They cannot replace him, it is too late. He is on the ballot as the Liberal candidate no matter what he or they says or does. If he wins (extremely unlikely) he would presumably sit as an independent.
No they will be formal as written and if he wins he will be declared elected, as Pauline Hanson was after being disendorsed but winning in Oxley 1996.
(The term "donkey votes" is often used for informal votes but actually means 1, 2, 3 etc down the ballot, which is silly but is counted.)
The SA Liberals are astonishingly bad. When I was writing my Australia's worst oppositions article I added up all the elected SA Libs who'd either quit the party or been kicked out and counted *nine* since 2010. (And that's state level only, not counting Bernardi)
Alex Antic being helpful here suggesting that disendorsing this guy shuts the doors on the Liberals' chances, does he really believe they were open anyway?
"Mr Woodhouse does not shirk from his deeply held views and wants to see the Liberal Party succeed in the election[..]."
Don't think I've ever before seen a party disendorse a candidate while claiming that being supported by that candidate is good.
Ashton Hurn says "that person is no longer a candidate for the next election". Unfortunately he officially is very much a candidate and the blame for that is on the SA Liberals for what looks like a very lazy vetting fail. Fortunately not a competitive seat.
Endorsed SA Liberal candidate for Wright has "withdrawn" but with his name still on the ballot paper, after podcast controversy #saparli
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...
YouGov gets the ALP vs ON shadow-2PP at also 55-45. My estimate for this poll (based off past preference flow modelling) is 53.5-46.5. (I get ALP vs L-NP at 54.6)
Reports that Chris McDermott is quitting the Sarah Game Fair Go Party and will "run as an independent".
He's already on the ballot paper as their lead candidate!
Takes eponymous party instability to a new level.
Matt Canavan is the first Senator to lead the National or Country Party. However an attempt to transfer to the Reps at the next election has been mooted.
Matt Canavan elected leader of the Nationals, Darren Chester is Deputy.
This may be temporary but in the time since the Coalition changed leaders the trend in ALP vs One Nation shadow-2PP that I calculate from polls has flattened out at about 53.5 to ALP.
#YouGov ALP 30 L-NP 19 ON 26 Grn 13 IND 5 other 7
2PP 55-45 (+2) to ALP
www.skynews.com.au/australia-ne...
Bridget McKenzie now also running for Nats leadership and Michael McCormack may dust off the Elvis suit one more time.
Is calling an electorate "Deception Bay" really a good idea? "The aptly-named honourable member for Deception Bay ..." #qldpol
Seconds to get to point of saying "I'm buggered" while resigning something in political career (approx)
D Littleproud 305,600,000
M Meninga 30
Eight in a few weeks over ten years appears to be (narrowly) the densest concentration of leadership spills in Country/Nats history.
Nationals spills since 2016:
2016 Joyce unopposed
2018 McCormack d Christensen
2020 McCormack d Joyce
2021 Joyce d McCormack
2022 Littleproud d Joyce and Chester
2025 Littleproud d Canavan
2026 (1) Littleproud d Boyce spill motion
2026 (2) ?
Now that Morgan is back to week to week readings their numbers will be volatile. However of note this is:
* lowest ALP primary of term from anyone by 2 points
* equal lowest combined major party primary from anyone for this term.
#Morgan ALP 26.5 L-NP 22.5 ON 23.5 Green 14.5 others 13
2PP respondent 54.5 to ALP (-1.5)
last election 53 to ALP (-0.5)
my conversion 52.5 to ALP (-0.7)
www.roymorgan.com/findings/101...
I have added some comments on the Farrer uComms TAI poll here. Noting that Milthorpe was named and her opponents were not, there is some chance that if the respondents actually voted, the Liberals would get over her and win on preferences in this sample.
kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/02/farr...
They're not, the poll may have been done before that was known.
Among other things about the perpetually awful Cory Bernardi we now find he is "offended by people eating too much McDonalds". Why is he "offended" by this? Does he fear that it will turn them gay?
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...
Seems to be no number for Nationals in this poll.
Good example of how optional preferences are a potential disaster zone for those on the conservative side foolish enough to be advocating them at the moment, under compulsory prefs this would be about 56.5 to ALP. #nswpol
#taschess news Top seed Carl Gorka has won his third Tasmanian Championship title of the last four years on 6.5/7 from Zach Lim 6 and defending champion Will Rumley 5
kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/03/nigh... Nightcliff By-Election (This May Be A Very Short Thread) #ntpol
Note re #Nightcliff tonight, I will most likely be offline when the count starts but I may be able to do some coverage at some unknown stage during the night if it looks interesting. #ntpol
