I’ve been waiting until things settle down to look at our prop bets but honestly, this whole story has been WAY more interesting than bets.

3) total # of SC ballots < total # of CC ballots < total # of BQ ballots.

I think the crowded nature of this cycle’s SC race confuses the average voter, even those who attempt to take their civic duty seriously.

2A) # of CC/Total Ballots for advance mail in < # of CC/Total Ballots for all of mail in < # of CC/Total Ballots for in person

2B) same for SC

2C) # of BQ/Total Ballots will be pretty much the same across all methods and time points

I think serious voters need all the time they can get on SC/CC

Sure! I’m all for hypotheses and bets for election. I’ve got a few different ideas:

1A) # of CC / Total ballots < # of BQ/Total Ballots for all methods and all time point buckets (advance mail in, all mail in, in person).

1B) Same for SC vs BQ.

I’m in a basic stats class, since it’s been 20 years since my last class. I’ll run a few metrics/analyses after election night and put it in a gdoc since we’re a little limited on characters here. But l’ll add a tldr back to the thread :) how’s that?

In order to make use of your efforts (back to the original question on utility) we could compare these % or ratios from the “advance mail in count” to final mail in count to Election Day and see if there is any significant difference?

Appreciate your push for clarity— do we even get a # for blank ballots? I was thinking % completed for any specific category would be ballots cast / total ballots. Alternatively, if BQ is higher for all time points, we could do ratio of completed SC:BQ for the time points

% of CC/SC ballots completed in person will be higher than % of CC/SC ballots completed by mail. I think/hope in person voters will feel compelled to complete all 3 ballots and they will be more prepared by Election Day?

Oh interesting. I was thinking that the early mail in ballots had the lower rate for SC/CC bc early mail in voters didn’t want to bother figuring out what to do but wanted to mail in on time. I’m gonna hypothesize higher in person! Let’s see! (though the numbers won’t tell us why)

*known

I would have never know about this “advanced counting” process. I assumed everything was tabulated on Election Day! And I think it’s a good hypothesis that the Cambridge charter ballot counts are higher bc they are easier to answer. There’s a particularly high # of candidates to vet this year.

They aren’t useless! Appreciate your commitment to reporting on this process!

John Cullen leans in for a selfie with me at the 2025 Pointsbet Invitational

Today, I tried curling at the Calgary Curling Club and sat next to the Team Lawes bench at the Pointsbet Invitational. @cullenoncurling.bsky.social was nice enough to let me fan girl, while Gary was too chicken to ask Vic for a pic. It was a good day.

Ahhhhh that makes more sense!

Coco played last night on Ashe and was the main broadcast then. The night Ashe draw features one men’s and one women’s match

Thank you for your sacrifice!

Sports misery index was built for y’all

An Israeli strike targeted at least one journalist in Gaza, killing five total

Exactly!

Croix is surprisingly good; I expected more from Hatchy

GMs can still double bird 😂 hope she gets chances to stay around the game in that capacity!

I want an epic Kelley on the Streets episode with a crossover.

Can’t go wrong with animals. Finally something unique but decent. And I like the feather Zakim

Öztürk read a statement where she thanked everyone who supported her, and also briefly mentioned the women who were in the detention center with her in Louisiana. Many of these women told her they don’t know why they are there, and that they fear they’ve been forgotten.

FINALLY. You could see how she was trying to get them to control possession after the 3rd goal but saying it again WHY WONT SAM PLAY HER MORE

The oracle spoke… what else are you rooting for in 2025 🔮

So good. Brain just exploded trying to trace the individual tracks

Your alt text is just as incredible!

Found in a Chinese grocery store in Pittsburgh, PA. They bought up all the overstock. I grabbed a whole stack and am hoarding them

Been lurking here for a bit since the invite only days but my favorite sports journos are finally here, especially the WoSo crew!!! Just in time for the NWSL playoffs!