake Light" at 48,900 on the #dow

Entered: Long
Progress: +36 points so moved Stop to BE (Fear)
The Result: Market wicked down, tagged me out by 2 POINTS, and then moved without me.

Safety feels like suffocation

Trade: shorturl.at/jWpLx

#ModestMargin

27th JAN – DOW – Timber - Modest Margin The DOW just completed a “Full Zone Crossing” in a single day…well almost a full crossing and in just over a day. We fell from the top around (49,500) straight to the...

#DOW Update

Get in now, it hit the zone vs Wait and see

We are at 48,900 #Support. The drop was violent. I am choosing Safety.

Waiting to see the floor holds and, if not, stand aside.

Nothing lost by waiting...is there?

#TechnicalAnalysis: shorturl.at/1mVY0

#ModestMargin #TradingForALiving

Stopped at #Breakeven. ⚖️

Saw +66 points on the #Dax Short. Aggressively protected the bank. Result: Flat (£0)

Am I frustrated? Yes.
Did I fail the management? Maybe(?)

Is protecting the bank after seeing a decent profit actually bad thing? 🤔

#DAX #RiskManagement #ModestMargin

ORDER PLACED – SHORT – DAX @ 24,959.6 - Modest Margin Alert was triggered and I watched the price move to the top of the Resistance zone as well as the top of the down channel.

#dax #trade : Sunday Plan Executed

#Short triggered @ 24,959.

🛑 Stop: 25,060
🎯 Target: 24,600

Resistance at 25k held. Momentum is weak. Plan the trade. Trade the plan. 📉

Details: shorturl.at/qLejj

#tradinglife #DayTrading #tradingforaliving #modestmargin #tradingforliving #tradingforaliving

25th Jan - DAX - 25th Jan - DAX - "Death Kiss" or "Dip"? I paid my tuition on this index last week...in fact, its closer to say "I f****d up" doing everything I said I wouldn't.

#DAX: Trade Edges, Ignore Middle

Last week: Chased & paid the price
This week: Patience

We are in "No Man's Land" (24,850)

Options:
#Long: 24,600 - 50 MA
#Short: 24,950 - Channel Retest

No edge? No trade: shorturl.at/fzWOK

#ModestMargin #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #Trading

25th Jan - FTSE - The Art of Doing Nothing I stepped away from the charts and trading early last week after the "Calculated Idiot" moment on the DAX last Tuesday (Jan 20th)

🔋Circuit Breaker Reset

Stepped away last week to clear my head. Missed the bounce, but saved the mindset.

Now stalking #longs between 10,140 & 10,100 on #ftse100

Target: 10,400

Full #analysis : modestmargin.co.uk/2026/01/25/2...

#modestmargin #tradinglife #technicalanalysis #ftse

ORDER PLACED – LONG – DAX @ 49,480 – OUTCOME: LOSS - Modest Margin I am a F**king Idiot...I broke my own rules...I ignored what was right in front of my face...I paid the price.

#FTSE Discipline Check

I paid my tuition on the #DAX this morning now...FTSE is tempting me at the 10,050 Channel Floor

Decision: Hands off. Not catching another falling knife. I need Daily Close > 10,100 to prove buyers are actually here

Review: shorturl.at/Pwc5P
#ModestMargin #TechnicalAnalysis

ORDER PLACED – LONG – DAX @ 49,480 – OUTCOME: LOSS - Modest Margin I am a F**king Idiot...I broke my own rules...I ignored what was right in front of my face...I paid the price.

F***ing Idiot

I broke my rules
I rushed a #DAX long
I got stopped out instantly

Why? #Laziness I skipped my Sunday prep and #traded without a plan.

Saving Grace? I might be an #idiot, but I'm a "Calculated Idiot"

Read the painful entry: shorturl.at/Pwc5P

#ModestMargin #DayTrading #TradingLife

Trading Pain: The "Perfect" Miss.

I analysed the #DAX drop to 25,210 perfectly. I watched it hit the level. I watched it bounce.

Did I catch it? No. Why? Because I was too busy typing up the analysis to click the "Buy" button. F****** IDIOT

#Lesson: Trust the #analysis

Review: shorturl.at/1Y5Ln

ORDER PLACED – SHORT – DOW @ 49,559.6 - Modest Margin After watching the Dow Jones rocket from the bottom of its range to the top in a single session, most traders are looking for a breakout.

#dowjones #trade Closed at BE

Short hit 100 MA (5 min chart) on its way to my target

Instead of breaking through, it stalled and bounced back

Debating whether I should scale out at the first hurdle, or keep the full size for the jackpot? 🤔

Review shorturl.at/sf7yc

#modestmargin #DayTrading

#dowjones Update: The Free Ride

The Short at 49,559 is working 🥳

• Management: Stop moved to Breakeven
• Risk: Zero

50 MA crossed on the 5-minute chart, flipping momentum to Bearish.

Update: shorturl.at/XnXVM

#modestMargin #Trading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis

ORDER PLACED – SHORT – DOW @ 49,559.6 - Modest Margin After watching the Dow Jones rocket from the bottom of its range to the top in a single session, most traders are looking for a breakout.

#Dowjones : Sniper #Short

Roof of range hit and held for last few hours after strong move up

#RSI is overbought. Resistance is holding (for now). It's scary shoring here Risk/Reward is too good to ignore

Plan: shorturl.at/XnXVM

#ModestMargin #TradingLife #DayTrading #tradingforaliving

15th Jan – DAX – A Second Bite Of The Cherry? - Modest Margin My alert at 25,220 went off last night, and true to form, the market bounced immediately. If you were watching the screens, it was a perfect touch-and-go.

#dax: Day starts with strong selling, but structure remains #Bullish

A Descending Channel has formed but should find support at the support area at 25,220

The Plan:
Watch for price to hit 25,220
Stop below the support zone

#Analysis: shorturl.at/WZz62

#ModestMargin #TradingForALiving

DOW JONES - Do we have a trade forming? - Modest Margin The Dow Jones is setting up for what looks like a textbook technical play... but "textbook" doesn't always mean "profitable."

The #dowjones Setup

* Daily chart near 20 MA trampoline
* Hourly chart hitting "Break & Retest" level

👀 48,840
🛑 Below 48,700
🎯 Target: 49,600

Wait for an hourly wick to prove buyers are there

Analysis: shorturl.at/LVRg7

#modestmargin #technicalanalysis #tradingforaliving #tradingforliving

14th Jan @ 11:38 – The FOMO Battle - Modest Margin I am sitting here staring at the DAX hourly chart, fighting the urge to tear up my plan and get in early.

#TradingPsychology Check: FOMO.

I'm staring at the #DAX , fighting the urge to enter early

• Devil: "You're missing the move"
• Angel: "Stick to the plan"

I'm not losing money, but I'm not in the game...am I?

Analysis: shorturl.at/7CoGS

#ModestMargin #trading #DayTrading #TradingForALiving

14th Jan - DAX - Break and Retrace - Modest Margin The DAX has finally woken up and after range-trading sideways for most of 2025, the index has staged a powerful breakout, launching out of the box and pushing new highs.

#DAX40 Analysis: Break & Retest.

Daily: #Bullish Breakout - Trend is Up
Hourly: Profit taking - 20/50 MAs broken

The Plan: Watch 25,200 for support. If we bounce there, targeting a run to 25,600

#Analysis: shorturl.at/EmsLK

#TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #ModestMargin#dax #tradingforaliving

The Ceiling Held - I was hesitant to #short against the trend but the charts don't lie

The "Trendline Crawl" hugged the channel but couldn't break it

Result: Gravity won. MAs broken
Next Stop: Testing 100 MA (10,090)

Full Update: shorturl.at/sqWBi

#ftse #ftse100 #modestmargin #DayTrading

13th Jan: The Trend Line Crawl - Modest Margin If yesterday was about watching for a "Double Top" rejection, today the market has decided to do something far more annoying: The Trendline Crawl.

Most annoying pattern in #trading: #Trendline Crawl

The #ftse is sliding up the channel roof and close to ATH...It won't drop, but it won't pop.

It's taking all my #willpower ...but I'm sitting on my hands.

Full Analysis modestmargin.co.uk/2026/01/13/1...

#FTSE100 #TraderLife #ModestMargin

Week 03: FTSE Daily and Hourly Chart Analysis - Modest Margin Week 2: FTSE Daily and Hourly Chart Analysis

#FTSE100 : High Altitude Sickness?

We hit new ATHs, but the engine is overheating (RSI > 70)

• #Bull: Trend is strong. 10k held
• #Bear: Hourly "Double Top" at 10,150

Target Zones:🎯 10,070 🎯 9,970

Plan: shorturl.at/SZli7

#FTSE #Trading #DayTrading #ModestMargin

📉 #Trading in a nutshell.

Tuesday: Stopped out on a #FTSE short
Today: Market drops exactly to my target

Analysis? Spot on
Timing? Terrible

I guessed the turn instead of waiting for the confirmation candle. Expensive lesson

🔗 Full Review: modestmargin.co.uk/2026/01/08/k...

#ModestMargin

#ftse Update: Price grinding higher.

Weekly Plan updated with a potential Short setup at the channel top...Alert set at 10,100.

Updated Plan 📷 modestmargin.co.uk/2026/01/04/w...

#ModestMargin #Trading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #TradingView #ftse100

🚨 #DAX40 Breakout
We finally cracked the 24,650 ceiling after 9 months.

• #Bullish ? Yes
• Chasing it? No

#RSI is hot. I am waiting for a retest of the zone to confirm Old #Resistance is now New #Support.

Full Plan: tinyurl.com/az6d2mct

#DAX #Trading #ModestMargin

📉 Week 2 Analysis: Sit On Hands Time

The FTSE 100 is hovering at 9,996 in "No Man's Land"

• Daily: Bouncing off the channel roof. Overbought
• Hourly: Drifting without support

I am waiting for 9,920 before looking for entries. Patience pays

🔗 Read full plan: shorturl.at/gw2q5

#FTSE100 #Trading