Josh Zingher

It's only a matter of time before Kash Patel gets way too excited to take a long car ride.

Folks, I have it on good authority that Noem isn't being "fired," she's being sent to a nice farm upstate where she'll get to run around all day.

"Is thinking good? Who can say?"

that haircut...

Trump hates democracy and MAGA is a fundamentally anti-democratic movement. The fact that he doesn't think people in other countries should have the right of self-determination completely gives away the game as to his attitudes about democracy at home.

bsky.app/profile/pear...

I observe my Gen Z students' wild assed gender politics like an anthropologist trying to observe an alien species and struggling to comprehend.

"So you want to have 12 kids and live on a farm...?"

bsky.app/profile/3fec...

The Republican Party in Texas has been strong among Latinos dating back to the GWB days and has often taken a more conciliatory approach than the national party. Trump even won some border counties that no R had *ever* carried. Curious if 2 years of Trumpism is enough to erase that progress.

For the Dems, the primary map and polls suggest quite a bit of racial polarization in primary vote choice. For Talarico, the job will be to shore up support among African Americans between now and November, because there is no path forward for a Dem in TX or nationally without strong AA support.

Texas is a heavy lift for any Democrat, but Talarico is a strong candidate who had to contend with another strong candidate, Jasmine Crockett, just to make it out of the primary. The Democrats' fate in TX hinges on Latinos, if they can claw back what they lost in 24 they've got a real shot. 1/2

Dems got so brain poisoned with the "demographics are destiny" nonsense that they forgot coalitions require constant maintenance. As far as 2026 goes, the main task is to bring formerly loyal voters back into the fold, and TX is a perfect test case to see how they do.

For the Dems, the primary map and polls suggest quite a bit of racial polarization in primary vote choice. For Talarico, the job will be to shore up support among African Americans between now and November, because there is no path forward for a Dem in TX or nationally without strong AA support.

The Republican Party in Texas has been strong among Latinos dating back to the GWB days and has often taken a more conciliatory approach than the national party. Trump even won some border counties that no R had *ever* carried. Curious if 2 years of Trumpism is enough to erase that progress.

Folks, we all know the Real Election Indicator is ED turnout at Special Precinct #17 at 1PM on Election Day.

🧵Cans of Worms possibly opened by Trump's war of choice in Iran, a running list:

(not exhaustive, with the caveat that I am not an expert on the region so these are questions from a US foreign policy perspective, please add others) 1/?

Yes. The religious left sometimes gets ignored by the Dems to their own detriment.

somebody made the comment "they turned the FBI into a make--a-wish for a podcaster" and i can't get that thought out of my head now.

Living out one of my nerdy political science dreams by serving on the @electionstudies.bsky.social board!

Nationally, the Democrats need to forge professional class/minority coalitions to win, and they need to minimize the losses among groups that don't break for them. For Talarico, African Americans seem like the potential wild card, but my hope is that he can do some effective outreach.

Texas is a heavy lift for any Democrat, but Talarico is a strong candidate who had to contend with another strong candidate, Jasmine Crockett, just to make it out of the primary. The Democrats' fate in TX hinges on Latinos, if they can claw back what they lost in 24 they've got a real shot. 1/2

If you want to mobilize groups politically, you have to work through existing social institutions, like unions, churches, etc. In a religious country like the United States, writing off religious institutions as a key basis for political mobilization is a fool's errand.

If you're out of power and want to get back in power you need to peel away some portion of your opponent's coalition. For the Dems, this means nominating people who can speak to the religious left/center. Catholic and some Protestant clergy are creating a permission structure to vote Dem. Use it!

Yeah, you can't beat the market over the long term, but he is sure giving it a try!

Can bad things happen in war? Who can say?

Listen folks, we've always been at war with Eastasia

Hatcheting every renewable energy project you can imagine and then causing a major oil crises for no reason is some real 3-D chess. Monty Burns aside, the sun (and wind) is famously difficult to blockade.

fair

yeah, at the end of the day we'll still need people that are capable of assessing research output (however generated) because otherwise the only thing you can do is "take the computer's word for it" and that is bad on a ton of different levels.

Honestly, our Iranian adventure is a perfect parable for Trump's governance at home: build nothing and wantonly destroy everything, all the while skimming as much off the top as possible.