Carnegie Europe

Global Instability Makes Europe More Attractive, Not Less Europe isn’t as weak in the new geopolitics of power as many would believe. But to leverage its assets and claim a sphere of influence, Brussels must stop undercutting itself.

Europe isn’t as weak in the new geopolitics of power as many would believe.

But to leverage its assets and claim a sphere of influence, Brussels must stop undercutting itself, argues @dimitarbechev.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe on Iran: Gone with the Wind Europe’s reaction to the war in Iran has been disunited and meek, a far cry from its previously leading role in diplomacy with Tehran. To avoid being condemned to the sidelines while escalation contin...

🆕 | Europe’s reaction to the war in Iran has been disunited and meek.

To avoid being condemned to the sidelines while escalation continues, Brussels needs to stand up for international law, argues Pierre Vimont.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Can European Defense Survive the Death of FCAS? France and Germany’s failure to agree on the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) raises questions about European defense. Amid industrial rivalries and competing strategic cultures, what does the future o...

❔ | #TTP: Can European Defense Survive the Death of FCAS?

The Future Combat Air System (FCAS) deadlock casts doubts on European defense cooperation. Amid industrial rivalries, experts discuss what the future of European industrial projects look like ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

How Turkey Can Help the Economies of the South Caucasus to Diversify Over the past two decades, regional collaboration in the South Caucasus has intensified. Turkey and the EU should establish a cooperation framework to accelerate economic development and diversificati...

🆕 | Over the past two decades, regional collaboration in the South Caucasus has intensified.

Turkey and the EU should establish a cooperation framework to accelerate economic development & diversification, write Feride İnan, @guvsak.bsky.social, & Berat Yücel.

carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

Macron Makes France a Great Middle Power France has stopped clinging to notions of being a great power and is embracing the middle power moment. But Emmanuel Macron has his work cut out if he is to secure his country’s global standing before...

France has stopped clinging to notions of being a great power and is embracing the middle power moment.

But Emmanuel Macron has his work cut out if he is to secure his country’s global standing before his term in office ends, writes @rmomtaz.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

🆕 | In 2025, mounting security threats & economic pressures have driven European governments to prioritize strategic interests.

This signals a lack of ambition to promote democracy in the EU's external action, say @richardyoungs.bsky.social et al.

Learn more: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

How Europe Can Survive the AI Labor Transition Integrating AI into the workplace will increase job insecurity, fundamentally reshaping labor markets. To anticipate and manage this transition, the EU must build public trust, provide training infras...

🆕 | Integrating AI into the workplace will fundamentally reshape labor markets.

To anticipate and manage this transition, the EU must build public trust, provide training infrastructures, and establish social protections, says @amandamcoakley.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Can Europe Still Matter in Syria? Europe’s interests in Syria extend beyond migration management, yet the EU trails behind other players in the country’s post-Assad reconstruction. To boost its influence in Damascus, the union must up...

Europe holds geopolitical interests in Syria, yet 🇪🇺 trails behind others in the country’s post-Assad reconstruction.

To boost its influence, the union must upgrade its commitment to ensuring regional stability, say Bianka Speidl and Hanga Horváth-Sántha.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

EVENT | Could a Smaller EU Be Stronger than an Enlarged Bloc?

📢 Next February 19, at 5pm, join @geraldknaus.bsky.social & Sylvie Goulard for a live debate on the costs & benefits of EU enlargement, as part of Carnegie's "Europe Head-to-Head" series.

Register 👉 carnegieendowment.org/europe/event...

❔ | #TTP: Can the EU Attract Foreign Investment and Reduce Dependencies?

EU member states clash over how to boost the union's competitiveness. Experts discuss whether the EU can simultaneously attract global capital & reduce its dependencies ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

What Can the EU Do About Trump 2.0? Europe’s policy of subservience to the Trump administration has failed. For Washington to take the EU seriously, its leaders now need to combine engagement with robust pushback.

🆕 | Europe’s policy of subservience to the Trump administration has failed.

For Washington to take the EU seriously, its leaders now need to combine engagement with robust pushback, argues Stefan Lehne.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

To Survive, the EU Must Split Leaning into a multispeed Europe that includes the UK is the way Europeans don’t get relegated to suffering what they must, while the mighty United States and China do what they want.

Europeans risk being relegated to suffering what they must, while the mighty United States and China do what they want.

Leaning into a multispeed Europe that includes the UK is the best way of avoiding that future, argues @rmomtaz.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europolis, Where Europe Ends A prophetic Romanian novel about a town at the mouth of the Danube carries a warning: Europe decays when it stops looking outwards. In a world of increasing insularity, the EU should heed its warning.

🆕 | A prophetic Romanian novel about a town at the mouth of the Danube carries a warning: Europe decays when it stops looking outwards.

In a world of increasing insularity, the EU should heed its warning, argues @tomdewaal.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe Falls Behind in the South Caucasus Connectivity Race The EU lacks leadership and strategic planning in the South Caucasus, while the United States is leading the charge. To secure its geopolitical interests, Brussels must invest in new connectivity for ...

🆕 | The EU lacks leadership and strategic planning in the South Caucasus, while the United States is leading the charge.

To secure its geopolitical interests, Brussels must invest in new connectivity for the region, argues @zaurshiriyev.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Is It Time for Europe to Reengage With Belarus? In return for a trade deal and the release of political prisoners, the United States has lifted sanctions on Belarus, breaking the previous Western policy consensus. Should Europeans follow suit, usin...

❔ | In return for a trade deal & the release of prisoners, Washington has lifted sanctions on Belarus.

Should Europeans follow suit, using their leverage to extract concessions from Lukashenko, or continue to isolate a key Kremlin ally?

Read experts' takes:
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

New Tricks and AI Tools in Hungary’s High-Stakes Election Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán faces his most serious challenge yet in the April 2026 parliamentary elections. All of Europe should monitor the Fidesz campaign: It will use unprecedented method...

Viktor Orbán faces his most serious challenge yet in the upcoming Hungarian parliamentary elections.

The Fidesz campaign will use unprecedented methods of electoral manipulation to secure victory and maintain power, writes Zsuzsanna Szelenyi.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

The EU finally used an economic threat against Trump. But the markets forced his climbdown | Rosa Balfour While the threat of retaliatory measures to stop the annexation of Greenland worked, it remains to be seen if Europe has the unity to follow through, says Rosa Balfour, director of Carnegie Europe

Europe, too, can use economic leverage to its advantage.

What changed the U.S. calculus on Greenland was the threat of retaliatory measures worth up to $93bn, making the markets jittery & Trump fold, writes @rosabalfour.bsky.social in the @theguardian.com.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

The EU and India in Tandem As European leadership prepares for the sixteenth EU-India Summit, both sides must reckon with trade-offs in order to secure a mutually beneficial Free Trade Agreement.

🆕 | As European leadership prepares for the sixteenth EU-India Summit, both sides must reckon with trade-offs in order to secure a mutually beneficial Free Trade Agreement, argues Dinakar Peri from @carnegieindia.bsky.social.

#StrategicEurope
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe Faces the Gone-Rogue Doctrine The hyper-personalized new version of global sphere-of-influence politics that Donald Trump wants will fail, as it did for Russia. But, whether it fails or not, Europe must still deal with a disruptiv...

The hyper-personalized global sphere-of-influence politics that Donald Trump wants will fail, as it did for Russia.

But, whether it fails or not, Europe must still deal with a disruptive former ally determined to break the rules, argues @tomdewaal.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe's American Predicament Between Greenland and U.S. interference in Europe’s democracies, transatlantic relations risk rising to an unprecedented level of crisis. Amid continued arguments on how Brussels should react, tough t...

Between Greenland and U.S. interference in Europe’s democracies, transatlantic relations risk rising to an unprecedented level of crisis.

Amid continued arguments on how Brussels should react, tough times lie ahead for European leaders, explains Marc Pierini.
carnegieendowment.org/posts/2026/0...

Taking the Pulse: What Issue Is Europe Ignoring at Its Peril in 2026? 2026 has started in crisis, as the actions of unpredictable leaders shape an increasingly volatile global environment. To shift from crisis response to strategic foresight, what under-the-radar issues...

❔| #TTP: What Issue Is Europe Ignoring at Its Peril in 2026?

This year has started in crisis with a volatile global environment. To shift from crisis response to strategic foresight, what issues should the EU prepare for in 2026?

Read expert takes ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

🎧 | Is Europe Ready for AI-Driven War?

In our newest #EuropeInsideOut episode, @tomdewaal.bsky.social, Raluca Csernatoni, & @jessicadorsey.bsky.social discuss how AI is transforming warfare and the ethical challenges it raises.

Listen now 👉 europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/ise...

📆 | Is It Time to Move Beyond Nuclear Deterrence?

Next Tuesday, join @rosabalfour.bsky.social, Mary Kaldor, Boris Ruge, & Annukka Ylivaara at 5:45 pm to discuss the limits of nuclear deterrence & explore alternative visions for collective security.

Register 👉 carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

France, Turkey, and a Reset in the Black Sea A renewal of relations between France and Turkey is vital to strengthen European strategic autonomy. To make this détente a reality, Paris and Ankara should move beyond personal friction and jointly e...

A renewal of relations between France and Turkey is vital to strengthen European strategic autonomy.

To make this détente a reality, Paris and Ankara should jointly engage with questions of Black Sea security, argues @rlequiniou.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Solidarity Is a Must for Europe to Ensure its Own Security Europe is designing a new model of collective security that no longer relies on the United States. For this effort to succeed, solidarity between member states that have different threat perceptions i...

Europe is designing a new model of collective security that no longer relies on the United States.

For this effort to succeed, solidarity between member states that have different threat perceptions is vital, argues @erik-jones.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Can Europe Ever Trust the United States Again? In Donald Trump’s second term in office, the transatlantic relationship that helped define the postwar European project and global order appears broken. Is it time for Brussels to chart its own path?

Can Europe Ever Trust the United States Again?

In Trump's second term, the transatlantic relationship that shaped postwar Europe appears broken.

@nathalietocci.bsky.social & @jantechau.bsky.social discuss whether it is time for the EU to chart its own path 👇
carnegieendowment.org/posts/2026/0...

The Cost of Europe’s Weak Venezuela Response International rules are only as strong as the democratic states supporting them. In the wake of the U.S. military operation in Venezuela, Europeans have a vested interest in making a compelling case for international law but shy away from doing so.

International rules are only as strong as the democratic states supporting them.

In the wake of the U.S. military operation in Venezuela, Europeans have a vested interest in upholding international law but shy away from doing so, says @rosabalfour.bsky.social.

carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

EVENT | Can Europe Ever Trust the United States Again?

📢 On January 14, 2026, join @nathalietocci.bsky.social & @jantechau.bsky.social for a live debate launching our "Europe Head-to-Head" project, in which we unpack the most pressing questions facing the EU.
👉 carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...

Taking the Pulse: Is the EU Too Weak to Be a Global Player? Beset by an increasingly hostile United States, internal divisions, and the threat of Russian aggression, the EU finds itself in a make-or-break moment. U.S. President Donald Trump calls it a decaying...

❔| #TTP: Is the EU Too Weak to Be a Global Player?

U.S. President Donald Trump calls the union a decaying group of nations headed by weak leaders.

Is Europe able to prove him wrong?
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Trump’s Peace Lessons for Europe U.S. President Donald Trump’s claims to have ended eight wars may be debatable, but his peace efforts raise valid questions. Europe can learn lessons from Washington on how to break the deadlock in pr...

U.S. President Donald Trump's claims to have ended eight wars may be debatable, but his #peace efforts raise valid questions.

Europe can learn lessons from Washington on how to break the deadlock in protracted conflicts, writes @tomdewaal.bsky.social.

carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...