Stefan Schubert

"It has gone largely unnoticed that time spent on social media peaked in 2022 and has since gone into steady decline."

By @jburnmurdoch.ft.com

www.ft.com/content/a072...

Midwest ligger inte i mitten av västra USA eller ens i mitten av landet.

Ja precis, jag tycker det är ett rätt logiskt begrepp.

Zürich will Parkgebühren erhöhen – SUV-Fahrer müssten deutlich mehr bezahlen Zürich plant höhere Parkgebühren für schwere Autos in der Blauen Zone. Elektrofahrzeuge profitieren von vergünstigten Tarifen. Vorschlag geht an den Gemeinderat

Zurich is the latest city to make parking more expensive for oversized cars like SUVs.

Cities including Paris and Montreal have taken similar steps to counteract car bloat.

Cohort fertility rates for the United States, by age 40, 45 and 50.

Most graphs of the fertility rate depict the 'period fertility rate', which is based on a single year's data and doesn't necessarily reflect how many children women actually have across their lifetimes.

I've used data from the Human Fertility Database to show the cumulative number instead:

Twitter is a particularly stark example but in general the gap between the public and elites (left+right) on ID cards is huge

Swedish, too. Enormous difference.

It's not just about government services - e.g. when you buy something in the UK you often need to provide your address (which you might not even remember when you need to cancel some service). In Sweden you just use your "bank-id" (also used by the government).

I much enjoyed David's new book.

The first part of the book describes Singer's life and how the drowning child argument inspired the founding of effective altruism.

The second part discusses objections to EA.

"French pensioners now have higher incomes than working-age adults" - extraordinary

By @jburnmurdoch.ft.com

www.ft.com/content/d419...

Financial Times analysis: US jobs at a high risk from generative AI have not been more likely to shed young workers since ChatGPT launched

www.ft.com/content/99b6...

Study finds that Americans' policy views don't relate to basic economic literacy, and that such literacy doesn't make people think like economists.

Also if Democrats and Republicans had had perfect basic economic literacy, their policy views would diverge.

www.tandfonline.com/eprint/KRKRA...

Not a very good article imo

"Get your analogies right!"

Ask me anything!

I'll be doing an AMA with EA forum today.

You can ask me about anything, whether it's about topics I write about (life expectancy, fertility, mortality, global health, data, etc.), recommendations, writing or podcasting, or anything else.

Feel free to reply with questions below.

❓Why do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French?

➡️ New Working Paper:

Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek

www.nber.org/papers/w33984

A 🧵 1/12

Guess the nationality of the unnamed author of this
@economist.com article on "the Big Three" 🙃

Me too. And maternal mortality rates were high. I guess it's just that death rates were high in general.

Following up on this (this is the author of the post)

Sweden's answer to slow tv: The great moose migration - Radio Sweden For several thousand years, Sweden's population of moose (or European Elk) in Västernorrland in the north of Sweden have walked the same path to get to ...

www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/swed...

Yes, though the death rate seems fairly even before and after the most common age.

In the 18th century, there was a real chance of death at any point in life, and there wasn't a big peak in old age.

It wasn't just higher infant mortality - the whole distribution was completely different.

inquisitivebird.xyz/p/the-rise-o...

It's often very unlikely that we'll fail to introduce new policies.

But the phrases "by default" and "business-as-usual" - and the way people use them - often hide that.

That contributes to the flawed perception that we'll sleepwalk into disaster.

Be alert to uses of "by default" or "business-as-usual" in the context of projections of future trends.

While they literally mean "in the absence of new policy", they often carry the association that they're likely (cf "usual").

But in fact, they're often highly unlikely.

->

Arcadian

I agree with this. Too often, people get away with this because of misguided norms of charity.

And yes, we should focus more on authors (relative to the audience) than we do today when trying to improve discourse norms.

www.lesswrong.com/posts/Zmfxgv...

In northern Europe, life satisfaction increases with age, whereas in southern Europe, it decreases.

www.nber.org/papers/w33950

Ja, och man börjar få bra skydd efter två doser

www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-b...

Two of those changes are fairly small, though, so it's not so odd that people don't notice them

One thing outsiders often get wrong about academia is they say "Harvard published a study", "Oxford did such-and-such", etc - analogously to "Google did", etc.

In most cases, that's wrong - it's groups of researchers (often at different unis) who do things, not universities.

I was bitten as a kid. But they're beautiful, great photo.